Sha Tin tips and results

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.60 · James Orman

The clear form pick. He ran to a winning standard when a close second over this trip last time, the strongest recent effort in the race, and he does it by racing handily, which suits a contest with only one genuine leader and an even tempo. Top weight and a slightly wide draw are the knocks and he remains a maiden, but on what he showed last start he is the one to beat.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.90 · Zac Purton

He is improving, stormed home for fourth last start and has placed three times for this rider. The concern is his deep-closing style in what shapes as an even-tempo race with only one genuine leader, but his turn of foot and the first-time pacifier keep him right in the finish.

Our price $15.00 · SP $39.00 · Derek Leung

He has been running to a useful level in a stronger grade and now finds a winnable Class 5, with an in-form rider and a trainer/jockey combination that has been firing.

Our price $4.50 · SP $9.90 · Vincent Ho

Glaciated has the strongest recent body of work in this field. Last start over this course and trip he settled midfield and ran home strongly to finish fourth, the best closing effort of the race. He is lightly weighted, improving, and booked for a stable/jockey team going well.

Our price $10.00 · SP $21.00 · Harry Bentley

The pace map identifies him as the only genuine leader in a race lacking early speed, and Sha Tin strongly favours on-pace horses who can dictate. If he crosses and controls a moderate gallop he can pinch this.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.20 · Derek Leung

He settles in midfield, so the predicted fast tempo should suit, and his rider is in outstanding form for this yard. The knock is a Good-track record without a win, but his form and class edge make him the one to beat.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · Nichola Yuen

He gets back and charges home, which suits a race with three confirmed leaders, and the apprentice claim eases his weight. The wide draw and a quiet spell from his stable are the knocks.

Our price $8.50 · SP $13.00 · Keith Yeung

A 1400m specialist with fourteen starts at the trip, a win and four placings, and he ran much better than his eighth placing suggested last time. He maps on the speed from a fair draw and the strong early tempo should set it up for his late surge.

Our price $4.20 · SP $4.90 · Nichola Yuen

Rapid Phantom won a Class 4 1000m here in June in winning-standard time and has run well in both starts since, most recently a closing fourth. He settles just off the speed, the right profile with so much early pace engaged, and barrier 3 helps him save ground.

Our price $6.50 · SP $12.00 · Brenton Avdulla

With four speedsters set to take each other on, the race shapes ideally for his swooping style, and the wide gate matters less for a horse who drops back anyway. The obvious negative is a 1-from-36 record, so he is a better place than win proposition.

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.00 · Andrea Atzeni

His sire produces quick types and his two trials were sound. The trainer's recent strike rate is modest, which tempers enthusiasm, but he is an unexposed runner capable of figuring fresh over a sharp 1000m.

Our price $8.50 · SP $7.90 · Keith Yeung

Let's Have Fun rattled home for third over this course and trip last time, the same contest in which Rapid Phantom finished fourth, and he is consistent without winning (15 starts, no victories).

Our price $2.80 · SP $3.40 · Angus Chung

Clearly the horse to beat. He produced the best run of anything in this field when storming home for second over this course and distance last start, and he was a course-and-distance winner earlier in the year. Two genuine leaders should ensure a strong tempo, which suits a closer perfectly, and barrier 1 means he can settle quietly and produce one run. The stable and rider are both cold, which is the only real query, but on form he is the one to beat.

Our price $6.50 · SP $4.50 · Zac Purton

A class dropper who looks ready to strike. He was competitive in Class 3 over shorter trips, has a good record on Good ground, and won a recent Sha Tin trial. Purton being booked and a strong jockey-trainer combination are meaningful positives. Top weight and an unproven 1200m record are the concerns, but with a fast tempo ahead of him he should be poised to strike at the right time.

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.00 · Nichola Yuen

Etalon Or ran the strongest recent race in this field when a narrow second over this course and trip a fortnight ago, coming from midfield with a powerful finish. He is a dependable place-getter and the likely fast tempo over 1400m suits his get-back style.

Our price $7.50 · SP $4.60 · Jerry Chau

Harold Win is a model of consistency at this distance, with a win and three placings from 13 tries over 1400m and a string of solid recent efforts. He has shown he can hold on when in front and also race a little off the speed.

Our price $7.00 · SP $9.70 · Brenton Avdulla

Hot Air Ballon is the value play. He closed off strongly for fourth over 1400m last time out despite starting from barrier 14 and owns the best late-race profile in this field. Still a maiden, but clearly improving.

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.00 · E C W Wong

An improving sprinter who has finished third at this level over this trip in each of his last two starts, settling just off the pace. Gets in with a light weight and draws kindly in barrier three. Still lightly raced and clearly on the up, he is the type to capitalise if the leaders cut at each other too hard.

Our price $2.80 · SP $1.90 · Zac Purton

Won the Premier Cup over this course and trip in June, beating Galaxy Patch and Lucky With You with authority, and he is unbeaten in three of four at this distance with five wins from seven on good ground. Zac Purton, who has a superb record on him, takes the ride from a handy draw. He steps up slightly in weight but is the clear form pick and the one they all have to beat.

Our price $8.00 · SP $25.00 · Lyle Hewitson

Big Return is a genuine 1600m specialist with three wins and a placing from six tries at the trip, and his closing efforts rate among the strongest in this field. The fast early tempo should suit a horse who does his best work late.

Our price $12.00 · SP $12.00 · Derek Leung

Barrier one is a major asset given the inside-draw advantage at Sha Tin, and his stable-jockey pairing strikes at a healthy rate. The knock is a dipping form line and a likely hot early contest.

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.70 · Zac Purton

Winner of his latest start at this grade over this trip, travelling strongly on the speed and holding the challengers at bay. His record is remarkably consistent with nine top-two finishes from eleven outings, and he again has the champion jockey in the saddle for a stable he rides so well for. The one query is the abundance of early speed engaged, which may soften him late, but he is the class runner.

Our price $7.00 · SP $5.70 · Andrea Atzeni

A reliable, one-paced sprinter who finishes his races off strongly and has rarely been out of the placings. With six rivals seemingly keen to lead, the race should be run at a hot tempo, which plays directly to his strength as a closer. He is yet to fully prove himself at this level and needs the right run, but he is the pick of the finishers.

Our price $11.00 · SP $22.00 · Keith Yeung

An experienced campaigner who settles back and runs on, a style that should be ideally suited to the hot early tempo expected here. He can be forgiven his quieter recent efforts and looks sharpened by a recent trial win.

Our price $21.00 · SP $42.00 · James Orman

A lightly raced five-year-old with an excellent win and place record who looks overpriced. He is fit, his trainer is firing, and he shapes as one who can sit handy and finish off a fast-run race.