Naracoorte tips and results

Our price $8.50 · SP $7.00 · Tala Hutchinson

Road To The City brings the map advantage the race demands. He has the fence, genuine early speed and is race-fit off a third at Port Augusta only five days ago where he led and was collared late. At a track where leaders and inside gates dominate on Heavy going, that combination cannot be ignored. The obvious reservation is his one Heavy run produced a tailed-off 9th after leading, and 16 starts without a win marks him as a horse that finds trouble converting.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.00 · A C Goindasamy

Barrier 4 sits in the favoured band, she carries 56kg, and the step to 1430m suits a mare who was clearly getting to the line. Only two starts means substantial upside remains untapped.

Our price $3.60 · SP $6.00 · Campbell Rawiller

That form is at today's track, today's grade and today's surface, which nothing else can match. The Mt Gambier failure came at an unsuitable 900m on a Heavy 9 he could not handle. With one genuine leader and a slow tempo predicted, his early speed lets him park in the box seat from gate 5 on a track where on-pace runners from inside gates dominate.

Our price $3.40 · SP $3.40 · Kayla Crowther

However she is unproven on Heavy going and maps as a backmarker into a predicted slow tempo at a track where closers have been winning at under 3%.

Our price $6.50 · SP $4.40 · Alysha Warren

Secret Owl is the lone confirmed leader from the best barrier in the field, and on a Naracoorte heavy surface where on-pace runners from inside gates hold a clear edge, that tactical advantage carries real weight. The blinkers-off, winkers-on change targets her tendency to over-race, which has cost her in the straight. The counter is that she has never met a Heavy track and has weakened in the closing stages of each of her last two.

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.60 · Margaret Collett

She is fit, consistent and class-proven.

Our price $8.50 · SP $13.00 · D Caboche

The one genuine overlay in the race. She has won on Heavy and won a Restricted 54 at Penola when able to control the tempo. With one lone leader engaged and a slow pace predicted, she can settle on the speed from barrier 8.

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.00 · Stephanie Wright

She maps beautifully with early speed from gate six at only 55.5kg, and has won first-up before. Against her is a 197-day break, a form line built almost entirely on Good tracks with no Heavy experience, and an unknown-quantity rider booking.

Our price $6.50 · SP $12.00 · Alysha Warren

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.50 · D Caboche

This is a straight repeat of the race he won five weeks ago — same track, same 2000m trip, same Heavy going, same class, same rider. His record at this track and distance is 2 starts for 2 wins and he is 3 wins from 4 at the trip; every good run he has produced has come at 2000m on rain-affected ground. Barrier 4 lets Caboche take the same handy trail that had him in front at the 400m.

Our price $7.00 · SP $12.00 · Anna Jordsjo

The most reliable place horse in the race. The problem is winning: one victory from 34 starts and a settling position around 10th on a track where backmarkers have not won all season. Back him to fill a placing, not to salute.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Alysha Warren

The value angle.

Our price $7.00 · SP $21.00 · Stephanie Wright

Comfortably the classiest horse in the race - 30:7-6-5 with wins at Open level and a second-up win at Quorn under 62kg less than two weeks ago. Value each-way.

Our price $3.30 · SP $3.40 · Kayla Crowther

He now meets easier company, has a heavy record of two wins and four placings from nine, and maps to control the tempo from barrier 7 at a venue where backmarkers are winless. Last-start failure came at a higher grade over further.

Our price $9.00 · SP $10.00 · Tala Hutchinson

The safest place proposition in the field. He led and held on for third over this exact track, distance and condition on 24 July, and has now recorded six top-three finishes from his last 10. Barrier 6 and a forward map put him in the right part of a race that should be run at only a moderate tempo.

Our price $12.00 · SP $18.00 · Ms K Walters

He owns three placings from four starts at this course and distance and three placings from four heavy-track outings, and drops to 55.5kg.