Te Aroha tips and results

Our price $7.00 · SP $12.20 · Lemmy Douglas

The model of consistency over the bigger fences, placing in each of his last four steeplechase starts including a solid second on a Soft 7 at Te Rapa. Still lightly raced as a six-year-old and clearly improving with experience. He gets back in the running but finishes off strongly. A safe placing proposition in what is an open maiden steeplechase.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.50 · Corey Wiles

He races handy from the inside gate, shows good late speed and ran second over hurdles two starts back. He has yet to place on soft ground, which tempers enthusiasm, but he maps ideally and rates a leading place hope.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.10 · Kylan Wiles

Billy is the safest jumper in the race and has been knocking on the door with three placings from six hurdle starts. He is consistent, handles wet ground and comes from a strong jumps stable, so another forward showing is likely. The knock is that he rarely wins, carrying top weight of 68kg after an unplaced run last time.

Our price $3.30 · SP $3.20 · Luca Remondet

Won over hurdles here last start in testing ground, sitting close to the speed. Strong record on soft tracks and a healthy strike rate over jumps. On-pace profile fits the likely slow tempo and the inside gate, and the compressed weight scale helps him carry 69kg. The one query is the step to 4200m, where he is yet to place, but his form and track/bias fit makes him the most likely winner and justifies his favouritism.

Our price $13.00 · SP $23.20 · Corey Wiles

A track specialist with two hurdle wins and a second at Te Aroha, including a runner-up effort behind Squire last start.

Our price $3.80 · SP $2.70 · Scotty Macnab

He has won two of his last three, including a hurdle, and placed at this sort of grade on the flat at Hawera before that. He stays 2200m well and has already won at Te Aroha. The risks are a get-back style and a likely slow tempo, and his flat victories are thin, but he is the safest form anchor in an open field.

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.00 · Monique Dey

A grinding stayer who charged home for third in a stronger grade last start and now drops in class. He is fresh, drawn to settle midfield and has a strong wet-track placing record on heavy ground. He has never placed on soft going, which is the obvious concern on a Soft 7, but the course tends to reward fresh, recently-placed horses, so he rates a place chance.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.00 · Bradley Shane Rantall

She was a game second in a stronger handicap on heavy ground two starts ago but was run down after leading last time out. The step up to 1400m is an unknown and her rider has had a lean run, but she has the early toe to be right in the finish if she can control her effort.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.50 · Alexandra Reed

The most dependable wet-track profile in the race. A six-year-old who has finished in the placings four times on soft ground and won't mind the testing conditions. Fresh off a third, he is second-up today, a stage at which he has placed twice from four attempts. Drawn ideally in barrier two as the likely leader, he should control a moderate tempo over a trip that suits, and is the one they will have to run down.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Caydence Patel

An improving lightly raced maiden whose form is all on wet ground, and a Soft 7 plays to his strengths as a son of Raise The Flag. He ran third last start and has been edging closer, and barrier four should see him settle just off the speed. Solid each-way claims.