Sunshine Coast tips and results

Our price $7.00 · SP $12.00 · B Lerena

Durness is the value runner on the map. She has improved through a 4-2-1 sequence, won last start from an on-pace position over 2010m, and from barrier 2 should settle handy in a slowly run race - exactly the profile the Sunshine Coast soft-track data rewards.

Our price $3.50 · SP $4.40 · Ben Thompson

The Sunshine Coast Inner trial on Soft 7 was sound, he draws barrier 3 and maps to settle just off three genuine leaders, the ideal spot in a very fast 1000m. Kendrick stable, in-form Ben Thompson, and the tongue tie is a sensible change. Most likely winner on form and map.

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.00 · Ms S Tierney

He won a Soft 7 trial at Sunshine Coast Inner over 1000m, settles midfield behind a very fast tempo and reunites with Ms Tierney, who is 27% at this track.

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Cejay Graham

King Of The Jungle is the honest on-pace type who fits the track bias perfectly. He leads or sits outside the leader over this course and distance almost every start and rarely runs a bad race here, placing in 8 of 13. Yet to win on soft ground but has placed three times on it, and 55kg is a real advantage. Tempo pressure from Super Daisy is the risk.

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.40 · Jai Williams

Holy Flash profiles as the ideal fit for today's conditions: a proven soft-track horse with a win at Sunshine Coast over 1600m and a forward racing pattern that matches the on-pace bias. His three close placings in BM65-70 grade on soft tracks through June-July are competitive form for this, and the Ipswich failure had clear excuses. Barrier 10 is the main worry but he has early tactical speed.

Our price $15.00 · SP $31.00 · Gabrielle Semmens

The on-pace settling position from barrier 6 fits the bias.

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.20 · Ben Thompson

Col Burn has won two of three starts, both at Sunshine Coast, including a strong BM58 win last start carrying 61kg from a wide gate. He drops to 58.5kg, retains Ben Thompson for David Vandyke, and his on-pace racing style aligns with the track's clear bias toward handy runners. The main risk is his complete lack of soft-track race exposure, but a drying Soft 6 reduces that concern. Best win chance in a moderate Class 3.

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.80 · Taylor Marshall

Influential returns first up with a solid fresh record and a wet-track profile that reads well for a Soft 6. He drops sharply in class from metropolitan BM78 to provincial Class 3, and a genuine tempo generated by Kadall and Col Burn should set the race up for his finishing burst.

Our price $10.00 · SP $14.00 · M R Du Plessis

The track bias is against backmarkers, but with Kadall and Col Burn likely to duel up front, a fast tempo could set it up for him.

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.20 · Ben Thompson

The clear class horse in a moderate provincial Maiden. Fitness without a trial is the main risk, hence confidence capped at 70.

Our price $7.50 · SP $8.50 · Bella Youngberry

Youngberry's 30% recent strike rate is a strong intent signal. Zero placings from five starts caps confidence, so each-way is the play.

Our price $8.00 · SP $6.00 · Boris Thornton

The problem is the map: he is slowly away nearly every run and must come from the back in a slow-tempo race under a track profile that has been hostile to backmarkers. He retains a strong place claim if the leaders overdo it, but the win case depends on luck that the map does not offer.

Our price $4.80 · SP $3.80 · Montana Philpot

Family Of League offers the best each-way value outside the top three. She is the clear leader, carries just 56kg, and gets a slow tempo where she can dictate on a soft track she has placed on repeatedly.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.00 · Boris Thornton

Bobby's My Mate is the natural early speed in the race and should be third or closer in running, exploiting the on-pace bias. His Gold Coast 1800m run from last was more meritorious than the result, and he is on an upward trend.