Punt like a Pro, without the know!
New South Wales · Friday 28 August 2026
Our top pick won 3 of 8 races at Moruya. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Seven placings from 14 starts is a horse that consistently runs into a place without winning, and his best recent form is over 1800-2000m rather than a 1020m dash. Barrier 1 and the on-pace map are genuine positives, and his soft record of 7 starts for 3 seconds confirms he handles the ground. Solid place prospect.
Her soft record of 3 starts for 1 second and heavy record of 1 start for 1 second show she handles the going, and 53.5kg after the claim is a real advantage in a maiden. The 146-day layoff, an unproven first-up record of 1 start for no placings, and the sharp drop to 1020m temper enthusiasm, but she is well drawn in barrier 4 and maps to be in touch.
The most credible on-pace runner in a weak maiden. Souk's soft-track record of 4 starts for 3 seconds and his distance record of 7 starts for 3 seconds and 1 third stack up better than anything else here at 1020m on rain-affected ground, and he led or sat handy in almost every one of those placings. Barrier 3 with a 2kg claim puts him in the first three or four turning for home, which is where Moruya sprints are won. The 307-day break and 0-from-12 maiden status are real risks, but the map and surface fit are the strongest in the field.
The fitness and distance angle nobody is paying for. She is the only serious runner here who is race-fit rather than resuming, 12 days off a Moruya 4th where stewards recorded she blundered near the 800m and was disappointed for a run near the 300m.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Time For Snow | 1 | Brodie Loy | Anthony Warren | 58.5kg | $2.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | Jenni Moo Moo | 9 | Damon Budler | Natalie Jarvis | 55kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 5 | Millie's Memory | 3 | Jade Mc Kenzie | Jamie Stewart | 53.5kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 6 | Empty Pockets | 7 | Amy Mc Lucas | S W Coady | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 11 | The Friskee Flash | 8 | Glenn Cahill | N J Osborne | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Our Miracle Girl | 2 | S Guymer | Ms S Downs | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 8 | Loujen Francaise | 5 | Deep Shanker | John Morrison | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Stormy Reign | 4 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | G G Kirkup | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Iconic Prestige | 6 | Q Krogh | Aaron Clarke | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 1 | Aerion | 10 | Ms R Freeman | Gary Crossley | 59kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Souk | 3 | Matthew Kelley | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Entirely Oak | 8 | Deon Le Roux | Greg Stephens | 53kg |
The most credentialled runner in the race on raw form. He drops back to country maiden grade, settles in the 4th-6th zone that Moruya rewards most, and the compressed weights plus a 2kg claim leave him well treated. Wet ground is proven.
Blinkers first up, barrier 3 and a settle around third fit the Moruya profile. The concern is nine starts without a win.
One debut third on Soft 5 at Hawkesbury for a top Sydney stable is a legitimate platform, and the class relief is real. But he must do the work from barrier 10 to lead, and Moruya's positional data is emphatic that outright leaders struggle here, particularly with three genuine on-pacers likely to generate a fast tempo over 1660m.
Damon Budler stays aboard and strikes at 29% for this stable. Each-way value.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Magic Mountain | 2 | J Penza | M D Sparrow | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | Rouladen | 5 | Deon Le Roux | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 57kg | $3.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Fill Up | 6 | Q Krogh | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Heliconia | 3 | Brock Ryan | K J Parker | 57kg | $3.40 |
| 5th | 2 | C'mon Wicksy | 10 | Damon Budler | Rob Potter | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 5 | He Likes To Party | 12 | Sairyn Fawke | Becky Byrne | 59kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Elle Tee | 8 | Molly Bourke | Ms T Bateup | 57kg | $51.00 |
| 8th | 15 | Kisembo | 9 | Glenn Cahill | K Dryden & L Snowden | 57kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Fulmina's Legacy | 11 | J Grisedale | R & L Price | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Wundersmith | 4 | Ms R Freeman | Anthony Mountney | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 11th | 13 | Solar Orbit | 1 | S Guymer | Ms S Downs | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 12th | 4 | Hard Yards | 7 | Brodie Loy | Matthew Dale | 59kg | $7.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Buongiorno | 10 | John O'Shea & Tom Charlton | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Frosted Amour | 11 | Ms T Bateup | 57kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Nikita Zou | 16 | Luke Pepper | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Iconic Promise | 10 | Joseph Ible | 57kg |
Mrs Flanders arrives off a dominant all-the-way Moruya win over 1010m, the exact track and trip today, and Moruya sprints on Soft reward runners settling in the first three. Her form line reads 5-3-1 across her last three with clear improvement since the tongue tie changes. The 59.5kg and Maiden-to-Class 1 rise are legitimate queries, but she is the only runner combining winning track-and-distance form, proven early speed and an ideal barrier.
