Warrnambool tips and results

Our price $3.30 · SP $2.60 · Damien Thornton

But nine starts for no win and no placing is a serious warning, and the profile is exactly what Warrnambool on Heavy punishes: barrier 10, backmarker settling pattern, and a 305m straight that rarely lets closers make up ground. Class should get him into the finish, but he needs the tempo to collapse.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · W Gordon

The genuine roughie with a tactical edge.

Our price $3.30 · SP $2.80 · Thomas Stockdale

Warrnambool on Heavy 8 has a 305m straight where the front three at the 400m dominate and backmarkers are poor.

Our price $3.60 · SP $4.00 · John Allen

He settles near last in every start and heavy Warrnambool rewards runners in the front three at the 400m with a short 305m straight to make ground.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.50 · W Gordon

That is the exact positional pattern the track demands. He has a second and a third from three heavy starts, draws better in barrier 6, and backs up in 14 days with the winning rider retained.

Our price $3.60 · SP $5.50 · Teodore Nugent

The most complete fit for Heavy 8 Warrnambool. Her heavy record reads 5 starts for 2 wins and a second, she has won and run second at this track in the past six weeks, and both runs saw her improve into the front two by the 400m — precisely the winning pattern here. Barrier 2 lets Nugent take a handy spot without pressure, and at 1400m she was beaten a nose by a fit rival last start. Weight is the only real query.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · D Yendall

Add a cold jockey and 37 days off and she is short enough.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Carleen Hefel

Every one of her three heavy-track runs has yielded a placing, including a nose second on Heavy 8 over this trip at Ballarat and a brave third here on Heavy 10 after losing a plate. She draws barrier 4, settles on-pace, and comes off a maiden win for a top stable.

Our price $2.30 · SP $2.05 · Ms L J Meech

Her heavy record reads 3:2-1-0 and gate 2 lets Meech, in outstanding form, take a soft trail. The 2kg rise and her habit of settling back are the only genuine concerns on a track favouring on-pacers.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.00 · Holly Durnan

Genuinely unbeaten in terms of the placings - a win and two seconds from three heavy-track starts, including a wire-to-wire win at Warrnambool last time. Her on-pace pattern is precisely what this circuit rewards in heavy going, and 55.0kg after the claim helps. Strong place claims rather than a confident win.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.50 · Damien Thornton

The most credible proven-conditions runner in the race. Heavy record 4:1-1-0. Thornton, who partnered that win, is back and drops her to 56kg. Last start at Murtoa she carried 59kg in lesser grade. Barrier 11 is the query but she has drawn wide and won before.

Our price $8.50 · SP $13.00 · Ms K Walters

A wet-track specialist in the best form of her career. Her last four starts read 1-2-3-1 and she won last start on a Heavy 10 despite racing wide without cover, which reads better than the bare margin. The wide barrier is the concern, but she has won from gate 11 in similar ground and habitually improves into the winning zone by the 400m.

Our price $9.00 · SP $17.00 · Tom Madden

The specialist. His last two runs were over 1400m and 2050m, neither ideal; today he returns to his best trip with the softest barrier he has had in months. The forecast fast tempo up front plays directly to his grinding, wet-track pattern. Big overs.

Our price $13.00 · SP $12.00 · Neil Farley

Overpriced on wet-track evidence. He also won on Heavy 9 at Donald from an impossible position, proving he can grind through the mud when others stop.