Warwick Farm tips and results

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.70 · C Schofield

Bring Me Chocolate is the most complete profile here. Unlike the maiden winners around her she has already proven she can handle this grade, and both wins came on Good ground. The pace map has her settling third in a moderate tempo, which is the precise on-pace position Warwick Farm's tight triangular layout favours over 1200m.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.00 · J B Mc Donald

The reservations are genuine: she is first up, her two lead-up trials were plain, and 61kg from barrier 8 is no gift. Class and quality still make her the chief danger and she will be finishing hard late.

Our price $10.00 · SP $19.00 · Regan Bayliss

The value in the race on pure class. Best played each-way where the class edge alone gets him into the finish.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.00 · Tim Clark

County Kilkenny's July form was genuinely strong - back-to-back staying wins at Narrandera and Wagga, both engineered by taking control mid-race. He draws the inside gate at a circuit where barriers 1-4 return 15% and where 1-3 at the 400m wins nearly 20%. With only two genuine leaders and a slow tempo forecast, he can find the front or sit outside the pace and be very hard to run down. The synthetic run last start is easily forgiven, though the drying Good 4 is not his ideal surface.

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.20 · J R Collett

Leica Storm is the clear form-plus-map standout. He has already won this identical race at Warwick Farm over 1600m at BM72 level, leading throughout for J R Collett, and is unbeaten in two starts at the distance. Two recent close thirds under big weights at BM64 read as solid fitness builders. The strongest winning profile despite the class rise.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · William Stanley

Predicted to settle handy behind or alongside Leica Storm, he fits the on-pace bias perfectly.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.50 · J B Mc Donald

Think Itz You has the best connections in the race and steps to a distance where both his career placings at this track suggest peak trip, second-up off a fitness-building 1400m run.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.80 · J R Collett

Fast tempo with two genuine leaders suits her finishing pattern, and Collett is 19% here.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · Rachel King

The best-drawn runner in the race, with the minimum weight and a jockey striking at 25% around this tight circuit. The 1400m is unknown territory and she rises in grade, but barrier 1 in a fast-run race lets her save ground throughout and take the shortest way home.

Our price $8.50 · SP $10.00 · Tim Clark

Blinkers stay on.

Our price $4.60 · SP $11.00 · C Schofield

Waerea has run top two at six of seven starts and beat a Class 1 field last time under 60kg despite being held up near the 250m. Class rise is real but he has been winning with weight and authority.

Our price $3.40 · SP $8.00 · William Stanley

The class relief is the biggest single edge in this race. She is second up, a pattern she has already won at, gets in on a light 53kg with the claim, and maps to sit handy, which is exactly the profile Warwick Farm sprints reward.

Our price $4.20 · SP $4.20 · Tim Clark

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.50 · Siena Grima

He is fresh off a win and his last three runs read strongly. The concerns are the 3.5kg swing in weight from his best Warwick Farm effort and a settling position that leaves him reliant on the anticipated fast tempo.