Moe tips and results

Our price $4.60 · SP $17.00 · Lachlan King

Bohemian Blitz is the most likely winner on what he has already done. Both starts were thirds in similar maidens, including a placing at this track, and he was crowded before keeping on at Kilmore on good. Barrier 10 is in the best gate band here and he maps to sit second, which early-card Moe maidens reward.

Our price $5.80 · SP $5.50 · Nathan Punch

Ruby Guild has finished fourth or fifth at all five starts and again found the line from the back at Ballarat nine days ago on good ground. That makes her the horse most likely to be charging late, and her record at this class is the deepest in the field. The map is the problem: she settles last in a maiden sprint where horses off the pace rarely win, and she has still never placed.

Our price $6.80 · SP $3.20 · Jason Maskiell

He has early speed and should land on the pace, which this race favours. Maskiell has been quiet and barrier 5 is in a weaker band.

Our price $4.20 · SP $13.00 · Stephanie Hateley

The most genuine and exposed form in the race: seven starts for five placings, all on good ground, and she has been competitive against stronger maiden fields at 1200m. Second up after leading and being run down at Donald, she drops to 1100m with a 2kg claim and should settle handy, which is exactly where you need to be at Moe over this trip. The wide gate and the shorter journey are the queries, but she is the horse to beat.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.00 · Zac Spain

He did plenty wrong on debut at 1250m, jumping awkwardly and racing keen before fading, so the drop to 1100m and a softer time of it in front should be far more to his liking. In a race with no dominant speedster he is the one most likely to lead, and at Moe the front is where you want to be in these maidens.

Our price $4.00 · SP $9.00 · Stephanie Hateley

The form pick. She owns the strongest recent race-shape and clock lines here: a close second at Tatura over 1450, then a brave sixth after sitting outside the leader over 1600, both of winning standard. She maps to settle in the first three, the spot that wins Moe miles, carries just 55.5kg with a 2kg claim and has twice placed at the trip.

Our price $4.50 · SP $2.45 · Beau Mertens

He improved markedly at his second start when runner-up over 1400 and the rise to the mile should suit a Shamus Award gelding. But he was well held in both runs and never threatened the winner last time, and his one Good-track run was ordinary.

Our price $13.00 · SP $10.00 · Caitlin Hollowood

The value runner. Forgive last start when trapped wide without cover the whole way.

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.90 · Zac Spain

Back on good ground after a forgive run on soft at Seymour. His previous Sale third over 1732m was the strongest run in this line-up, charging home from the back to be beaten just over a length. He drops in class from stronger races, maps to settle in a handy spot from gate three, and is clearly at his best on top of the ground. The main query is the quick seven-day backup.

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.40 · Luke Currie

She should have won last time at Mornington over this trip, stuck behind runners before getting out very late and flying home. She is an improving mare from a yard that wins plenty at Moe, drops to an easier grade and gets weight relief. The knock is that she concedes a start from gate ten at a track where horses racing handy have a clear edge.

Our price $12.00 · SP $9.00 · Olivia East

A genuine course-and-distance specialist who won this very race on good ground last prep and has a fine record at Moe. She drops in class, returns to the gear she wore for that win and maps to settle in a handy spot, which this track favours.

Our price $4.80 · SP $4.20 · Caitlin Hollowood

Race-fit gelding who won at this trip and grade two starts back when he settled second on good ground and fought on. He had excuses last time when caught wide throughout. From gate four he maps to sit just off what should be an honest tempo and carries only 55kg after the claim. The quick back-up is the query, but his recent winning form and ideal position make him the one to beat.

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.90 · Jackie Beriman

His best runs carry real quality and he wasn't disgraced when caught wide last start.

Our price $4.20 · SP $18.00 · Aaron Sweeney

She comes off a close second over further and has been racing in competitive company. She has a solid 1200m record and handles good ground. The concern is her get-back style at a track that can favour handy runners, but she had a trial since her last run and her finishing effort should be strong. She is the one to beat.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.50 · Lachlan King

He is a track-and-distance winner who maps perfectly from barrier 2. His 1200m form on good ground is solid, including a strong placing two starts back. The major worry is his first-up record and a stable that is struggling for winners. He is a contender on best form but needs to be ready fresh.

Our price $5.00 · SP $9.50 · Jake Noonan

Preservator appeals as the form pick. From the inside gate he can settle handy in a race lacking serious pressure.