Tuncurry tips and results

Our price $3.20 · SP $4.00 · B Looker

Zous Apollo was strong when runner-up first-up at Port Macquarie on Heavy 8, sitting on the speed and fighting on well. From barrier 1 over this sharp 1000m, he should get every chance to control the race from an economical position. Ben Looker and the Paul Snowden stable are a proven combination, and second-up fitness strengthens his case. Despite being a maiden, he is the most reliable winning chance in an open race.

Our price $6.50 · SP $10.00 · Shannen Llewellyn

She is second-up now, and her stable has a strong record with this rider. Her earlier form in Sydney maidens points to more ability than her raw record suggests.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.20 · Ashley Morgan

She has placed on soft and heavy tracks, and her 1300m Hawkesbury third two starts back shows she is competitive at this level. From barrier 7 she should hold a forward spot.

Our price $14.00 · SP $14.00 · Olivia Chambers

From barrier 3 on a tight Tuncurry circuit she should get every chance.

Our price $3.20 · SP $9.00 · A Farragher

Spicy Surprise has done all of his racing over 1400m and has placed three times from four attempts. With no genuine leader in the race, Adam Farragher should be able to control the tempo from barrier 5. The big concerns are the long spell and lack of wet-track form, so he rates behind Sea Level but is the clear second pick.

Our price $8.00 · SP $17.00 · G Buckley

The weakness is 15 maiden starts without a win, but she maps midfield in a slowly run race and should be in the finish.

Our price $20.00 · SP $16.00 · Zac Wadick

Atadcheeky has improved sharply since Zac Wadick took over, finishing second at Taree and third here over track and distance on Soft7. With only 55kg and proven wet-track form, he can run another competitive race.

Our price $4.60 · SP $4.60 · Deon Le Roux

Ready And Lucky is a consistent mare who has been competing in BM66 and BM74 races, so this BM58 assignment represents a significant class drop. She has placed in a BM64 over 1400m on Soft 7 and is rarely beaten far. Although she lacks a recent victory and has top weight, her overall quality, tactical speed and wet-track record make her a strong secondary chance in a race that may not take much winning.

Our price $11.00 · SP $5.50 · Jenny Duggan

Nikody's Binks is the speed of the race and should be able to find the front from barrier 11 in a field with only one genuine leader. He has already won a BM58 over 1400m on a rain-affected surface and has shown he can handle the demands of this track.

Our price $4.80 · SP $12.00 · Ms C Williams

Fulmen Filou brings the strongest direct formline to this race, finishing a close second over 2100m in BM66 company on a Soft5 surface 16 days ago. He is proven at the trip, stays in the same grade, and should be able to hold a favourable midfield position. The 62kg is the main risk, but the overall profile makes Fulmen Filou the most likely winner.

Our price $5.80 · SP $5.00 · Anna Roper

Prince Is Game has sound claims as the main danger, particularly because he has already won at Tuncurry over this exact 2100m course and distance. His heavy-track second over 2000m at Taree shows genuine staying ability, and a light 55kg with Anna Roper in form is a positive. He should settle within striking range and is well suited to the likely slow tempo. His overall win strike rate is ordinary but the course, distance and conditions align closely here.

Our price $7.50 · SP $10.00 · Liberty Smyth

Strobing is the clear on-pace threat and comes into this off a commanding last-start win at Kempsey over 1900m. Tuncurry's tight circuit and the expected slow tempo are ideal for his economical, forward racing style. He has proven course form and is reliable on soft tracks, making him a strong place chance. The main concern is that he has not yet placed in two runs at 2100m and faces a slight class rise from BM58 grade.

Our price $7.80 · SP $8.00 · Madeline Owen

Caledonian is the value play, having finished a close third in a 2000m BM66 at Taree on a Soft6 surface two starts back. He continues to race consistently and his low weight plus favourable inside barrier should allow him to hold a prominent position into the short Tuncurry straight.

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.50 · A Farragher

Super Sugoi has the best overall blend of current 1600m form, Soft track aptitude, and class in this CL2. The wide draw is a query, but on a tight circuit with an expected steady tempo he should be close enough at the 400m.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.50 · P Graham

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.00 · Archie Mc Colm

It's A Knockout is the clear class runner, coming through Listed and BM100 grade on rain-affected tracks. She was unlucky not to win when 2nd at Randwick on Heavy 9 and has been competitive at 1500m-1600m in tougher events.

Our price $5.80 · SP $2.90 · A Bullock

Zouna comes through the same Randwick BM78 mile race as Inquiring Minds and was only half a length behind him. He gained country experience with a close third at Forbes and now gets an in-form rider in Aaron Bullock. However, his inability to win over 1600m and modest Soft-track strike rate make him a clear third selection.

Our price $14.00 · SP $21.00 · G Spokes

House Of Cards is the genuine value runner, arriving off consecutive wins including a last-start course victory on a Soft 7. He stays at Tuncurry, keeps the same rider, and carries a lightweight 53kg.

Our price $10.00 · SP $31.00 · Anna Roper

The Piccolino is a proven country wet-track performer who chased home Grassburn in the same class here last start. He maps well and should appreciate the extra 200m, with genuine pace likely to suit his forward racing style.