Coffs Harbour tips and results

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.60 · A Mallyon

La Regina has the right racing pattern for Coffs Harbour, where on-pace runners dominate Maiden races, and she draws well with a jockey who wins 23% of his rides here. However she led and weakened badly last start at this track, has never raced beyond 1430m, and the addition of a lugging bit points to a mare that over-races - a dangerous trait stepping up to 1618m.

Our price $7.50 · SP $20.00 · O A Dalton

Irish Accolade offers the best overlay. His 6th at Taree was at Class 1 level and he now returns to Maiden grade. He has extensive wet-track experience and can settle closer than his backmarker label suggests.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.20 · A Mallyon

Under the maiden proxy rules, Miss Fic rates strongly on connections: Dunn/Mallyon are the best stable-rider combination in the field and Mallyon has a 23% strike rate at Coffs. Against exposed maidens with nothing but placings between them, a well-trialled debutant with intent is a genuine winning chance.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.00 · Courtney Bellamy

Noadiah is the value in the race. She maps to lead or share the lead on an on-pace dominant track.

Our price $2.60 · SP $2.10 · Adin Thompson

The class drop to a country maiden, an on-pace pattern and barrier 4 align with the Coffs Harbour sprint bias. Rider form is the main knock, but she is the most likely winner.

Our price $3.60 · SP $4.40 · B Looker

Two straight trial wins on Soft 5 ground, a barrier 1 draw and the booking of Coffs Harbour's leading rider Ben Looker all point to a well-prepared debutant. The concern is the speed map projecting him back in the field on a track that punishes backmarkers, and a 3yo racing against older horses first time out. Solid place prospect and a genuine winning chance if he settles closer than mapped.

Our price $3.40 · SP $2.15 · Liberty Smyth

He maps handy from gate 5 on a leader-favoured Coffs surface, carries just 56.5kg and has placed twice in Class 1 on soft going.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.00 · A Mallyon

Torque So Hot is the runner best suited by the Coffs Harbour bias: an on-pace sprinter drawn inside who has already handled Heavy 10 and Soft 7 going. Dropping back from 1430m to 1218m after a solid C1 third on a wet Grafton track, he gets Mallyon (23% at this venue) and should control a moderate tempo.

Our price $15.00 · SP $21.00 · Adin Thompson

Mini Angel is the overlay. She races on the speed, which is precisely the profile this track rewards, and she has already won on Heavy 9 and placed on Soft 5.

Our price $9.00 · SP $10.00 · Madeline Owen

Seething Chuck is the reliable on-pace type the BM58 rule favours. He was narrowly beaten in this grade over 1600m on a soft track last start, draws barrier 4, and maps to sit just behind the speed in a race where the leaders may be pressured.

Our price $3.80 · SP $6.50 · Juliet Partridge

Cool Fizz drops back to BM58 after holding her own in BM74 company, then ran a strong 2nd here last start with 61kg from a handy spot. She is a proven 1000m and wet-track performer, has won at this track and distance, and maps to settle 3rd-4th which is the winning position in Coffs sprints. The 1.5kg swing back from Highland Force plus the extra 200m tilts the rematch her way. Main knock is her habit of running seconds.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Liberty Smyth

She needs a tidy start from barrier 11 to slot in behind the speed, but her forward pattern and wet-track credentials make her a genuine each-way chance.

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.70 · Liberty Smyth

She has won three of her last four, including a BM58 at Port Macquarie on a Soft 6 from gate 12, and a Coffs Harbour trial win on September 3 confirms fitness after 44 days. Light weight and on-pace tactics suit the historical Coffs Harbour profile, but a genuinely fast tempo may take the sting out of her late.

Our price $13.00 · SP $21.00 · O A Dalton

Overlay based on track affinity and recent trajectory. The class drop is meaningful and a fast tempo suits.