★ Top pick8th
7Dark Opal
First-up record solid (3:0-0-2), recent Lark Hill trial win shows fitness.
Western Australia · Saturday 16 May 2026
Carnarvon tips and results
Our top pick won 1 of 6 races at Carnarvon. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
Top pick won1/617%
Any tip won3/650%
Top pick placed3/650%
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Lesley Chenery Mdn
14:07 local1000mMaiden$17,000
Winner1. Hell's CitiSP $41.00
2nd pick2nd
12Maritime Dream
Lightly raced 3yo gets ideal setup with barrier 4, 51.5kg and likely midfield role in speed-favouring Carnarvon sprint. Pope stable provides intent signal. Suits very fast tempo better than most maiden rivals lacking speed.
3rd pick6th
6Costa Star
Most reliable recent form with placings in last 4 starts including strong Geraldton efforts. Barrier 5 allows handy position in leader-biased track. Regular racing trumps first-uppers. Lacks elite speed but consistency and fitness make reliable place claim in weak maiden.
Value pick4th
4All King's
Lightly raced with sharp recent trial suggests well-prepared first up. Visors first time plus Pateman booking signal intent at country track.
- 1st1Hell's CitiBailey Webster$41.00
- 2nd12Maritime DreamJason Li$5.00
- 3rd3From The RooftopRocky Cheung$17.00
- 4th4All King'sKate Pateman$18.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Hell's Citi | 1 | Bailey Webster | Brett Pope | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 2nd | 12 | Maritime Dream | 4 | Jason Li | Brett Pope | 51.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | From The Rooftop | 3 | Rocky Cheung | Sean Rains | 56.5kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 4 | All King's | 7 | Kate Pateman | Aaron Pateman | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Dashing Diva | 2 | Jefferson Tsang | Cliff Howe | 53.5kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 6 | Costa Star | 5 | Brayden Gaerth | A P Scally | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 8 | Likes To Chant | 6 | Madi Derrick | Brett Pope | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Dark Opal | 12 | Elisha Whittington | Brett Pope | 56kg | $2.50 |
| 9th | 9 | River Beauty | 10 | Alex Hearn | R J Malpass | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Westriver Dynique | 11 | Joseph See | Jacquelyn Scott | 56kg | $101.00 |
| 11th | 5 | One Shot Wonder | 8 | Wayne Wheatley | P G Moses | 57.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Fighting Thunder | 9 | Malcolm Mackenzie | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Rhaenya | 7 | D R Couper | 56kg |
Leon Baker Jewellery (Bm64+)
14:45 local1000mBenchMark 64+$20,000
Winner4. Simply RossoSP $8.00
★ Top pick4th
1The Coolakin King
Top form pick with outstanding local record (4 wins from 10 track starts, 1 from 4 at T/D). First up stats strong (1-2-1), barrier 4 suits tight Carnarvon sprint leaders bias despite neutral barrier data. Very fast tempo suits proven tactical speed.
2nd pick5th
8Weapons Hot
Recent Ascot 7th with fast finish shows speed. Very fast tempo suits forward runner. Solid place chance despite no local form.
3rd pick7th
7On The Full
Recent 2nd York, barrier 3 ok, but local form trumps (e.g. #1). Fitness edge in regular prep, solid eachway but not top win chance vs track specialists.
Value pick6th
6Hot Nova
4 track starts, first up trial possible, gear off first time. Very fast tempo suits if rolls forward.
- 1st4Simply RossoMadi Derrick$8.00
- 2nd3Our Kiwi PrincessBailey Webster$31.00
- 3rd5Mars MissionBrayden Gaerth$9.50
- 4th1The Coolakin KingRocky Cheung$7.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Simply Rosso | 6 | Madi Derrick | A W Hughes | 56.5kg | $8.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Our Kiwi Princess | 8 | Bailey Webster | Malcolm Mackenzie | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Mars Mission | 5 | Brayden Gaerth | Aaron Pateman | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 4th | 1 | The Coolakin King | 4 | Rocky Cheung | R J Malpass | 60kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Weapons Hot | 1 | Jefferson Tsang | Cliff Howe | 53kg | $2.80 |
| 6th | 6 | Hot Nova | 2 | Joseph See | R R Evans | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 7 | On The Full | 3 | Kate Pateman | Aaron Pateman | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Catalpa | 7 | Elisha Whittington | Brett Pope | 59kg | $4.20 |
Sea Harvest Fishing Company (Bm56+)
15:20 local1000mBenchMark 56+$20,000
Winner5. Gold SpySP $4.40
★ Top pickWon
5Gold Spy
Gold Spy stands out on pure form with exceptional Carnarvon record (4:3-0-0) including T/D win, perfectly suiting the tight sprint track's leader bias. Barrier 4 ideal for speed map, first-up stats reliable (4:1-0-1). Recent Geraldton runs poor but class drop and track affinity override. Likely leader in fast tempo.
