Ipswich tips and results

Our price $7.50 · SP $4.00 · B Lerena

Speedy Crown's only race was a close second here over this course and distance on Soft 7, giving him the most direct form reference to today's conditions. The concerns are the wide barrier, a 126-day layoff, and an outside draw that may force him deeper than ideal. He has place claims but is not as reliable as the horses above.

Our price $2.20 · SP $1.80 · Ben Thompson

Clear class edge after placing in Open company at Eagle Farm on Soft 6 and finishing midfield in a Group 3 at Rosehill. Drops sharply to a provincial Maiden, has trialled well winning over 1200m at Deagon, and Ben Thompson combines well with David Vandyke. The main risks are first-up freshness and a hold-up map on an on-pace Ipswich circuit, but her talent should outclass this field.

Our price $4.60 · SP $7.00 · Bella Youngberry

Jimmyinthejungle arrives off a last-start all-the-way win and a close third, with strong early speed to exploit Ipswich's on-pace bias from barrier 3. The step back to 1100m is a query after an even Ipswich run there in January, but he is fitter and claims 3kg through Bella Youngberry. Soft-track form is solid.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.20 · Ryan Maloney

Whispering Rogue is the likely leader in a slow-run race and Ipswich strongly favours horses settling in the first three. His soft-track record is excellent and Ryan Maloney is a significant jockey upgrade. However he has only one career win from 13 starts and showed an irregular heart rate two starts back. He may control this race from the front, but win-rate concerns keep him behind Jimmyinthejungle.

Our price $13.00 · SP $21.00 · Jasper Franklin

Coincide brings two straight wins, including a 1100m Soft5 success at Ipswich, and a strong track and distance record. The concern is his tendency to settle back in a slow-run race on a track that disadvantages backmarkers. An each-way play with sharp upside if the pace comes back.

Our price $7.00 · SP $3.20 · Ryan Maloney

She has a good Ipswich record and a win at BM65 level, plus an appealing stamina pedigree, but she is unproven at 2000m and her settling-back pattern is a concern at this track. She was also beaten by Wounder in the same Class 2 last start, so despite solid place claims, she is not the most likely winner on the day.

Our price $9.00 · SP $10.00 · Ashley Butler

Lord Protector is the value runner. His 2000m profile shows promise with three placings from six attempts, though he is winless at the trip.

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.80 · Ryan Maloney

Huge class drop from BM78/Group company to a provincial Class 1. First-up record reads one win from one attempt and he maps for a patient ride from barrier 2. The 11-month spell is a concern, but if near his best this field is well below his level.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.00 · S Cormack

He is effective on soft ground (4:1-2-0) and his pattern suggests 1700m is ideal.

Our price $5.50 · SP $10.00 · D Moor

His second-up statistics are positive and D Moor has been riding winners recently. The query is first look at Ipswich and a wide-ish draw, but his on-pace/midfield pattern should be close enough to capitalise on the expected genuine tempo.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.00 · Courtney Bellamy

He drops from BM78 to Class 5, has four wins at 1200m and has shown he can win in town. The reservations are a poor second-up record, no Ipswich experience and a wide draw. If Courtney Bellamy can slot him across without burning too much petrol, he is a genuine place and win threat.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.00 · M Rodd

He is 3-from-10 on Soft and draws barrier 5.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.00 · Ryan Maloney

The 60kg and Class 2 rise are concerns, but her racing pattern and barrier 3 should keep her prominent.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Ben Thompson

Navy Nina won a Class 2 on soft ground last start and is excellent second-up, giving her a strong profile for this Ipswich race. Her lack of 1350m form and the wide midfield map are negatives, but she may be ridden more positively from the draw. She is the third pick on class and wet-track aptitude.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Ms G Cartwright

Beat The Rap is a genuine leader and this Ipswich track has a pronounced on-pace bias. The obvious knock is the leap from Maiden to Class 2 and a first try at 1350m, but his simple front-running pattern and light weight give him strong claims.