Tassalina resumes off a long spell but her only prior first-up run produced a win, and the 1000m maiden victory at Wagga confirms she is effective fresh over this trip. Barrier 1 is a genuine asset at Moruya where inside draws hold a clear edge, and her Cowra Class 1 fourth while racing wide is stronger than the finishing position suggests.
Her first-up record of 4 starts for 1 win means the 85-day gap is not disqualifying and her sharp Gundagai time rates competitively. The concern is tactical: she settles well back and Moruya's sprint bias punishes backmarkers heavily. Wet-track class makes her a genuine threat but she needs the race run to suit.
He drops from Class 2 to Class 1 and his last-start Moruya fourth came after being checked near the 100m.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Mrs Flanders | 5 | Brock Ryan | K J Parker | 59.5kg | $2.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | Melodia Perfecta | 3 | Ms R Freeman | Aaron Clarke | 55kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Minks Written | 2 | Pierre Boudvillain | Anthony Warren | 56kg | $5.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Vantante | 7 | Dale Cole | Paul Murray | 53kg | $21.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Nefradite | 6 | Q Krogh | G P Vella | 57kg | $9.50 |
| 6th | 10 | Media Coverage | 4 | Damon Budler | Greg Stephens | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Tassalina | 1 | Sairyn Fawke | Todd Smart | 57.5kg | $4.60 |
| 8th | 11 | Flash Piper | 8 | Deep Shanker | John Morrison | 55kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Commandoro | 9 | Amy Mc Lucas | Michael Gatty | 55kg | $6.50 |
| Scr | 1 | Willingham | 10 | Danielle Seib | 61.5kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Kunis | 2 | R & L Price | 59kg |
The strongest raw form in the race. Second up suits, the fast tempo generated by three genuine leaders suits his finishing pattern, and he is proven on the surface.
The form itself is thin - two runs, a 4th and a 3rd - and the case rests largely on being lightly raced with upside. Against that, she resumes after nearly five months off at a track where long-layoff runners badly underperform, and her most recent trial was well beaten.
The best-mapped runner in the race. His third here over 1210m on Soft 5, beaten just over half a length, is his form peak and it came under today's precise conditions. The negatives are the weak riding statistics, 59kg, and a genuinely fast tempo that may test him late - hence each-way rather than win.
He gets a far more suitable surface, retains an inside-midfield draw that maps into the best settling band for this track, and gets ear muffs to help him relax.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Perchance | 5 | Pierre Boudvillain | Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter | 57kg | $2.80 |
| 2nd | 1 | Cold Mist | 11 | Q Krogh | Paul Murray | 59kg | $4.00 |
| 3rd | 12 | Reveillon | 8 | Poppie Gorton | Michael Gatty | 54kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Zippy Lion | 2 | J Penza | Joseph Ible | 59kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Colorado Sun | 10 | S Guymer | K Dryden & L Snowden | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Mr Reiby | 1 | Amy Mc Lucas | Ms T Bateup | 59kg | $5.00 |
| 7th | 10 | I'm Ireland | 6 | Molly Bourke | Daniel Nickson | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 17 | Menacing Kaiser | 4 | J Grisedale | Matthew J Stephens | 59kg | $151.00 |
| 9th | 18 | Thegirlfromprague | 7 | Ms C Keatings | Matthew Dale | 57kg | $71.00 |
| 10th | 16 | Fields Unite | 3 | A Layt | Ms L Bundy | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Pony Express | 9 | Rebecca Bronett Prag | Anthony Mountney | 59kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Hellfighter | 11 | Ms C Keatings | Matthew Kelley | 59kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Lunar Dancer | 4 | K Dryden & L Snowden | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Prestige Prince | 11 | Warren Ganderton | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Slater's Boy | 14 | Luke Pepper | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | El Cool Gee | 4 | Pat Murphy | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Watch Me Tango | 13 | Ms T Bateup | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Final Spirit | 8 | Ms T Bateup | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 19 | Wildstone Nature | 15 | Ms T Bateup | 59kg |
The course specialist. Nine placings and four wins from 29 Moruya starts, plus a win from two tries at track and distance, gives him the most relevant form in the race, and his soft-track record of 23:3-1-4 covers today's surface. He was strong late for 4th here last start despite racing three deep. The barrier and settling position fit the track's on-pace bias perfectly.
