Coffs Harbour tips and results

Our price $9.00 · SP $7.50 · Archie Mc Colm

La Regina has the best course-and-distance reference in the race, having run second over 1412m at Coffs and then placed third over 1430m at Grafton in her latest start. However, she is winless in eight starts and has not shown her best on Good ground, so she is best treated as a place chance behind the two Dunn runners.

Our price $10.00 · SP $19.00 · R Spokes

In Bocca Al Lupe is a proven on-speed runner from barrier 1 who has placed in three of ten starts and was a narrow second at Ballina two starts ago. The concern is his 0-for-10 strike rate and first try at 1412m, but he is the value runner among the on-speed brigade.

Our price $18.00 · SP $19.00 · R Spokes

Barrier 1 gives him every chance to roll forward in a race with only two genuine leaders, and the removal of blinkers with a nose roll added may help him conserve energy.

Our price $6.00 · SP $26.00 · Grace Palmer

Dry-track form is the concern, but on-speed runners hold a clear edge at Coffs and this is a winnable marker.

Our price $20.00 · SP $81.00 · Madeline Owen

Sizzling Suzie's debut third at Port Macquarie on Good was better than the latest soft-track 10th suggests; she was forced back, laid in and hit the rail.

Our price $3.60 · SP $4.00 · Ashley Morgan

Long Live is the most credible form runner despite being a maiden. Coffs' short sprint should suit a horse who can sit handy; the wide gate is offset by genuine early speed. The main query is his winless record, but this is a thin maiden where his best run rates clearly above the rest.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.50 · A Gibbons

The K A Lees stable rarely sends horses to country maidens without confidence, and the extra distance should suit. She has the barrier, weight pull and profile of an improver. The risk is exposure — this is only her second start — but her upside makes her a clear threat.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.00 · O A Dalton

She has won two of eight on Good, which is more convincing than the wet-track specialists around her. Barrier 8 and a back-running pattern are negatives at Coffs, but her current form makes her the clear second pick.

Our price $7.50 · SP $5.50 · A Mallyon

Golden Copper has the strongest local course profile with three wins from five Coffs Harbour starts and a win and a placing from two starts at approximately this trip. She projects as the main leader and Coffs Good-track form strongly favours on-pace runners. Andrew Mallyon has a good record at the track. The concerns are her modest Good-track statistics and two ordinary performances this preparation, so she rates third behind the more reliable recent form of Certified Copy and Jewels Statement.

Our price $8.00 · SP $5.00 · Liberty Smyth

Her recent Grafton trial win suggests she has come up well, while the light 56.5kg and inside-middle barrier give her every chance from an on-pace position.

Our price $9.00 · SP $15.00 · Jack Baker

His Beaumont CL1 second at this trip last preparation reads well for today's grade, and he has been given two trials.

Our price $9.00 · SP $14.00 · Benjamin Osmond

She caught the eye when flashing home from near last to be beaten only a length in a Scone Class 1 over 1200m, and Kris Lees applies blinkers for the first time. Benjamin Osmond is a strong track jockey here and barrier 5 is suitable.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.10 · D Peisley

Humphree Bear has been racing consistently, finishing third in a BM74 at Coffs and then third in a BM66 at Grafton. The inside gate is a major asset over this sharp trip and his distance profile is solid. He is not preferred over Rich Star because his Good-track form is less persuasive, but he is clearly the second-ranked winning chance.

Our price $6.50 · SP $4.80 · Ms M Weir

Tryanza is a consistent place-getter who has been hitting the frame regularly, including in Class 3 company. His lack of a 1010m win and moderate Good-track numbers limit his top chance, but the light weight, good barrier and stable pattern make him the most likely of the wider contenders to fill a place.

Our price $8.00 · SP $16.00 · Grace Palmer

Her second placing in a Class 3 at Grafton and last-start third in a BM62 stack up well against this field, and 52.5kg is a significant edge.

Our price $4.40 · SP $4.40 · Archie Mc Colm

Zucchero has a legitimate winning chance based on his Good-ground profile and a strong third over 1630m at Grafton last start. The inside gate helps his chances at Coffs and Archie Mc Colm is riding with confidence. He needs a smooth run from midfield but rates one of the main winning hopes on the better surface.

Our price $7.50 · SP $5.00 · A Mallyon

He has won and placed over the Coffs 1612m previously and now gains A Mallyon in the saddle. With only two genuine leaders in the race, Secret Keeper should get a comfortable run near the speed.