2nd pick2nd
4Devils I
Devils I earns second pick via barrier 1 dominance on Carnarvon's tight turns where inside speed essential. Track record excellent (2:1-1-0), recent Carnarvon win and place. Strong tempo suits forward runner.
3rd pick8th
2Soaring Solo
Soaring Solo third on proven Carnarvon 1000m affinity (4:1-1-2), best distance time in field. Speed map positions as leader, suiting track bias despite low leaders win-rate historically. Recent form concerning but track pattern and barrier 6 workable. Second-up stats poor but connections reliable.
Value pick9th
9Tawaaj
3yo filly dropping class, unexposed upside on tight track. Fast tempo may suit closing burst if barrier exploited.
- 1st5Gold SpyMadi Derrick$4.40
- 2nd4Devils IRocky Cheung$4.40
- 3rd8Denver AffairJason Li$6.50
- 4th7DaiyamondoJoseph See$31.00
Full result · 9 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Gold Spy | 4 | Madi Derrick | G W Hammarquist | 58.5kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 4 | Devils I | 1 | Rocky Cheung | Zach Tyler | 57kg | $4.40 |
| 3rd | 8 | Denver Affair | 9 | Jason Li | Brett Pope | 51kg | $6.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Daiyamondo | 8 | Joseph See | R R Evans | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 1 | Keytrade | 5 | Bailey Webster | K Nightingale | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Stryker's Gal | 3 | Brayden Gaerth | A P Scally | 56kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Shooting Kontiki | 7 | Alex Hearn | R J Malpass | 59kg | $17.00 |
| 8th | 2 | Soaring Solo | 6 | Jefferson Tsang | Cliff Howe | 57.5kg | $3.70 |
| 9th | 9 | Tawaaj | 2 | Elisha Whittington | Brett Pope | 55kg | $7.50 |
Mazurak Hcp (C1)
16:00 local1200mClass 1$20,000
Winner11. Only UsSP $6.50
★ Top pick2nd
1Mystery Minute
Top form pick with exceptional Carnarvon record (5:1-3-0, 4:1-2-0 at T/D). First-up record solid (2:0-1-0), barrier 5 ideal for tight track. Very fast tempo suits strong finisher.
2nd pick4th
3Swexan
Classy gelding second-up after good Geraldton 2nd in Class 2. Barrier 9 suits middle bias at Carnarvon. Very fast tempo may suit if can get cover.
3rd pick9th
6Kimberley Currency
Track winner (1:1-0-0), barrier 4 perfect for tight Carnarvon sprint. Very fast tempo exposes superior finish.
Value pick6th
4Space Ace
First-up record 3:1-1-0 strong, dropping from Class 3. Fast tempo suits forward runner. Form poor but map/setup perfect for upset in volatile Class 1 country sprint.
- 1st11Only UsRocky Cheung$6.50
- 2nd1Mystery MinuteJason Li$4.80
- 3rd2Tassort We WantElisha Whittington$5.50
- 4th3SwexanBrayden Gaerth$7.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Only Us | 8 | Rocky Cheung | G W Hammarquist | 53.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Mystery Minute | 5 | Jason Li | Zach Tyler | 56.5kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 2 | Tassort We Want | 6 | Elisha Whittington | Brett Pope | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 4th | 3 | Swexan | 9 | Brayden Gaerth | A P Scally | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Alma Mater | 1 | Joseph See | G W Hammarquist | 57.5kg | $15.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Space Ace | 3 | Alex Hearn | R J Malpass | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Karri On | 11 | Jefferson Tsang | A P Scally | 53kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 8 | The Sessione | 2 | Kate Pateman | Aaron Pateman | 56.5kg | $9.50 |
| 9th | 6 | Kimberley Currency | 4 | Wayne Wheatley | A W Maley | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Hoochie Gucci | 7 | Bailey Webster | Malcolm Mackenzie | 53kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 7 | Sweet Eyes | 10 | Madi Derrick | Zach Tyler | 57kg | $16.00 |
Sea Harvest Ladies Day Bracelet (Bm56+)
16:30 local1200mBenchMark 56+$20,000
Winner5. Undercover SniperSP $4.00
★ Top pick2nd
3Ironclad Boy
Ironclad Boy stands out on pure form with excellent Carnarvon record (5:1-1-1) including recent BM56+ placings. Middle barrier 6 aligns with track's moderate middle bias (22% win rate), likely fast tempo suits on-pace midfield map.
