Geraldton tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.50 · Madi Derrick

Tango Rhythm arrives in career-best form, having won three of her last five starts with a strong finishing burst each time, and she has an excellent record at today's distance.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Tara Atherden

Our price $11.00 · SP $21.00 · Jefferson Tsang

Only lightly raced but his debut run showed genuine early speed before fading over a longer trip, and today's shorter distance combined with the plum barrier one draw should play to his strengths.

Our price $3.40 · SP $6.00 · Lisa Staples

Dutch Por is the form pick — his last three runs read 3rd, 2nd, then a win, and he has never missed a place in four visits to Geraldton. He maps to race handy in a race with only two obvious leaders, which plays to this track's bias toward forward runners. He has already competed at this grade and course over today's 1413m and been competitive, removing any class query. Top weight is the main knock.

Our price $15.00 · SP $12.00 · Ava Catarino

He races in the midfield rather than out the back, which is a more useful spot on a track that rewards forward runners.

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.20 · Lisa Staples

Diamas has been racing right up to a winning standard, going down by a nose last start at this track and showing genuine speed when leading over a shorter course previously. The drop into today's sharp trip should suit. Its most recent trial was unremarkable, but the underlying race form here is as good as anything in this field.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.20 · Sharni Webster

Andershine is yet to have a race start but its trial form has been improving sharply, and the stable has a strong record specifically at this track even though its broader recent numbers are quiet.

Our price $4.20 · SP $8.00 · Jason Li

Our price $6.00 · SP $19.00 · Joseph See

Gold Lightning was runner-up twice in her last preparation at this grade and was only beaten just over three lengths in this same race last start. Fitness fresh is the obvious question given she has never placed first-up, but the underlying form is good enough to be competitive again, particularly with a workable run through the race expected.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.00 · Lisa Staples

Noble Touch finished her last campaign strongly, winning and running a narrow second with eye-catching finishes in both. She gets an ideal run just behind the only genuine leader in what looks a truly run race, suiting her style. The long spell is the unknown, but the ability shown last time in was clearly above this level.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.00 · Ebony Johnson

Prince Ragnar has already beaten this level at this course and distance combination, doing it with authority, and his current form is heading in the right direction. His gate lets him get across and control the tempo, which is exactly how he has won before. The one danger is a repeat of his other Geraldton run this campaign, when leading types blew the race apart, but with only one other genuine leader in this field that scenario looks less likely today.

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.80 · Troy Turner

Gold Keeper is the model of consistency at Geraldton, rarely missing a place and racing right up to this grade in his recent runs. His jockey-trainer partnership is one of the strongest in the race by numbers. He settles off the speed, which should suit if the race is run at a sensible tempo, though his difficulty has always been turning placings into wins rather than finding enough ability.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.50 · Laqdar Ramoly

Leonardo Da Grey keeps racing well at this level and track without quite crossing the line first, settling handy in a way that suits the forward bias here.

Our price $7.00 · SP $15.00 · Madi Derrick

Pat's Last Bang has proper gate speed and has already scored this campaign from the front at today's grade, resuming off a good record fresh.