Caulfield tips and results

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.20 · Ben Melham

He ran to a winning standard that day and his earlier Flemington run was better again. Still the most likely winner, but staked accordingly.

Our price $11.00 · SP $16.00 · Luke Currie

Gin Twist is the class runner of the field as a stakes winner at Caulfield, and her first-up Flemington effort was sounder than the beaten margin suggests after she led in a hot tempo.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.50 · Ben E Thompson

Cherry Bomshell brings the strongest class credentials in the race as a Group 2 winner and was beaten only two lengths in another Group 2 last time. The concern is that her work this preparation has not reached her juvenile level, and her Furious fourth flattered slightly as she finished over beaten horses in a slowly run race. The step to 1440m is new but she is bred to appreciate it and her fitness curve points up at the third run in.

Our price $17.00 · SP $18.00 · Damian Lane

She was Listed placed on a Soft 5 at Doomben, her return under 61kg at Warwick Farm was a better effort than the bare fourth suggests, and she now drops to 56kg for Chris Waller with Damian Lane aboard. The stable has a strong record of improving fillies second up and this daughter of Wootton Bassett should relish 1440m.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.00 · Jamie Melham

He failed at this trip here last time, pulling hard and finishing near last, and today he draws wide and gets back on a track that punishes that pattern over 2000m.

Our price $15.00 · SP $20.00 · Jabez Johnstone

The obvious speed in the race and drawn to control it from barrier 2. He was beaten by better horses in the Flemington and Sandown races that preceded his heavy-track flop, and those efforts would have him competitive here.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.00 · Tim Clark

The two negatives are obvious: she has not won a race and she is drawn widest.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Craig Williams

A wet-track specialist with a superb Caulfield record who should sit second behind Pride Of Jenni and be the main danger if she wobbles late. His Memsie second on soft ground was very good, but the Makybe Diva flop where he faded from second was a warning about his age.

Our price $7.50 · SP $5.50 · John Allen

The overlooked runner.

Our price $2.60 · SP $2.60 · Zac Lloyd

She settles forward from a good gate in a race with one genuine leader and a slow tempo, which is where Caulfield winners come from, and she gets the fillies' allowance. The new rider and the stable's Caulfield record are the concerns, but the form case is clearly the strongest.

Our price $11.00 · SP $16.00 · Nash Rawiller

Obambulate is the overlay in this race. He has never been beaten on rain-affected ground, has already won at Caulfield, and will get a lovely run just behind the leader from barrier 5 in a race likely to be run slowly.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.50 · Craig Williams

The map horse. She is the only one who wants to lead, the pace is likely to be slow, and leaders have been winning more than their share at Caulfield lately. Her second-up record is outstanding, she has placed at Group level over the mile, and she carries the minimum with Craig Williams aboard.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.20 · Nash Rawiller

Beiwacht controlled the Memsie from the front at this track on soft ground and won by three lengths, a run of genuine Group 1 quality. Dropping back to 1200m suits a horse with his early speed, and from barrier 3 he should lead at a tempo he dictates. Second-up seconds and the lack of a 1200m win are the queries, but the class and track fit justify the favouritism.

Our price $9.00 · SP $13.00 · Zac Lloyd

An improving four-year-old whose Missile Stakes second was one of the best sprint performances in this field this preparation. He has placed twice in three soft-track runs, including a Group 1 third in the Doomben 10,000, so the going is not a barrier. Each-way.

Our price $12.00 · SP $14.00 · Jamie Mott

My Gladiola won the Moir on a soft track three weeks ago, beating several of these, and she has been consistently competitive in top sprints all year. The step to 1200m is the query as her best form is over shorter, but with the tempo expected to be moderate she should sit closer than usual.

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.30 · Billy Egan

Buccleuch's last two wins on wet tracks at Sandown were clearly the strongest efforts in this field, achieved under big weights, and he now drops to 57kg. His only Listed try at Caulfield was a fair sixth before this improvement. The class rise and wide gate are legitimate concerns, but his rain-affected record and rising trajectory make him the most likely winner.

Our price $7.00 · SP $3.50 · Ben Allen

Harry's Yacht is a Caulfield 1400m specialist and his closing effort in the Heath over a short trip was full of merit. A jump-out win since confirms fitness. The concerns are a poor second-up record and a racing pattern that will have him near the rear on a track where leaders hold sway.