Cambridge Synthetic tips and results

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.00 · Tom Wigram

The best raw form in the race, but with a surface question. She closed off well for fourth at Te Rapa over 1600m only six days ago from barrier 13 in a richer maiden, and today she gets 3kg of weight relief. The concerns are real — no synthetic experience, a get-back pattern at an on-pace-biased track, and a cold jockey. Ranked second on the balance of superior class and form against the surface unknown; each-way is the sensible way in.

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.60 · G Rooke

The overlay of the race. The 2000m failure since is easily excused.

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.30 · Sienna Brown

Emmy Dazzler has the map advantage of anything here — barrier 1, 51kg and a proven ability to bowl along. She has won over this course and distance from three attempts and her Cambridge Synthetic record reads 6 starts for a win, a second and a third.

Our price $8.50 · SP $8.70 · Ashlee Strawbridge

Assessed on the debutant proxy framework rather than penalised for absent form. The Sweeney/Strawbridge partnership is the standout statistical angle in the race at 24% from 34 rides, and Strawbridge herself is riding at 30% from her past 20. Swiss Ace stock generally show early speed, which fits the map profile even without a public trial line.

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.30 · M Hashizume

The value play. Barrier 4 places her in the track's best sprint band on a circuit that rewards on-pace positions, and the Manning/Hashizume link reads 25% from a small sample.

Our price $7.50 · SP $14.00 · Tom Wigram

The value angle is the weight scale. She drops to 51kg with the claim while the principals shoulder 57kg and 62.5kg, and from barrier 1 in a slow-tempo race she gets the perfect economical run behind the speed. Her Cambridge record of a win and two thirds from four starts plus a placing here last month over 970m shows the surface suits.

Our price $3.20 · SP $6.60 · M J Mc Nab

She is the only runner with a recent, respectable synthetic run at this exact venue, finishing 4th over 1300m from a rearward position nine days ago, and she comes into a field stacked with debutants and long-absent first-uppers carrying a clear fitness edge.

Our price $4.80 · SP $4.80 · M Hashizume

The clear danger and arguably the best pure speed type engaged. Both career starts have come fresh, so the 156-day break is not the barrier it appears. What holds her from top billing is gate 12, the poorest performing band here, and a complete absence of synthetic experience.

Our price $5.50 · SP $13.80 · S T Collett

The value proposition of the race. The Ferrando pedigree and 54kg suit a 970m blowout.

Our price $6.50 · SP $10.00 · M Cameron

Today he gets in with just 55kg from barrier 2 and, in a race the map says has no genuine leader, he can take up a forward position and dictate.

Our price $2.80 · SP $3.50 · S T Collett

The most credible winner on hard evidence. He won over this exact course and distance on 7 August, coming from 6th at the 400m to beat a BM70 field, and his track-and-distance record reads 3 starts for 2 wins. Last start at 1550m he was held up near the turn and never got clear, which reads far better than the bare seventh. The 60kg is the genuine query, but the slow tempo forecast suits his sit-and-sprint pattern.

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.60 · M Hashizume

The most likely improver in the field. Only two career starts against rivals with 20-plus, so the maiden-to-BM67 rise is offset by natural progression. The 30-day gap and the class lift are the queries, but at this track her winning pattern is proven and repeatable.

Our price $9.00 · SP $15.50 · Ashlee Strawbridge

The eye-catcher of the race despite never winning. He now gets barrier one and drops to 51kg with the claim, and Strawbridge is riding at a 30% clip.

Our price $8.50 · SP $13.90 · L H Satherley