Ballarat tips and results

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Damian Lane

On raced form she's the best in the field. Her 1000m seconds at Caulfield and Sandown were winning-standard runs, and she now drops to a country maiden. She went too hard at Caulfield over 1100m last time, and coming back to 1000m should help. Damian Lane's booking is a sign of intent.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.00 · Harry Coffey

Her jump out on Good at Flemington was solid. Barrier 2 should let her hold a spot handy to the lone leader on a track that suits on-pace runners. The lugging bit and ear muffs suggest she's been hard to steer.

Our price $15.00 · SP $31.00 · Teodore Nugent

She was only half a length from winning over this course and distance on a Good 4 track last start, after leading all the way. She draws to lead again as the only genuine speed in the race. Her form isn't strong, but controlling a moderate pace is a real advantage at Ballarat.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.20 · Ben Melham

However, she has to overcome barrier 14, a tendency to get back, no experience on Good turf and her first try over 2000m on a track where backmarkers rarely win.

Our price $14.00 · SP $21.00 · John Allen

Her last-start half-length second at Echuca over 2112m on a Good track was close to winning standard and showed she stays. She comes back 10 days later with a leading jockey riding.

Our price $3.30 · SP $2.10 · Harry Coffey

She's the best form horse in the race. She has the early speed to cross from barrier 17 and sit just off a lone, moderate leader, which is the winning spot at Ballarat.

Our price $2.60 · SP $2.25 · Michael Dee

On form she is the most likely winner. Her first-up third in a BM62 at Geelong on a Good track was a strong run, and her recent runs have been close to a winning standard. She was also a solid second over 1400m on good ground. The concern is the map: with only one leader the pace should be slow, and she tends to settle back.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.40 · Harry Coffey

She comes in off a good win at Bordertown, and her recent form is solid. She usually runs home well, and an earlier fifth against BM64 rivals shows she can compete at this level. The step up in class and the 1400m are questions, and she needs to be closer in the run than usual in a slowly run race. Coffey rides her well, and she is a strong chance of placing.

Our price $13.00 · SP $26.00 · Declan Bates

Revolver is likely to lead on a track where leaders win well above their share, and his last Ballarat run was good enough to win this grade. He has been off the track since April, but he has had regular jump-outs and his stable does well at Ballarat. Back him each-way.

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.40 · Ethan Brown

Her dominant Caulfield Heath maiden win was among the best recent runs in this field, and her Cranbourne second as a two-year-old was just as solid. From barrier 2 she can sit just off a hot speed battle between Fast Freddie, Home Invasion and Getsmybloodrussian, which gives her the ideal run to take over late. With a jockey in form and a trainer in form, she's our top pick despite the class rise and the step up to 1200m.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.50 · Luke Nolen

From barrier 1 she can sit in midfield on the fence and let the speed burn out ahead of her.

Our price $9.00 · SP $10.00 · Michael Dee

Wonderful Sky has the best class form in the race: she was second in the Breeders' Stakes, and every run she has had would be competitive at this level.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.50 · Declan Bates

On form she is the most likely winner. Her last three race starts were all at or near winning standard in similar Bench 64-70 races, and her Warrnambool second over 1200m on good was a strong run. Barrier 4 should let her settle handy in a moderately run race on a track that favours horses on the pace.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.20 · Billy Egan

His Bendigo Guineas third was among the best form in the race, and he is proven on good ground. Two Flemington jump-outs have him ready. The worry is his run style: he usually settles well back, and Ballarat does not suit backmarkers when the pace is only moderate.

Our price $12.00 · SP $13.00 · Daniel Stackhouse

His two recent poor runs came on soft ground. On good ground he has repeatedly run to Bench 66-70 standard, including placings at Cranbourne and Caulfield Heath.

Our price $4.60 · SP $6.50 · Ben Allen

That run would win a race like this. He is lightly raced and still improving, with 2 wins from 4 starts, all on good tracks. Barrier 3 and a midfield run should suit a very fast pace. The questions are top weight, the rise in class and a possible dip second up.

Our price $6.50 · SP $4.40 · Luke Nolen

Hotspur Reale returns from a break after three sharp jump outs. On good tracks he places often, with 4 seconds from 7 starts. His last two race runs, both seconds, were good enough for this grade. The data says he is in regular racing, but his last actual race was in April.