2nd pick7th
9Awesome Lily
Awesome Lily's Carnarvon form (8:1-2-3) makes her a top place chance on tight track favouring early speed from good barriers. Barrier 3 perfect for likely fast tempo and leader bias (33% win rate). Consistent recent runs at this level, light weight, regular racing.
3rd pick3rd
11Kunapipi
Kunapipi's barrier 2 is gold on Carnarvon's tight sprint layout into first turn, matching leader bias. Fast tempo will suit forward run.
Value pickWon
5Undercover Sniper
Overbet due to claimer but offers place value in fast tempo favouring lightweights; preferred over Ironclad on pure speed but local form lacks.
- 1st5Undercover SniperJason Li$4.00
- 2nd3Ironclad BoyJefferson Tsang$4.20
- 3rd11KunapipiElisha Whittington$17.00
- 4th4Urban WarriorBailey Webster$41.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Undercover Sniper | 7 | Jason Li | G W Hammarquist | 52.5kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Ironclad Boy | 6 | Jefferson Tsang | A P Scally | 56.5kg | $4.20 |
| 3rd | 11 | Kunapipi | 2 | Elisha Whittington | P J Daly | 55kg | $17.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Urban Warrior | 10 | Bailey Webster | Malcolm Mackenzie | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 5th | 7 | Never Sober | 8 | Rocky Cheung | Sean Rains | 54.5kg | $5.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Trooper Phoenix | 1 | Alex Hearn | Aaron Pateman | 60kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Awesome Lily | 3 | Brayden Gaerth | A P Scally | 55kg | $8.50 |
| 8th | 8 | Pull The Trigger | 4 | Wayne Wheatley | P G Moses | 56kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 2 | The King's Uncle | 5 | Kate Pateman | Aaron Pateman | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Hillside Horace | 11 | Madi Derrick | G W Hammarquist | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Dragonflies | 9 | Joseph See | D R Couper | 56kg | $71.00 |
Shark Bay Prawn (Bm56+)
17:02 local1400mBenchMark 56+$20,000
Winner8. Dream IllusionSP $6.50
★ Top pick9th
4Pat's Last Bang
Dropping in class from recent Class 5, consistent recent form, Good 4 record solid. Fast tempo plays to finishing strength despite weight.
2nd pickWon
8Dream Illusion
Local specialist with excellent Carnarvon record (7:2-1-1, T/D 2:0-1-0). Barrier 4 ideal for midfield settling on leader-biased track. Recent Geraldton form (3rd last start) confirms fitness, Good 4 stats solid. Fast tempo suits forward position in small sample where leaders dominate. Strong place chance.
3rd pick3rd
6Western Impact
Carnarvon track king (18:2-3-2, T&D 14:2-3-1) with barrier 5 perfectly matching middle barrier bias (22% win rate). Recent form poor but local pattern overrides - major threat if reproduces track form.
Value pick10th
5Traded Crown
Solid Carnarvon record (6:0-2-2, T&D 3:0-1-1), barrier 2 excellent for track bias.
- 1st8Dream IllusionBrayden Gaerth$6.50
- 2nd10A Lot Of ClassMadi Derrick$16.00
- 3rd6Western ImpactJason Li$21.00
- 4th3Hundred YardsElisha Whittington$18.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Dream Illusion | 4 | Brayden Gaerth | A P Scally | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 10 | A Lot Of Class | 3 | Madi Derrick | G W Hammarquist | 55kg | $16.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | Western Impact | 5 | Jason Li | R J Malpass | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 3 | Hundred Yards | 8 | Elisha Whittington | Brett Pope | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 9 | Lim's Sarbach | 11 | Rocky Cheung | Sean Rains | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 7 | Crimmo | 7 | Joseph See | B P Newnham | 57.5kg | $3.80 |
| 7th | 1 | Let's Sea | 10 | Jefferson Tsang | A P Scally | 57kg | $7.00 |
| 8th | 11 | Mr Hollywood | 12 | Bailey Webster | Aaron Pateman | 52kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Pat's Last Bang | 1 | Alex Hearn | A W Maley | 58kg | $3.30 |
| 10th | 5 | Traded Crown | 2 | Wayne Wheatley | G W Hammarquist | 58kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Candlelight Sherif | 6 | R R Evans | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Run Teddy Run | 9 | Jacquelyn Scott | 55kg |
Before the races, not after
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Our top three picks and a value pick for every race, with assessed prices, speed maps and the analysis behind them. Free for 7 days.
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