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New South Wales · Saturday 16 May 2026

Kembla Grange tips and results

Our top pick won 3 of 7 races at Kembla Grange. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Soft 5Rail +7m 1100m-W/Post, +5m RemainderOvercastKembla Grange track guide ›
Top pick won3/743%
Any tip won3/743%
Top pick placed4/757%
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R1

Mitch Sleigh - No Longer Man Boy Midway Mdn Plate

12:00 local1600mMaiden$45,000
Winner8. WormingtonSP $3.30
★ Top pickWon
8Wormington

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.30 · Keagan Latham

Soft track proven (4 starts, 2 places). Likely to be on-pace and finish strongly in fast tempo.

2nd pick6th
14Weekday Flyer

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Brock Ryan

Barrier 2 ideal for leading role in likely fast tempo, suiting track's front-half bias. Lightly raced filly by Trapeze Artist suits distance progression. Blinkers added as positive gear change.

3rd pick7th
2Corpulent

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.50 · Lee Magorrian

Barrier 5 suits midfield settling for Kembla Grange bias. Second start shows fitness progression.

Value pick10th
6So Superior

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Olivia Chambers

16 starts provide experience, 6 at distance with 4 places. Barrier 8 allows midfield settling to exploit Kembla Grange bias in fast tempo favouring strong finishers. Soft form ok (5:0-0-1).

  1. 1st8WormingtonKeagan Latham$3.30
  2. 2nd5Leon RubenGrant Buckley$5.50
  3. 3rd12SharbinoAdrian Layt$4.20
  4. 4th3Irish PeteJean Van Overmeire$101.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st8Wormington6Keagan LathamRoss McConville59kg$3.30
2nd5Leon Ruben3Grant BuckleyMs D Poidevin-Laine59kg$5.50
3rd12Sharbino4Adrian LaytG R Nickson57kg$4.20
4th3Irish Pete11Jean Van OvermeireR & L Price59kg$101.00
5th11Neferusobek13Ellen HennessyMs D Poidevin-Laine57kg$14.00
6th14Weekday Flyer2Brock RyanK J Parker57kg$6.00
7th2Corpulent5Lee MagorrianC E Conners59kg$8.50
8th13Sonnig10Rebecca Bronett PragAnthony Mountney54kg$21.00
9th1Bella Piazza12Mitch StaplefordG D Hickman57.5kg$71.00
10th6So Superior8Olivia ChambersMs A Turner57kg$26.00
11th10Landmark Lady1Jess TaylorMs T Bateup57kg$71.00
Scr4Kittano7Rory HutchingsG D Hickman59kg
Scr7The Champion14G Portelli59kg
Scr9Yesglenn9Jeff PenzaJ A Steinmetz59kg
R2

Peak Gardens Mdn Hcp

12:35 local1200mMaiden$42,000
Winner3. Celebes SeaSP $3.80
★ Top pick5th
5Stardust Memories

Our price $2.50 · SP $1.90 · Zac Wadick

No form to analyse but elite connections, barrier 4, and strong jockey booking signal clear stable confidence. Maps midfield in fast tempo race suiting Kembla Grange bias. Absence of data not penalised per maiden rules - trainer profile dominates assessment. Preferred over other debutants.

2nd pick7th
1Cold Gin

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Pierre Boudvillain

Barrier 5 ideal for on-pace bias, maps midfield in fast tempo. Soft track unproven but class drop and recency outweigh.

3rd pickScratched
2Mystical

Our price $4.50

Consistent Freedman filly second-up today with solid 1:0-1-0 second-up record.

Value pick2nd
8Excelluna

Our price $8.00 · SP $31.00 · Rory Hutchings

Improving second-up with recent neck 2nd on good track, prior soft run at Randwick. Freedman stable, class drop helps but barrier 8 challenges map.

  1. 1st3Celebes SeaBrock Ryan$3.80
  2. 2nd8ExcellunaRory Hutchings$31.00
  3. 3rd10Diamond DiceMitchell Bell$31.00
  4. 4th7Michonne's KatanaGrant Buckley$14.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Celebes Sea6Brock RyanG Ryan & S Alexiou59kg$3.80
2nd8Excelluna8Rory HutchingsRichard & Will Freedman57kg$31.00
3rd10Diamond Dice3Mitchell BellRichard Litt56.5kg$31.00
4th7Michonne's Katana9Grant BuckleyG Ryan & S Alexiou58kg$14.00
5th5Stardust Memories4Zac WadickG Waterhouse & A Bott59kg$1.90
6th4Southern Grace1Chad LeverK J Parker59kg$11.00
7th1Cold Gin5Pierre BoudvillainBjorn Baker60kg$6.00
8th11Medieval Mayhem7Jeff PenzaG M Brown55kg$101.00
9th9Ole's Diva2Jean Van OvermeireJ G Sargent57kg$71.00
Scr2Mystical10Michael Freedman60kg
Scr6I Am Overs9Annabel & Rob Archibald58kg
R3

