Ruakaka tips and results

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.00 · Kyle Wilson-Taylor

Long Island has the strongest overall profile: fit, consistent and proven on Soft tracks with four top-three finishes from her last seven starts. Her last-start fourth at this track/distance came with excuses after being held up, and barrier 5 is ideal for the Ruakaka mile.

Our price $9.00 · SP $10.40 · M Cameron

Value runner. The Pen Is Mighty's last-start second at this track/distance on Soft 6 is the key formline, and barrier 6 fits the Ruakaka mile sweet spot. He should be prominent in a moderate tempo and is proven at the track. However, Matthew Cameron is 0-from-19 at Ruakaka and the form is inconsistent - he ran 10th two starts ago.

Our price $2.70 · SP $5.30 · M Hashizume

Bonus Bond is the clear form and map horse. She has been placed in four of five starts, handles wet ground, and should control this race from the front in an expected slowly-run maiden. The main query is that all her wet form is on heavy rather than soft, but she meets a moderate field and is entitled to break through.

Our price $3.70 · SP $3.20 · Joe Doyle

Wedding Belle produced a career-best effort last start when narrowly beaten over 1600m on soft going. She maps back and needs luck in a race that may not be run at a solid tempo, but her momentum is strong and she has clear scope to go one better. She is a genuine place chance and the best of the closers.

Our price $3.85 · SP $4.80 · G Rooke

Rippin Along has the strongest course-and-distance credentials, having placed twice in two Ruakaka 1600m maidens on soft ground. The knock is a poor recent barrier and a slightly disappointing last start, but she was held up at a key stage.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.90 · C J Grylls

The Capitalist pedigree points to natural early speed over 1200m, and C J Grylls is in form. However, debutantes carry significant uncertainty, and the current Ruakaka statistics show inside barriers struggling.

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.10 · G Rooke

G Rooke is riding with confidence, and Russian Revolution progeny generally show early pace. He has a reasonable barrier and should be prominent enough in a moderate tempo. He is a clear third preference.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.20 · Matthew Cartwright

Foo Foo's last-start second in a Restricted 60 on Heavy9 is the strongest recent form in this maiden. She drops to easier company, draws well in barrier 6, and should be fitter second-up. Soft 6 should not be an issue given her Heavy track performance. The main query is whether the fast early pace leaves her vulnerable.

Our price $6.50 · SP $4.40 · G Rooke

Boomstruck is a consistent Ruakaka 1200m runner who has placed twice from three starts at this track and distance. He is coming back well after a spell with a fifth then a third, and his Soft track profile is solid. The inside draw is a slight negative given recent Ruakaka trends, but he can get a nice run midfield.

Our price $8.00 · SP $16.10 · S T Collett

Triple Threat is the value runner. His only 1200m start produced a narrow second on Soft5, which matches today's conditions closely. He has placed twice in six starts and has enough early speed to work across from barrier 18.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.90 · G Rooke

Escape Room is improving through the grades and should relish the rise to 2100m. He closed for third over 1800m on Heavy8 despite being held up, and was runner-up over 1600m on Soft6 at Ruakaka two starts earlier. Reliable Man's stamina gives confidence for the extended trip, while George Rooke's strong recent form is a positive. A deeper run from midfield should suit if the leaders go hard.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.10 · M Hashizume

Heavenly Lady has been knocking on the door with three straight runner-up finishes at 2100m on heavy tracks, beaten less than a length twice. She is wet-track proven, drawn ideally in barrier 8, and carries just 56.5kg.

Our price $12.00 · SP $15.50 · A Lawson-Carroll

Barrier 3 and 56.5kg give her every chance to settle handier.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.40 · J Nishizuka

He drops back from Open grade, has a strong soft-track profile, and has shown he can see out longer trips with wins at 2200m and 2400m. The negative is his inability to win over this track/distance so far, but he has placed there and his last Ruakaka 1600m win came on a Soft 6.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.30 · M Hashizume

He won a 1400m maiden on Soft 5 before stepping up to Open company at Ellerslie and Pukekohe, so this BM65 is significantly easier. The 165-day spell creates fitness doubt, but he has won first-up before and barrier 5 suits Ruakaka. If fresh, his ceiling is higher than most of these.

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.70 · C J Grylls

Starlit Express is the most reliable form runner outside the top two. She posted a closing third in a BM65 on Heavy 8 last start and has twice placed at 1400m, including a BM65 third on Good 3. The key positives are the powerful Pike stable, C Grylls aboard, and a favourable middle draw. She may lack a killer win record, but her recent trajectory and suitable conditions give clear place and each-way claims.

Our price $7.50 · SP $10.80 · E M Leighton

He is dropping from BM75 grade into BM65, has a soft-track record of 12:3-4-0, and won a BM65 over 1340m on Soft 5 in the autumn. From barrier 3 he can sit directly behind the speed and avoid a wide run.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.20 · W B Kennedy

Sir Fergus has the best exposed wet-track profile among the raced runners, with a soft-track win and a heavy-track placing. He races back, so the anticipated fast tempo should bring him into it late. The main knocks are an unplaced 1400m record and an ordinary latest run, but the class drop to Restricted 60 and the in-form Kennedy stable make him the clear second pick.

Our price $7.00 · SP $14.90 · Krishi Ramdhun

Chasing Warrior is a wet-track on-pacer who has been competitive in similar company, including a second placing in a BM65 on Heavy 10. The drop back to 1400m and a good gate are positives, but his soft-track record is a concern and the jockey is untested. Still rates third on the strength of recent form and a likely forward position.

Our price $15.00 · SP $38.00 · Rihaan Goyaram