Sha Tin tips and results

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.30 · A Atzeni

Drawn kindly in gate 4 with the hood removed, it maps to settle midfield and unleash late in what projects to be a fast-tempo contest. The obvious negative is a 0-from-21 record, but its finishing strength and suitability give it a clear winning chance.

Our price $7.50 · SP $11.00 · Lyle Hewitson

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.90 · K Teetan

However the predicted fast tempo with a rival leader engaged, plus a wide barrier 12, tempers his finish.

Our price $6.50 · SP $3.50 · Jerry Chau

Handsome Hero is a debutant, so per the maiden proxy rule I weight trainer/jockey intent, trial evidence and pedigree rather than penalising absent race data. Barrier 11 is a mild negative, but the sharp trip and early speed make him a live place chance.

Our price $9.00 · SP $19.00 · H Bentley

The forecast fast tempo from two confirmed front-runners should reward his late-running style, and he won his most recent 1000m trial. The obvious knock is a 0-from-8 record and a deep-settling pattern at a trip that favours on-pace runners.

Our price $6.00 · SP $14.00 · H Y Yuen

Double Bingo brings the strongest recent formline into this race, winning then placing twice over the exact Class 5 1400m conditions at Sha Tin, all by narrow margins. The 4.5kg claimer reduces his burden to the lightest in the field, and his track/distance record (4:1-1-1) is the best credential on offer.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.50 · K Teetan

He settles in the midfield band that historically performs best at Sha Tin 1400m and gets a workable draw.

Our price $5.50 · SP $9.40 · M L Yeung

With two genuine leaders (Winning Now, Colourful Winner) set to force a fast 1400m tempo, the race shapes for a late closer.

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.90 · P N Wong

Race-fit, improving 6yo who maps as leader from barrier 2 with just 53kg.

Our price $8.00 · SP $17.00 · C Y Ho

C Y Ho, riding at 25% over his last 20 rides, is the hottest jockey engaged here.

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.80 · Jerry Chau

He sits on-pace (~4), which fits a race with genuine early speed, and his track/distance record is solid on placings (0-0-2).

Our price $7.50 · SP $6.20 · A Badel

Our price $11.00 · SP $28.00 · A Atzeni

Oldtown is the genuine overlay.

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.90 · C Y Ho

Victor Supreme is the clear form pick. The projected fast tempo with two leaders sets the race up for his strong late surge, and gate 4 should allow C Y Ho to track and pounce.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.80 · Z Purton

Our price $9.00 · SP $10.00 · M F Poon

Lucky Balerion owns the most relevant form line in the race with two recent, narrow seconds over this exact Sha Tin 1600m. As a lightly raced 4yo with only five starts he still has scope to find a little more. The barrier 14 draw at Sha Tin, where inside gates are strongly preferred and wide runners at the mile are a noted risk, plus a cold jockey in M F Poon, are the reasons he sits behind the top two rather than ahead of them.

Our price $10.00 · SP $27.00 · M Chadwick

Circuit Marshal is the overlay in the race. The projected fast tempo (two genuine leaders) should set it up for a strong finisher.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.10 · Jerry Chau

Barrier 1 is a major asset at Sha Tin 1400m with the rail out 4.5m, allowing Jerry Chau to sit handy off what projects as a fast tempo. His latest 10th (interference) is forgivable.

Our price $4.20 · SP $4.10 · Z Purton

Our price $9.50 · SP $8.90 · B Avdulla

Value overlay. Concerns are a first-up run, barrier 12 and a 9:0-1-1 Sha Tin 1400m record.

Our price $6.50 · SP $11.00 · K Teetan

A very fast tempo with two leaders engaged sits him ideally just off the pace.

Our price $9.00 · SP $27.00 · H Y Yuen

He won a Class 3 1000m here in April and has 2 wins and 5 seconds from 21 starts at the course and trip. With Metro Power and Alpha Strike both engaged, the predicted very fast tempo should set the race up for his sustained run. Draw 6 and 56.5kg are workable.

Our price $10.00 · SP $19.00 · K C Leung

The expected very fast tempo, with two genuine leaders engaged, plays directly into his sweeping style, and he has closed from 11th and 13th to win here before.

Our price $16.00 · SP $14.00 · C Y Ho

C Y Ho is riding at 25% over his last 20 mounts.

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.90 · C Y Ho

His last two runs were 3rds from hopeless positions after being held up and hampered, and a fast projected tempo with two genuine leaders should set the race up for his powerful late surge. C Y Ho's 25% recent strike rate adds confidence.

Our price $16.00 · SP $23.00 · E C W Wong

Anode is the value angle.

Our price $6.50 · SP $17.00 · Jerry Chau

The main risk is a bridesmaid profile and a deep settling position.

Our price $12.00 · SP $24.00 · Luke Ferraris