Doomben tips and results

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.00 · Bella Youngberry

Zephyr Song is the obvious on-pace danger. She has placed at both Doomben starts over this distance and should control the race from gate 2 with only a first-up rival likely to press her.

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · Ryan Houston

Dun Darte Cheap is the overlay in the top group. He led and held on well at the Sunshine Coast last start in a race run to a winning standard, and he should get a soft trail behind Zephyr Song from gate 6. He has coped with soft ground before and the shorter trip helps a horse that has been caught late over 1400m. His non-winning record and past setbacks keep confidence modest.

Our price $18.00 · SP $26.00 · Matthew Palmer

Both his runs have been on a Soft 5 and both were better than the finishing positions suggest, including a close fourth at Murwillumbah where he raced forward. The Laming and Palmer combination is going well and gate 5 should land him in a handy spot.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.90 · Daniel Moor

The Gollan yard is in strong form. Distance is unproven and he is a low-percentage winner, but on form he is the one to beat.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.40 · Bella Youngberry

Power Of Success is the map horse: the only genuine leader, on a track that favours front-runners, in a race expected to be run slowly. He arrives in good form with a Dalby win and a narrow Toowoomba second, and gets in light. The concern is class. His country form has not been run to a standard that wins a metropolitan BM68, his soft-track record is thin and he tends to race keenly. Well placed to run into the placings if he relaxes in front.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Daniel Moor

The lesser-fancied Gollan debutant but the one with the better map. Ready Set Tergo draws the rail side, has placed in two trials including one on a soft surface, and his Gold Coast trial time reads well against the rest of this field. Should be prominent from the gate on a track that favours forward inside runners.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · Martin Harley

Cavalluna trialled soundly at Doomben and comes from a stable that gets debutants ready. Martin Harley knows him from the trial and the partnership with the Munce yard is a productive one. Should be competitive for a place if he settles forward from a middle gate.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.50 · Emily Pozman

Jolayna Dash is the one exposed horse in the race and her last-start fourth at Doomben, after being hampered early, was the best race run this field has produced. She drops in weight, draws the fence and should get a clear run second up. The worry is she gets back on a track that favours leaders and her one wet start was poor.

Our price $7.50 · SP $8.00 · Ben E Thompson

Has the ability to win a Class 3 and two starts back produced a run good enough to be competitive here. The problem is his pattern. He settles back and Doomben punishes horses coming from behind, especially with only a moderate tempo expected. A top-class rider from a good gate could improve the map, and he handles soft ground.

Our price $10.00 · SP $15.00 · Ryan Houston

Italian Dancer is the overlooked runner in this field. He has won three of his last four, handled a Soft 5 emphatically at the Sunshine Coast, and his last-start second from in front was the best recent effort in the race relative to the standard. He maps to roll along in the first two from a good gate with only 55.5kg, exactly the profile that wins at Doomben.

Our price $8.50 · SP $13.00 · Michael Rodd

Celestial Blaze is the value runner. His first-up flop looks forgivable given the vet found a slow recovery, and he has a proven pattern of improving sharply second up with two wins from three. He drops a significant amount of weight, has won twice at this track and trip, handles soft ground and is the quickest beginner in the race at a course where leaders win at a high rate. If he lands in front with a soft enough lead he can hold off the backmarkers.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.00 · Ashley Butler

Savage Sequel is the most likely leader and draws perfectly for a track that rewards on-pace runners from inside gates. The concern is the size of the class jump and an untested soft-track record, with a modest jockey booking.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.50 · Angela Jones

Conformity is the each-way value. The draw and her back-marking style are wrong for Doomben and she has had a long gap between races, which caps confidence.