AIB/ARA Building Services Mdn Hcp

13:10 local1200mMaiden$42,000
Winner4. Our VinnySP $21.00
Value pick8th
12Sky Deck

Our price $8.80 · SP $6.00 · Donovan Dillon

Snowden stable, prior Kembla run and class drop make it a live chance if it settles handy despite the wide draw.

  1. 1st4Our VinnyPierre Boudvillain$21.00
  2. 2nd17Flying ArtisamAmy Mc Lucas$4.40
  3. 3rd9HeatstrokeLee Magorrian$31.00
  4. 4th7CrunchMitchell Bell$7.50
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Our Vinny1Pierre BoudvillainMs D Poidevin-Laine59kg$21.00
2nd17Flying Artisam4Amy Mc LucasG Waterhouse & A Bott58kg$4.40
3rd9Heatstroke10Lee MagorrianRichard & Will Freedman56.5kg$31.00
4th7Crunch3Mitchell BellAnnabel & Rob Archibald56.5kg$7.50
5th16Scoish Maloish5Jess TaylorMarc & Mitchell Conners55.5kg$81.00
6th13Refreshment11Rory HutchingsMatthew Smith58kg$41.00
7th10Malua Bay6Brock RyanBjorn Baker56.5kg$3.00
8th12Sky Deck8Donovan DillonPeter Snowden56kg$6.00
9th15Mossrocket9Mitch StaplefordPeter Snowden54kg$9.00
10th14Ruskana7Zac WadickG Waterhouse & A Bott58kg$14.00
11th2Banner Banner2L P BeuzelinT Wong59kg$18.00
Scr1Encryptix3G McFarlane59.5kg
Scr3Malietoa15Marc & Mitchell Conners59kg
Scr5Incremental9Annabel & Rob Archibald58.5kg
Scr6Sponars13Bjorn Baker58.5kg
Scr8Dominator12Michael Freedman56.5kg
Scr11The Breakers17Peter Snowden56.5kg
R4

Express Smash Repairs Super Mdn Plate

13:45 local1400mMaiden$60,000
Winner1. CellphoneSP $3.20
★ Top pickWon
1Cellphone

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.20 · Lee Magorrian

Has placed at Kembla Grange twice and maps ideally for the on-speed bias. Class drop helps.

Value pick2nd
11Movie Night

Our price $6.50 · SP $2.40 · Keagan Latham

Movie Night is first-up and has strong connections. Distance form is good but wide draw hurts.

  1. 1st1CellphoneLee Magorrian$3.20
  2. 2nd11Movie NightKeagan Latham$2.40
  3. 3rd3MenthonChad Lever$13.00
  4. 4th6UnmatchedPierre Boudvillain$31.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Cellphone3Lee MagorrianC J Waller59kg$3.20
2nd11Movie Night8Keagan LathamTom Charlton57kg$2.40
3rd3Menthon10Chad LeverC J Waller59kg$13.00
4th6Unmatched1Pierre BoudvillainMatthew Smith59kg$31.00
5th2Cool Rupert2Jean Van OvermeireMatthew Smith59kg$5.50
6th14Honeysuckle4Rory HutchingsMichael Freedman55kg$9.00
7th10Lady Winston7Olivia ChambersMarc & Mitchell Conners55kg$51.00
8th8Blackbird6Amy Mc LucasL J Bridge57kg$61.00
9th12Wonderstorm11Ellen HennessyMs D Poidevin-Laine57kg$151.00
10th4Negate9Jeff PenzaC J Waller59kg$31.00
11th7Yahuskin5Rebecca Bronett PragMatthew Smith56kg$101.00
Scr5Sur Nova Centauri9Richard Litt59kg
Scr9Entrapment5Joseph Ible57kg
Scr13Yeszem11Brad Widdup57kg
R5

Scarlett Gee (Bm64)

14:20 local1000mBenchmark 64$42,000
Winner6. Sunday TycoonSP $3.30
★ Top pick7th
7Voltage Lass

Our price $3.20 · SP $7.50 · Pierre Boudvillain

First-up stats solid (1 win from 1), soft track proven, and lightly raced 3yo has clear upside despite class rise. Barrier 9 manageable with likely fast tempo suiting forward map at Kembla sprint.

