Northam tips and results

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.50 · Ebony Johnson

Lightly weighted on-pace mare who maps well from barrier 2 in what shapes as a slowly run race. She has genuine Northam form - a Class 3 win in July plus two placings there - and closed well for 2nd at Bunbury on Soft 5. The negatives are material: no win in nine soft-track starts, no win in five attempts at 1100m, and a flat last-start 5th when stewards queried the run.

Our price $11.00 · SP $11.00 · Jason Li

He is second up from a spell, gets in light at 51.5kg with a 3kg claim, and has won on soft ground at York.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.40 · Holly Watson

Holly Watson is riding in strong form (20% last 20) and combines with Mitchell Pateman at 13%. Untried in a race, so carries debutant risk, but the inside draw and on-speed profile fit Northam's maiden speed bias.

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.00 · Chanel Cooper

Still a maiden (0-0-0 from five) but improving and dropping to the right grade; he settled fifth last start and wasn't fully tested.

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.60 · Natika Riordan

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.00 · Chanel Cooper

A consistent maiden whose two career seconds both came at Northam, and who now drops back from Class 1 company into a winnable maiden. The query is tactical: he maps to settle midfield (~8) at a track that strongly favours handy runners, and he is yet to place in five 1000m attempts. Still, his proven affinity with the track and the class drop make him the clear second pick behind Salve Regina.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Brayden Gaerth

She has genuine early speed, draws the low gate (4) and should settle prominently on a track where handy, low-to-mid drawn runners dominate Northam maidens. The thin form base and a cold rider temper confidence, but her tactical position gives her a live each-way/placing chance.

Our price $15.00 · SP $31.00 · Sharni Webster

Maps perfectly for Northam: barrier 1, settles third and carries only 53kg. Earlier in the year she was placing in maidens at 1200-1500m.

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.50 · J Lyon

Our price $16.00 · SP $26.00 · Holly Nottle

Only three career starts, progressive gear adjustments and a suitable mid draw (7) at a mile that rewards gates 5-8.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.70 · Laqdar Ramoly

Maps on-pace from barrier 4, which suits Northam's strong on-pace/inside bias on soft ground. Drops slightly in class and ran 2nd over 1400m on Soft 5 two starts back. Weight 58.5kg is manageable.

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.30 · Joey Azzopardi

Consistent recent form, 3rd last start in a Class 1 at Pinjarra. But only 1 win from 18 and 0 wins from 5 on soft marks her as a placegetter rather than a winner. Stays fit and honest, hence the place recommendation over a win.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.70 · Chris Parnham

Race-day debutant from the Simon Miller yard with the top local rider Chris Parnham, who wins at 21% at Northam. Drawn the inside gate in a race where low barriers and forward positions dominate, and he has improved between trials. With no form to assess, weighting shifts to the strong trainer/jockey intent and pedigree - enough to rate him the clear second winning chance.

Our price $11.00 · SP $14.00 · B Parnham

The pace map has him prominent. The obvious knock is an inside-favouring track and a wide barrier 12, plus a 13-start winless record, so place claims look stronger than a win case.

Our price $18.00 · SP $8.50 · Joey Azzopardi

A recent 3rd at Pinjarra adds a formline.

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.20 · Joey Azzopardi

However, his backmarker style from a wide barrier may be compromised by a slow tempo at Northam, where on-pace runners dominate. He is a clear place chance but not the top win pick.

Our price $7.50 · SP $6.50 · S O'Donnell

She meets that rival 1kg better off and draws much closer to the rail, which could reverse the margin.

Our price $12.00 · SP $31.00 · Sharni Webster

Obscentino won his maiden at Northam 2200m last start and now steps up in class. He has early speed to mitigate a wide barrier and could lead on a slow tempo.