Seymour tips and results

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.10 · J Mott

The most reliable, best-mapped runner in the race. Barrier 3 lets Mott take the trip that Seymour's strong on-pace bias rewards. Against him is a 5yo maiden profile, 59.5kg and a habit of finding one better. Ideal each-way proposition rather than a confident win play.

Our price $10.00 · SP $14.00 · Damien Thornton

The clear overlay. Milvian Bridge closed from 13th to run 4th at Sale over 1717m on a Soft 6 on debut, having been keen and restrained early - the single most relevant stamina-plus-wet-surface line in this field. He drops 117m in trip with a run under his belt, and the O'Brien/Thornton pairing strikes at 29% with Thornton 23% at Seymour.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.50 · Logan Bates

The best-mapped runner in the race. Second-up, back to her proper trip and drawn in barrier 2, she can take up the sort of on-pace position Seymour has been rewarding heavily.

Our price $5.50 · SP $17.00 · C Newitt

Our price $5.50 · SP $10.00 · M J Dee

He is a well-bred Snitzel colt from a strong stable with a proven track rider, he races forward which fits Seymour's pronounced on-pace sprint bias, and the drying Soft 6 should be more suitable than the bottomless tracks he has met so far.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.60 · Ruby Lamont

His soft/heavy record (2 wins, several placings) is well ahead of most in this field, and his handy racing pattern should benefit if the two home-track leaders duel.

Our price $9.00 · SP $13.00 · Nadia Daniels

An experienced mare dropping sharply out of stronger grade with solid soft-track placing credentials and a workable inside barrier.

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.50 · Damien Thornton

Jenny The Beaver is the clearest form horse for Soft conditions after winning her last two on wet tracks, including a determined Seymour Soft 2000m BM62 victory from back in the field. Wet-track record is strong and she handles the distance. Class rise and map are negatives on a slow tempo with leaders bias, yet recent trajectory and track suitability make her the most likely winner on pure form.

Our price $7.50 · SP $13.00 · John Allen

Kiss My Rock ran an honest third behind Ahab over this course and distance last start on Heavy and has winning wet form. John Allen’s engagement is a major plus given their strike rates. Wide gate and class rise are hurdles, but he is fit, progressive and capable of filling a place or better if the race develops favourably.

Our price $9.00 · SP $7.50 · Fred W Kersley

Calypso King is the value runner as the likely lone leader in a slow-tempo staying race where leaders are winning at 33%. Soft form is genuine and he has won at the trip.

Our price $4.20 · SP $5.00 · Craig Williams

Both runs have come on Soft 6, she won at Bendigo doing it hard wide without cover, and her Sale run over an inadequate 1400m saw her fight on from a forward spot. Craig Williams replacing McNeil for the Hayes stable at a track where he strikes at 27% is a clear intent signal, and the step up to the mile plus barrier 5 in a tactical race should bring improvement.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.50 · J Mott

The class and conditions horse of the race. Pariah Pearl has won four times on soft ground and boasts three wins, three seconds and two thirds from thirteen mile starts, a profile nothing else here matches. The weight and a patchy recent run of results temper enthusiasm, but at this level with these conditions she is a live each-way proposition.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Jordan Childs

He broke through at Bendigo over 1400m on a Soft 6 and was beaten a nose at Seymour on Soft 5, so both the trip and the surface are proven. Jordan Childs has an excellent Seymour strike rate and rides well for the stable. The last-start synthetic flop came after he overraced in front over an unsuitable 1600m.

Our price $7.00 · SP $14.00 · Neil Farley

Clear each-way value.