2nd pick3rd
2Tai Lung

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.50 · Jeff Penza

Consistent soft performer dropping in grade, maps forward in likely fast tempo that suits Kembla bias.

3rd pick5th
4Honey Perfume

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.90 · Rory Hutchings

Honey Perfume's consistent form and soft track prowess (2 wins, 7 places from 14 soft starts) make her strong place claim despite wide draw. Recent win and multiple placings show fitness, with fast tempo likely aiding late finish.

Value pickScratched
1Bode Akuna

Our price $8.00

Dropping class from BM64, barrier 4 suits forward Kembla bias in fast tempo.

  1. 1st6Sunday TycoonKeagan Latham$3.30
  2. 2nd3Up The FrontGrant Buckley$14.00
  3. 3rd2Tai LungJeff Penza$6.50
  4. 4th10Calgary KingEmma Ly$21.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Sunday Tycoon2Keagan LathamC E Conners57.5kg$3.30
2nd3Up The Front1Grant BuckleyBlake Ryan59.5kg$14.00
3rd2Tai Lung5Jeff PenzaT J Robinson60kg$6.50
4th10Calgary King3Emma LyBlake Ryan52kg$21.00
5th4Honey Perfume8Rory HutchingsMatthew Smith59kg$3.90
6th9Maz Kanata6Jess TaylorJ C Coyle56kg$7.50
7th7Voltage Lass7Pierre BoudvillainDanielle Seib57.5kg$7.50
8th5Stormfield4Lee MagorrianG Portelli58kg$9.50
Scr1Bode Akuna4J C Coyle60kg
Scr8Aegipan7Pat Murphy57kg
R6

Abax Civil Provincial (Bm68)

14:55 local1200mBenchmark 68$45,000
Winner3. KoiosSP $7.50
★ Top pick2nd
2Peleus

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.80 · Jean Van Overmeire

Carries topweight but handled 59kg last start. Speed map suggests forward role despite wide draw on on-pace Kembla track. Soft 5 unproven but recent Good 4 form superior to rivals.

2nd pick9th
6Ready To Rocket

Our price $7.50 · SP $11.00 · Lee Magorrian

Kembla track affinity (2:0-0-2, T/D 1:0-0-1) key on first-half track. Soft 5 handled before, midfield map ideal for fast tempo favouring strong finishers.

3rd pick4th
7Starinion

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.00 · Rebecca Bronett Prag

Starinion overlooked first up but excels at Kembla (2:1-1-0, T/D 2:1-1-0 wins/places). Last poor run on heavy soft excused; fresh record OK. Barrier 8 manageable for forward runner on bias track. Strong form history here trumps recency dip.

Value pick3rd
8Hunter One

Our price $12.00 · SP $9.00 · Amy Mc Lucas

Barrier 4 ideal for leaders' bias at Kembla, forward map suits fast tempo.

  1. 1st3KoiosMitch Stapleford$7.50
  2. 2nd2PeleusJean Van Overmeire$3.80
  3. 3rd8Hunter OneAmy Mc Lucas$9.00
  4. 4th7StarinionRebecca Bronett Prag$5.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Koios1Mitch StaplefordNacim Dilmi54kg$7.50
2nd2Peleus9Jean Van OvermeireMitchell Beer & George Carpenter57.5kg$3.80
3rd8Hunter One4Amy Mc LucasMs T Bateup55kg$9.00
4th7Starinion7Rebecca Bronett PragS Sampson52kg$5.00
5th4Squeezebox8Keagan LathamMs K Waugh55.5kg$8.50
6th5Opal Fields5Liberty SmythSara Ryan52kg$4.20
6th9All Too Wild3Mitchell BellT J Bartley55kg$26.00
8th10King Charles2Pierre BoudvillainAnthony Mountney55kg$31.00
9th6Ready To Rocket6Lee MagorrianJ C Deamer55kg$11.00
Scr1Donwon5Ross McConville58kg
Scr11Calgary King1Blake Ryan55kg
R7

Tori Darke Hcp (C1)

15:35 local1200mClass 1$42,000
Winner4. TuscanySP $1.75
★ Top pickWon
4Tuscany

Our price $3.50 · SP $1.75 · Keagan Latham

Tuscany tops form assessment with consistent recent placings including narrow 2nd behind strong BM64 field and maiden win at Newcastle. Class drop key positive despite wide draw; midfield settling fits track's on-pace bias in very fast tempo.