He also maps ideally from barrier 5. He is not the top pick because 2 wins from 28 tells you he finds trouble converting, he has never won on a soft surface from six attempts, he was well beaten here on a Soft 5 in July, and the apprentice booking is inexperienced. Fair each-way, short enough to win.
The most genuinely in-form runner in the race. He has won two of his past three, including over this course a fortnight ago, and his 2000m second at Albury under 59kg in Class 1 is the strongest staying line on offer at the trip. The map is the obvious worry - barrier 10, a backmarker style and a slow predicted tempo - but he beat that same profile at Moruya last start.
A specialist getting every condition she needs back at once. Her two wins on Soft ground both came over 2000m, exactly today's assignment, and her distance record of 3:2-0-0 is the best in the field. The last two starts were terrible but came at 1400m and 1620m on a Heavy 9 in the wrong gear; the winkers that accompanied her winning form return today, and Brodie Loy is a meaningful upgrade.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Peruno | 4 | Q Krogh | Michael Gatty | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 14 | Torpedo Ted | 11 | J Penza | T & P Vigouroux | 55kg | $61.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Hardazhell | 3 | Pierre Boudvillain | Ms J Hoy | 59kg | $3.70 |
| 4th | 8 | Unmatched | 2 | Emma Ly | Matthew Kelley | 56.5kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 9 | Miss Defy | 10 | Brodie Loy | Luke Pepper | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Evokes | 9 | Ms R Freeman | Aaron Clarke | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Karuta King | 6 | A Layt | Ms L Bundy | 55kg | $18.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Vieste | 8 | Poppie Gorton | K J Parker | 56kg | $18.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Devine Outcast | 7 | Dale Cole | Pat Murphy | 58kg | $8.50 |
| 10th | 5 | Flashy Icon | 5 | Erin Ellison | Rob Potter | 55.5kg | $4.00 |
| 11th | 11 | Faye Runaway | 1 | Brock Ryan | K J Parker | 57kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Prophet's Promise | 10 | K Dryden & L Snowden | 60.5kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | It Is To Be | 1 | Pat Murphy | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 4 | Tabor | 4 | J M Cleary | 60kg |
Keatings is riding at a 25% clip and combines at 18% with the stable. Barrier 12 is the flaw, but her early speed lets her land in the 3rd-to-5th slot Moruya sprints reward.
Enormously consistent mare who has been placed at Moruya over this course and distance on multiple occasions and who won last start at Nowra on a Soft 7 carrying 60kg. She gets in nicely at 58kg from barrier 4 and the predicted very fast tempo will bring her closing pattern into play. The class rise and a modest career strike rate of 4 wins from 39 starts keep her at the third line of assessment rather than the top.
The overlay of the race. The gear removal coincided with that improvement.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Cani Cancan | 7 | Dale Cole | Paul Murray | 60kg | $13.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Tai Lung | 11 | Matt Kirk | T J Robinson | 61kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Starlight Girl | 5 | Glenn Cahill | Matthew Kelley | 60kg | $19.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Commanding Belle | 6 | Deon Le Roux | R & L Price | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 10 | Marine Girl | 9 | Ms C Keatings | N J Olive | 57kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 9 | Helluva Teen | 1 | J Penza | N J Osborne | 57.5kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 13 | You Wish | 4 | S Guymer | Anthony Warren | 56kg | $19.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Pixie Hallow | 8 | J Grisedale | Donna Grisedale | 61.5kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Abstruse | 3 | Brodie Loy | Natalie Jarvis | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 10th | 12 | Vis I Do | 10 | Pierre Boudvillain | Anthony Mountney | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Bosco | 2 | Erin Ellison | Rob Potter | 55kg | $2.70 |
| Scr | 6 | Dawn On Me | 14 | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Drama Dodger | 9 | G G Kirkup | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Xspiritous | 13 | Tash Burleigh | 55.5kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Wild Sensation | 1 | Matthew J Stephens | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Arctic Desert | 5 | J Rolfe | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Vereeva | 15 | B L Adams | 55kg |
The most credentialled runner in the race on track-specific form: her record at Moruya over this trip is 2 starts for a win and a placing, and her Soft record of 11:3-0-1 covers today's ground. Guymer is the strongest local booking. The map is the risk — she settles well back and Moruya punishes deep closers — but her prior Moruya wins came from exactly that pattern (settled 11th, ran 2nd; won from off the pace).
