Warwick tips and results

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.40 · M Hellyer

With three genuine leaders promising a very fast 800m tempo, her closing speed should be decisive despite barrier 13.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.50 · Leslie Tilley

Barrier 6, the minimum 54kg and an in-form rider all help, and she should sit in the first three where Warwick's soft-track data is most favourable.

Our price $3.80 · SP $2.90 · William Galloway

Fast tempo from the wide leaders should let her track and pounce.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.50 · Jess Emmerson

The most reliable form line in the race. Her distance record of two wins and four placings from ten and her soft-track record of three wins from ten make her ideally suited.

Our price $7.50 · SP $21.00 · K Yoshida

The standout overlay. She meets that winning form on similar terms with the same rider aboard. The intervening Ipswich run was on Good ground under 62kg and is easily excused.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.00 · Taylor Marshall

Barrier 5, 54kg and a rider going at 21% at Warwick are genuine advantages, and she maps to sit in the first three where the track statistics favour. The obvious flaw is nine starts without a win and one badly beaten Soft 5 run, which caps confidence to a placing.

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.40 · B Lerena

The most professional runner in the race on class lines. He has a 4:1-1-0 record at this distance range and has placed twice on Soft going.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Samantha Pointon

The 54kg with claim is a genuine advantage against horses lumping 58kg-plus. The concerns are real - a sharp class rise, an unproven Soft record of 3 starts for 0 wins and 1 placing, and a map that has him settling near last where the Warwick statistics are unkind.

Our price $4.80 · SP $3.10 · N Fazackerley

He is honest, handles Soft ground with a 6-start record showing 1 win and 2 placings, and keeps the winning rider. Solid but the draw caps enthusiasm.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · Isabel Jessop

She followed with another close third at Toowoomba, so fitness and form are solid, and her soft-track record of 5 starts for 1 win and 1 second is respectable. At 52kg she gets a genuine advantage. The 1-from-17 career record and a jockey yet to score at this track cap the win confidence, so place is the play.

Our price $3.80 · SP $5.00 · Taylor Marshall

Heart 'n' Power ran third in the same 1350m Restricted 58 event at Ipswich last time after setting a strong tempo, and holds the best balance of class, soft-ground form and positional profile. Barrier 3 gives her the low-draw advantage Warwick rewards, while Taylor Marshall has a strong record at the track. She drops back from BM68/Open assignments and rates clearly as the horse to beat, though the 59.5kg impost and likely early pressure are the main concerns.

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.00 · G Geran

Rare Moon comes out of the same Ipswich formline as the top pick, finishing second after being held up near the 400m.

Our price $8.50 · SP $13.00 · Reece O'Connell

Street Dazzler is already proven at Warwick, having won an 1100m restricted race here on Aug 4. From barrier 2 she gets an ideal low gate, while Reece O'Connell's strong recent strike rate adds confidence. She tends to settle back, but the forecast fast tempo sets up her closing run.

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.30 · Ms G Cartwright

The most credible form line in the race. He is proven on rain-affected ground with a soft record of 1 win, 1 second and 1 third from 4 starts, is lightly raced at 6 starts, and draws in the favoured inside band. A fast tempo set by three genuine leaders is exactly what his finishing pattern requires.