Bunbury tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.30 · B Parnham

Trial form since has been solid, and the on-pace running style suits Bunbury's clear forward bias.

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.00 · Lucy Fiore

Our price $9.00 · SP $21.00 · Brayden Gaerth

Momotaro is the most legitimately improving runner in the field. After being wide throughout at Bunbury and beaten a long way at Northam, she found the line strongly for third over 1600m on a Heavy 9, moving from seventh at the 800m to third at the post.

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.20 · W Pike

Ah Kum offers the most reliable profile in a volatile Class 1. He maps to control from barrier 6 with only 55.0kg, the shape Bunbury rewards over staying journeys, and W Pike's booking is a clear intent signal at a track where he strikes at 19%. The 1-from-25 record and 0-from-18 on Good cap enthusiasm, not the case.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.50 · Holly Watson

But the case is not strong enough to top-pick: she has one win and zero placings from ten starts, has finished 7th and 10th in her last two without making ground, and now shoulders 58.0kg after racing at 52.5kg last start.

Our price $7.00 · SP $20.00 · Holly Nottle

She maps in the 4-6 settling band that leads the current positional bias, from the best barrier band, with a rider striking at 14% both here and for the stable.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Lucy Fiore

Vino Miss returned from a spell with a sound fourth at Bunbury over 1000m, making the lead at the 400m before only fading late. Second-up, over the extra 100m, she should strip fitter and Lucy Fiore retains the ride. She has raced in tougher company and this appears a winnable provincial maiden. The wide gate is the obvious concern, but she possesses enough tactical speed to offset that with cover.

Our price $7.50 · SP $8.00 · A Hearn

Champagne Talks is the best value runner in the race. Given the anticipated fast tempo she may either lead or sit closer than her wide draw suggests.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.50 · Lucy Fiore

The most complete form profile in a weak maiden. Second up she gets 1400m, a track where she has already placed twice, and only 56kg. She has the tactical speed to sit close without leading into a hot tempo, then finish off.

Our price $9.00 · SP $14.00 · Jade Mc Naught

The value play. The forecast very fast tempo with three genuine leaders is exactly the setup a closer wants, and barrier 1 lets her save ground into the tight Bunbury turn.

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.20 · Lucy Fiore

She has won her past two in dominant front-running fashion and is the only genuinely progressive runner in an exposed field, with a 33% win strike rate and a track record of one win from four at Bunbury. The 1200m and the class rise are legitimate questions, and barrier 10 means she likely takes a sit rather than leads, but her Bunbury maiden second from gate 12 proves she can win without controlling the race.

Our price $9.00 · SP $17.00 · Chloe Azzopardi

Her last run at Northam under 59kg was better than the bare result and she drops 3.5kg.

Our price $7.50 · SP $31.00 · Brayden Gaerth

The genuine overlay of the race. Her three recent failures were all on Soft 5 from wide barriers with stewards noting she raced wide, and her entire winning record - 2 wins and 2 placings from 7 starts - is on Good going. Today she returns to Good 4, draws barrier 2, and drops back to 1200m where she has won.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.80 · Brayden Gaerth

The most proven runner under today's exact conditions. She beat Looks over 1400m in Class 5 at Bunbury last month and is unbeaten in two visits to the track, with her only course-and-distance start producing a win. Barrier 3 and a forward settling position line up perfectly with Bunbury's on-pace lean, and today is a genuine class relief after two metro assignments.

Our price $7.50 · SP $16.00 · Ms J Gray

A proven fresh horse with the best course-and-distance credentials outside the top pick, having won at Bunbury over 1400m and placed twice more at the track.