Dubbo tips and results

Our price $7.00 · SP $26.00 · Tamsin Gough

The best-mapped runner of the genuine chances. His early speed should find him on the lead or just behind it, and on-pace runners have the best record at Dubbo. He is proven on good ground and at the trip, and his recent runs have been consistent in this kind of company.

Our price $9.00 · SP $18.00 · Amber Collins

Drawn to save ground from barrier 1, and the wide run at Geurie that beat her last start can be forgiven. She won at Cobar two starts back, handles good ground and has placed regularly at Dubbo. The concern is that she is mapped to settle back on a track that favours on-pace runners, although a fast early pace should help her. She is best taken as a place chance.

Our price $4.60 · SP $3.40 · Eloise Drews

More Cash has the best recent form in this race. His last two measured runs were up to a winning standard. Three leaders should make the pace very fast, which suits his finish. Eloise Drews has won on him both times she has ridden him.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.90 · Leandro Ribeiro

Trifecta Ruby came from the back to win first up at Bathurst and returns 13 days later. Leandro Ribeiro rides, and he is in strong form, both with this stable and at Dubbo. If the leaders go as hard as expected, her finish can carry her into the race. The 1400m is still a question for her.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.60 · Jean Van Overmeire

Best form in the field. His last Wyong second, in a stronger Midway maiden, was a run that would win most races like this one, and his Port Macquarie second was just as good. He is the quickest to begin, has only one other genuine leader to deal with, and Dubbo maidens reward horses on the speed. His habit of finding one better is the knock, but on a moderate tempo from barrier 7 this is his best chance to win in some time.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.70 · Donovan Dillon

A picture of consistency who keeps finishing her races well, including a close second over this trip at Bathurst last time. She is suited by the distance and the going. The worry is her racing pattern: she settles near the back, and on a track and in a grade where horses on the speed dominate, she needs the race to be run hard. She looks a strong place chance but hard to trust as a winner.

Our price $8.50 · SP $11.00 · Nick Heywood

He was unlucky last start at Wellington, where he was held up in the straight and still beaten only a head, and his best run is up with anything in this field. He can race handy from barrier 9, which suits the map.

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.00 · Zoe Hunt

Best Defence ran the best recent race in this field. He's the quickest beginner in the race and will be on or near the lead in a race where leaders do well. Against that, he has now lost 14 times, carries 59kg and may be pressed by Waikiki Lad.

Our price $7.00 · SP $16.00 · Ashley Morgan

The gear added that day looked to help. Ashley Morgan has an outstanding record at Dubbo, and barrier 4 should give her a good run behind the speed in a fast-run race.

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.50 · Shannen Llewellyn

She is overpriced for a horse that maps to race on the lead or just behind it. In a race with little early speed, that is where Dubbo winners tend to come from. Her Bowraville third was better than it looks, as she raced wide and was knocked on the turn yet was beaten less than half a length. On a light weight, she can hold her spot if the pace stays slow.

Our price $3.40 · SP $2.60 · Reece Jones

On form she is the best winning chance. Her first-up second at Wellington was right up to this class, and she has already won over 1300m on a Good track. She should settle just behind the speed from barrier 6, which suits the fast tempo and Dubbo's lean to on-pace runners. The stable is going well and does well at this track. Her two bad runs came from wide barriers early in her career.

Our price $3.60 · SP $2.70 · Ashley Morgan

Her first-up fifth in a stronger mares race was a good hit-out: she came from a wide draw and ran on from the back. Barrier 3, a jockey who rides Dubbo well and a stable in form all help. But she has won only once in 11 starts, and her best recent run falls short of Chamber Of Secrets at this level.

Our price $6.00 · SP $10.00 · Mathew Cahill

She has the map in her favour. She should lead or sit on the speed, and at Dubbo on-pace runners win more often. Her runs have been steady, including a second at this track from the front. Last start she ran fourth despite racing wide without cover. The concerns are the fast tempo and her first try at 1300m.

Our price $7.00 · SP $17.00 · Zoe Hunt

The value pick. Her Moree second was one of the best recent runs in the field and was up to this level. A fast pace should help her close from behind. The risks are her one win in 15 starts and a quiet stable.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.40 · Chad Lever

Marvel Man is the class runner in the race. He's the quickest beginner and should sit on or near the lead from barrier 5, which suits Dubbo. His stable is in great form here. The worry is how often he finds one too good.

Our price $18.00 · SP $51.00 · Izzy Neale

Kevin is the overlay in the race. From barrier 1 with good early speed he should get the trail behind the leaders, the best spot at Dubbo if the pace is on. He was just beaten over this course and distance in June, and he wasn't disgraced after racing wide without cover at Moree last start.

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.90 · Jean Van Overmeire

He won the Dubbo BM82 on good ground three weeks ago from midfield, then ran well at Bathurst in a stronger race on soft ground. Three genuine leaders should set up a very fast pace, and that helps him in a race where backmarkers usually struggle. The drop back to 1100m and his usual position in the run are the only knocks.

Our price $7.00 · SP $13.00 · Jacob Stiff

Stay Silent is the class and speed of the race. His early speed should get him across from barrier 11 to sit outside or near Puntin. The doubt is good ground, where his record is poor, and he carries top weight.

Our price $9.00 · SP $31.00 · Mikayla Weir

Canny Hell is the overlay. His Corowa second over this trip on good ground came under 61kg, and he now drops to 54kg. From barrier 5 he should be close to the pace, the spot that wins most at Dubbo, and his good-track record is solid.