Orange tips and results

Our price $4.20 · SP $7.00 · Jake Pracey-Holmes

Grey Belief is the best map fit in a race with only one true leader, and it has been racing in tougher Plate company at 1600m. It runs into a Maiden with a strong class edge, and Orange rewards runners who are handy at the 400m.

Our price $5.50 · SP $10.00 · Clayton Gallagher

Kojak is a regular placegetter that nearly won over this trip at Wellington, and it should settle handy from a good draw on a track that favours that.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Clayton Gallagher

The Contractor has the most relevant form for this race - a close third in a Class 2 over 1400m last prep where he did everything but win. He drops in grade, is third-up stepping to his best distance, and maps to sit prominently in what projects to be a slowly run race, which suits this forward-favouring track. Top weight and his inability to win on good going are the knocks, but he is a strong place prospect.

Our price $4.60 · SP $3.80 · Pierre Boudvillain

Dundeel Flyer resumes her prep with a solid second over 1200m and brings the best single run in the field from her maiden win. She is consistent and honest, but she has yet to place at 1400m and her racing pattern has her settling in the midfield, a spot that historically struggles here because of the short run home. A genuine top-three hope but the map makes her vulnerable.

Our price $26.00 · SP $71.00 · Ken Dunbar

He broke through over 1400m last start, racing in a handy position and running to a solid standard, and he draws the inside again for a stable with recent winners.

Our price $5.00 · SP $1.95 · Damon Budler

Isle Of Wight is a fresh horse with a winning trial behind him and decent connections, but his race form so far has been well below the best of this field. He settles midfield in a race where being handy matters. Eddy The Greyt looks superior on actual racing form.

Our price $9.00 · SP $18.00 · Shannen Llewellyn

Aerialize is a three-year-old filly whose performances have been as good as nearly anything in this field, including a near-miss at Corowa and a gallant wide run at Narromine. The trainer's poor strike rate and the awkward barrier are concerns, but she is the best value to run into the placings or even win.

Our price $3.30 · SP $4.40 · Coriah Keatings

She has been consistent at Bm58 level, won in this grade recently and ran well last start after being badly checked. She should be handy off the speed in a slow race on a track that rewards runners racing forward.

Our price $7.50 · SP $4.20 · Jacob Stiff

The concern is the map: she settles back in a slowly-run race on a track where backmarkers struggle. If there is any real tempo she can finish into a place, but I see her more as a placing chance than a winner.

Our price $9.00 · SP $17.00 · Damon Budler

He is the only genuine leader, and in a race likely to be run slowly at a track that rewards front-runners he has the best map.

Our price $5.80 · SP $3.40 · Jacob Stiff

Naval Officer brings the best recent graded form. Eleven days ago he flew late to miss by a nose in a BM66 at this track and distance, and he now drops to a BM58 with Deon Le Roux's claim. He still belongs in the quinella if the leaders give him any room in the short straight.

Our price $6.50 · SP $10.00 · Pierre Boudvillain

Dunna Runna is the overlay. One unit each-way covers a map that is live if he begins cleanly.

Our price $4.80 · SP $6.00 · Emma Ly

The class runner of the field after mixing it in open two-year-old company last preparation, and she has more early speed than anything else engaged. She led and was only collared late in a stronger C1 at Queanbeyan before a freshen-up, and now drops to a BM50 with the claim bringing her down to 57kg. The wide gate and the presence of other speed are the queries, but the short Orange straight is made for a horse like her.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Leeshelle Small

He drops to a BM50 and gets a 2kg claim, and the predicted hot tempo should bring his strong finish into play. The knock is that he gives away a big start on a track where leaders and on-pace runners dominate.

Our price $7.00 · SP $10.00 · Jasmine Urquhart-Warren

He is the most talented horse in the race on what he has produced recently, and he drops out of stronger country sprints with a 3kg claim taking the sting out of the top weight. Fresh last preparation he rolled forward and was in the firing line a long way from home, which is a better map than his wide gate suggests.