Ascot tips and results

Our price $9.00 · SP $14.00 · Jason Lyon

On raw form she is the second-best horse here, having run a slick debut second and beaten War Trail in the process. The problem is entirely positional: barrier 16 and a get-back style face the lowest strike rate on this track.

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.20 · Holly Nottle

Her first-up Belmont second was up to winning standard and she drew ideally with the lightest weight.

Our price $7.50 · SP $11.00 · Clint Johnston-Porter

Firearm is the improver of the race. He was a close second to Official Business at Northam from near last, then won next time from midfield with a sharp finishing burst. The expected fast tempo helps him, but Ascot is a tough track for horses coming from the back and he carries 60kg from a get-back pattern.

Our price $8.00 · SP $13.00 · Holly Watson

Maybe Maybe Maybe was a sound fourth on debut at Northam behind Official Business and Firearm, running a mark above most of this field, and she now meets both on better terms with a 3kg swing against Firearm. From barrier 5 she should settle midfield, which is ideal for Ascot.

Our price $3.30 · SP $3.00 · Chris Parnham

A powerful Belmont trial win, a leading stable choosing a Class 1 debut, a senior rider and a sharp sprinting pedigree outweigh anything the exposed runners have shown.

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.00 · Natika Riordan

On raw form this is the most exposed quality in the race. He has never run a bad race, won at Belmont last start and ran a career-best second at Ascot from this exact barrier. The fast tempo with Hansadios should let him take a sit on the speed rather than lead.

Our price $11.00 · SP $7.00 · Jefferson Tsang

A genuine overlay rather than a likely winner.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.60 · Brad Parnham

Call Me Invincible has been the model of consistency this campaign, running to a winning standard almost every start before breaking his maiden at Kalgoorlie. He steps up in grade but his recent runs compare favourably with anything the Class 3 horses have produced. The draw and racing pattern are ideal at Ascot, where handy runners from inside gates hold a strong edge.

Our price $6.00 · SP $2.60 · Natika Riordan

Artie's Storm was narrowly beaten at Belmont over this trip last start and that form stacks up well against today's field. She is a handy type who should settle in the first half dozen, and she drops to a feather weight. The query is the step up in class after a poor effort in Class 3 company earlier in the campaign.

Our price $10.00 · SP $11.00 · Laqdar Ramoly

Just Gifted was a disappointment first-up at Bunbury but she has a history of improving at her second run back, and her Class 3 win at Pinjarra in March was a run that would be good enough to win this. She is the quickest beginner in the field and draws to lead on a track that rewards front-runners.

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.45 · Paul Harvey

Our price $7.00 · SP $3.80 · Jefferson Tsang

Swift Talker has the ability to win this, as his Belmont second over 1400m two starts ago showed, but the map is against him. He will settle near the rear from barrier 9 and backmarkers at Ascot need the race to fall apart in front, which is unlikely with only two genuine leaders.

Our price $10.00 · SP $15.00 · Ava Catarino

If she crosses cleanly she will be hard to run down in a race where front-runners hold the edge. Worth a small each-way play.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.60 · Chris Parnham

He is an improving three-year-old with a feather weight, a top stable and a top rider, and the fast tempo expected should bring him into it. However, his form to date is a Bunbury maiden win and a sound fifth at Northam, which falls short of the class Admire Astra brings. Being mapped to settle back at Ascot midweek is a concern.

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.50 · Holly Watson

Her Bunbury run was close to a winning standard for this grade. The two-leader speed map points to a strong tempo that suits her finishing style, and 54kg is a help. The negatives are that she will settle last on a track where backmarkers struggle, so she needs the race to fall apart.

Our price $14.00 · SP $21.00 · Joey Azzopardi

Before that he won twice in four starts at Belmont, and his win in this restricted grade over 1650m last month was the best run at this class in the field. He gets a fair draw and a midfield map. Small each-way stake only given the risk that the Moora flop was a sign of a problem.

Our price $4.20 · SP $4.40 · Brad Parnham

Her Bunbury win was the strongest single run in this field and she will lead, which is a positive on a track that favours on-pace runners. However she is untested at 1600m, is rising sharply in grade as a three-year-old against older horses, and was caught late when leading at both of her previous two starts.

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.00 · Lisa Staples

Ginger And Tonic produced the best run of her career at York last start when she sat on speed and held on for third against a lesser field. The map here is ideal from barrier 5 and 54.5kg is a help, but her record of one win in 37 starts says she is far more likely to run into the placings than win.

Our price $9.00 · SP $14.00 · Clint Johnston-Porter

Two runs back he won a Northam maiden over 1600m with a run that matched the best in this field, settling midfield and finishing powerfully. Ridden closer last start he faded badly, so a return to a patient ride from the wide gate makes sense.