Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Queensland · Saturday 16 May 2026
Our top pick won 4 of 6 races at Home Hill. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Lady De Vega shapes as the most reliable option having run second at this exact track and distance last start, beaten just half a length. Her soft track form is solid and the inside barrier is crucial at this speed-biased venue.
The drop from Open grade to Maiden company is significant, and her soft track experience is valuable. However, the jockey booking and wide barrier are concerns at this speed-biased track.
The barrier draw provides tactical flexibility, but the poor jockey/trainer combination and winless record from 21 starts are significant negatives in a competitive maiden.
The wide barrier is a concern at this speed-biased track.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Lady De Vega | 2 | Aidan Holt | Lachie Manzelmann | 57.5kg | $1.90 |
| 2nd | 10 | Sixty Nine Grange | 6 | Samantha Pointon | T Button | 53.5kg | $4.80 |
| 3rd | 7 | Lively Spirit | 7 | Ryan Wiggins | T Button | 57kg | $10.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Instigate | 4 | Tasha Chambers | Ms L McCormack | 57.5kg | $18.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Volare | 3 | Nathan Thomas | Troy Clive | 57.5kg | $4.60 |
| 6th | 9 | Van Der Woodsen | 5 | Wanderson D'Avila | Troy Clive | 57kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Davis Junior | 1 | Masayuki Abe | R A Schluenz | 59kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Who Asked Zou | 10 | Tanya Parry | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 3 | Enterprise Pink | 8 | Tanya Parry | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Pronto Percy | 3 | Tanya Parry | 57kg |
Last start winner dropping in class with the significant advantage of barrier 1 at a track that heavily favours inside runners. Her soft track record (1-1-3 from 8 starts) is solid and the recent Bowen win shows she's in good form.
The only runner with winning experience at Home Hill, which is significant at this specialist track. Last start second at Gladstone shows current form, and the jockey/horse combination has been productive. The class drop provides additional appeal despite concerns about soft track performance.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Bubbles'n'froth | 7 | Aidan Holt | William Kenning | 60.5kg | $3.10 |
| 2nd | 1 | That's It | 2 | Tasha Chambers | S J Royes | 62.5kg | $2.40 |
| 3rd | 7 | Line Of Kings | 3 | Wanderson D'Avila | Russell Henderson | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Sideshow Frankie | 4 | Natalea Summers | Darryl Johnston | 60kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Mohawk Warrior | 6 | Rachel Shred | Rachel Shred | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Stateswoman | 1 | Nathan Thomas | Kayla Russell | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Khamis | 5 | Ryan Wiggins | Troy Clive | 57kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 3 | Mishani Perfection | 7 | Kayla Russell | 60kg |
Colleano brings the best recent form with a convincing Warwick win 18 days ago.
Cash Artist brings the perfect tactical setup with barrier 1 and proven staying ability. The strong jockey/horse combination and recent close placing at Mackay suggest he's in good order. While his soft track record is modest, the inside draw and distance suitability make him a genuine winning chance.
First Man offers the best soft track credentials in the field and brings solid recent form. The gear change and inside barrier position suit Home Hill's characteristics. While stepping up significantly in class, his consistent improvement and track condition suitability make him a viable each-way chance.
Medal represents clear value based on his excellent Home Hill record and significant class drop. The wide barrier is a negative but his local knowledge could overcome it.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | First Man | 2 | Tasha Chambers | Ms J Hassett | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Colleano | 6 | Aidan Holt | Georgie Holt | 63.5kg | $3.20 |
| 3rd | 5 | Cash Artist | 1 | Natalea Summers | Darryl Johnston | 57.5kg | $2.80 |
| 4th | 6 | Kings Castle | 3 | Nathan Thomas | D K Amos | 55.5kg | $6.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Medal | 7 | Frank Edwards | Stephen Bush | 63.5kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Wicked Games | 5 | Wanderson D'Avila | Wanderson D'Avila | 55kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Zouhope | 4 | Jason Babarovich | Ms S Royes | 58kg | $14.00 |
Second-up runner with ideal barrier 1 draw at the tight Home Hill circuit. Recent Gregory Downs win demonstrates current form and fitness. Strong distance record and class drop provide additional confidence despite soft track concerns.