The class rise is real but so is the trajectory — four wins from thirteen starts, two of them at this distance, and two on Soft ground. Barrier 5 and a handy midfield settle fit the track's on-pace lean better than most of the field. The Joseph/Jones stable with Boudvillain returns 21%.
His Moruya record of 6 starts for 2 wins and 2 thirds is the best track profile in the field, and he was a length off in the same grade at Wagga in July. The concern is a persistent habit of leading and folding: five of his last ten runs saw him in front at the 400m and beaten out of a place. That volatility caps him at each-way rather than win.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Tavolo | 11 | Damon Budler | Rob Potter | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 2nd | 11 | Rocco Lini | 5 | Pierre Boudvillain | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 55.5kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 6 | Bon Frankie | 9 | Glenn Cahill | Aaron Clarke | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Mighty Myrtle | 8 | S Guymer | K Dryden & L Snowden | 58kg | $3.60 |
| 5th | 12 | Snowy | 1 | Dale Cole | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 53kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 13 | Gorush Lightning | 7 | Jade Mc Kenzie | Michael Gatty | 53kg | $81.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Epaullo Creed | 2 | Brodie Loy | N J Olive | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Good Prize | 4 | Q Krogh | G P Vella | 61.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Change The Date | 10 | J Grisedale | Donna Grisedale | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 10th | 4 | Behtar | 6 | Ms C Keatings | N J Olive | 58.5kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Scorched Lane | 3 | Emma Ly | Matthew Kelley | 53kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Laurel Hill | 2 | Rob Potter | 62kg | ||
| Scr | 5 | Due Calzini | 11 | Danielle Seib | 58.5kg |
The clear form horse. Her record at this track and distance reads 3 starts for 1 win and 1 second, and the Goulburn second before that confirms the trajectory. Guymer's 13% Moruya strike and 19% record for the stable is the right booking. The get-back pattern against an on-pace bias is the risk, but she overcame exactly that here a fortnight ago.
The map horse. Her distance record of 5 starts for 1 win and 3 seconds plus a soft record of 7:1-2-1 make her ideally conditioned. The negatives are real - no win from six tries at this track, high weight and a modest 13% career strike - so she is taken to run a big race rather than as the outright win play.
A progressive four-year-old whose entire race record is on rain-affected ground, which is a strong positive at Soft 5. The Nowra failure came racing wide throughout over a trip past her best and is forgivable.
The each-way value. His Moruya record of 28 starts for 3 wins, 5 seconds and 7 thirds - including 8 course-and-distance starts for a win, a second and two thirds - is unmatched here, and 30 soft-track starts remove any conditions doubt.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6 | Selhurst Park | 9 | Poppie Gorton | Michael Gatty | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Lady Got Bling | 6 | Brock Ryan | Jamie Stewart | 57.5kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 1 | Brutal Eyes | 8 | Emma Ly | Matthew Kelley | 61kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Vereeva | 10 | Deon Le Roux | B L Adams | 56.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Diamond Frost | 12 | Dale Cole | K Dryden & L Snowden | 60kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Nagadec | 7 | J Penza | Mark Gee | 59kg | $16.00 |
| 7th | 13 | Kool Bird | 11 | Pierre Boudvillain | Mark Gee | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Showtime Maggie | 3 | S Guymer | K Dryden & L Snowden | 57.5kg | $4.80 |
| 9th | 4 | Casino Shaw | 2 | Amy Mc Lucas | S W Coady | 59.5kg | $9.50 |
| 10th | 7 | Sir Lunchalots | 4 | Brodie Loy | Anthony Warren | 58.5kg | $9.50 |
| 11th | 3 | I Am Mamwaazel | 5 | Glenn Cahill | J Rolfe | 58.5kg | $41.00 |
| 12th | 12 | Flashback Time | 1 | Sairyn Fawke | G P Vella | 55kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 11 | Melodia Perfecta | 12 | Aaron Clarke | 56kg |
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