Gear changes and strong connections suggest stable confidence, though the wide draw and soft track record present challenges in this tight circuit race.
Recent maiden winner stepping up significantly in class but brings improving form and ideal positioning. The barrier draw and connections provide confidence, though the class rise presents the main challenge.
Well-bred galloper dropping significantly in class with ideal barrier draw.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Exolent Choice | 1 | Jason Babarovich | Ms S Royes | 65kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Diamond Lucy | 4 | Masayuki Abe | Troy Clive | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Remember Roy | 6 | Aidan Holt | Belynda Kliese | 62kg | $2.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Middle Child | 3 | Tasha Chambers | S J Royes | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Office Politics | 5 | Ryan Wiggins | Tracy Simmons | 61kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Elie Joe | 2 | Rachel Shred | Scott Seymour | 61.5kg | $19.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Egzakly | 7 | Nathan Thomas | Kayla Russell | 57kg | $31.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Amoruso | 8 | Tanya Parry | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Vegameister | 1 | Kayla Russell | 61kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Spirit Of Bluey | 5 | T Button | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 11 | Sweet Fantasy | 9 | Ms S Royes | 57kg |
Second up from spell with good distance record and proven soft track ability. Despite wide barrier and top weight, form and class edge make him the most reliable winning chance.
Course and distance winner dropping significantly in class. Despite poor recent form, her track knowledge and class drop create strong winning chance. Inside barrier crucial at tight Home Hill circuit.
Track specialist with recent Home Hill win but faces significant barrier challenge. Proven at venue gives confidence but wide draw and soft track conditions create doubt. Jockey/horse combination perfect but needs luck from outside gate to overcome positional disadvantage.
Recent times suggest untapped potential in easier grade. Soft track conditions ideal and good barrier position helps.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Dalt Jaz | 6 | Ryan Wiggins | Tracy Simmons | 62.5kg | $1.95 |
| 2nd | 4 | War Council | 8 | Tasha Chambers | S J Royes | 60kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Chance | 5 | Wanderson D'Avila | D K Amos | 58.5kg | $16.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Redlights On | 1 | Masayuki Abe | Stephen Bush | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Banxi | 2 | Aidan Holt | T Button | 63.5kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Vegameister | 4 | Nathan Thomas | Kayla Russell | 58.5kg | $10.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Madam Borodina | 3 | Samantha Pointon | T Button | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Rothecate | 7 | Rachel Shred | Scott Seymour | 59kg | $91.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Stateswoman | 7 | Kayla Russell | 57kg |
Odegaard presents as the most reliable winning chance based on consistent form and proven ability on soft tracks. His recent close second at Mackay demonstrates current fitness, while his Home Hill track record shows suitability. The class rise is concerning but his progressive profile suggests he can handle it.
Under The Limit's perfect Home Hill record makes him a serious threat despite the class rise. His soft track ability and recent fitness run at Bowen are positives, but the weight burden and wide draw present challenges in this competitive field.
Booming Lad brings consistent form and a suitable racing pattern for Home Hill's leader-friendly track. His recent Mackay placing shows fitness, though the lack of track experience and moderate soft track record are concerns in this competitive field.
Tow The Line offers value based on recent form improvement and track familiarity. Her Moranbah win and Mt Garnet placing suggest she's found form, though the soft track conditions and wide draw present significant challenges for her chances.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Odegaard | 3 | Aidan Holt | Joshua Manzelmann | 58kg | $1.95 |
| 2nd | 8 | Tow The Line | 4 | Wanderson D'Avila | Lachie Manzelmann | 55kg | $5.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Booming Lad | 2 | Ryan Wiggins | Tracy Simmons | 60.5kg | $4.20 |
| 4th | 1 | Under The Limit | 5 | Tasha Chambers | T Button | 61kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Your Too Good | 1 | Nathan Thomas | Jade Doolan | 55kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Imagine That | 6 | Jason Devine | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 6 | Revved Up Ready | 1 | Ms S Royes | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Mimmy's Secret | 4 | Kevin Miller | 55kg |
Before the races, not after
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