2nd pick3rd
9My Proclama

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · Leeshelle Small

Barrier 4 perfect for forward position in on-pace track; light weight big edge on Soft 5.

3rd pick7th
7Broadway Street

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Chad Lever

Second up suits pattern, light weight helps on Soft 5 despite unproven. Recent fitness edge over spellers; reliable threat in volatile CL1 despite class rise.

Value pickScratched
2Chatterley

Our price $6.50

High place rate (50%), soft record 3:1-2-0 perfect conditions. Wide draw hurts in fast tempo but class edge and stable form create overlay; place value strong despite map.

  1. 1st4TuscanyKeagan Latham$1.75
  2. 2nd8MarchonMitchell Bell$9.50
  3. 3rd9My ProclamaLeeshelle Small$8.00
  4. 4th11FirepopBrock Ryan$20.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Tuscany8Keagan LathamTom Charlton60kg$1.75
2nd8Marchon4Mitchell BellAnnabel & Rob Archibald58.5kg$9.50
3rd9My Proclama3Leeshelle SmallJoseph Pride53.5kg$8.00
4th11Firepop6Brock RyanG Ryan & S Alexiou55.5kg$20.00
5th5Lady Pankhurst1Rory HutchingsJ G Sargent59kg$7.50
6th6Starsonus7Amy Mc LucasMs T Bateup59kg$21.00
7th7Broadway Street5Chad LeverK J Parker58.5kg$7.00
8th16Li'l Grug9Grant BuckleyMs D Poidevin-Laine55kg$81.00
9th15Ransaigh Star2Rebecca Bronett PragS Sampson52kg$101.00
Scr1Matima10G Portelli62kg
Scr2Chatterley10C J Waller60kg
Scr3Helen's Way6Bjorn Baker60kg
Scr10The Cristal15Annabel & Rob Archibald56.5kg
Scr12Seductra8Richard & Will Freedman55kg
Scr13Button Up11Matthew Smith57kg
Scr14Very Sirius3David Pfieffer55kg
Scr17Koios7Nacim Dilmi57.5kg
R8

Nathan Lamont (Bm64)

16:15 local1500mBenchmark 64$42,000
Winner6. Hush HushSP $26.00
★ Top pick8th
8Glastonbury Girl

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.50 · Jean Van Overmeire

Soft track record (2:2-0-0) ideal for Soft 5. Fast tempo suits her finishing strength.

2nd pick3rd
2Ocean Chill

Our price $5.00 · SP $4.20 · Liberty Smyth

Ocean Chill's consistent form (1431x3221) with 3 wins/4 places from 8 starts makes her prime top-3 chance. Barrier 5 suits forward midfield position critical at Kembla Grange. Recent win at Muswellbrook BM74 and near-miss Hawkesbury BM64 show class handling. Soft 5 OK (0-1-1), fast tempo plays to strengths. Excellent place claims.

3rd pick2nd
5Empress Of Japan

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.00 · Keagan Latham

Recent 3rd here at BM64 with improving trend. Blinkers return key. Fast tempo and Soft 5 manageable despite barrier 9.

Value pick5th
1Wild Thoughts

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.00 · Chad Lever

Recent 3rd Newcastle with improving trend.

  1. 1st6Hush HushRory Hutchings$26.00
  2. 2nd5Empress Of JapanKeagan Latham$9.00
  3. 3rd2Ocean ChillLiberty Smyth$4.20
  4. 4th13Okami StarZac Wadick$15.00
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Hush Hush4Rory HutchingsC Maher58kg$26.00
2nd5Empress Of Japan9Keagan LathamMichael Freedman58kg$9.00
3rd2Ocean Chill5Liberty SmythAnnabel & Rob Archibald57kg$4.20
4th13Okami Star11Zac WadickC E Conners55kg$15.00
5th1Wild Thoughts10Chad LeverK J Parker60.5kg$9.00
6th4Costabit6Mitch StaplefordG Ryan & S Alexiou57kg$21.00
7th7Blue Willow2Mitchell BellC Maher57.5kg$12.00
8th8Glastonbury Girl3Jean Van OvermeireMatthew Smith57.5kg$2.50
9th11Marsabit13Pierre BoudvillainD A Williams55.5kg$101.00
10th15More Mischief1Olivia ChambersMs A Turner53kg$31.00
11th14Ulysses Blue12Jeff PenzaT J Robinson55kg$51.00
12th3Velaris8Lee MagorrianC J Waller59.5kg$26.00
13th9Miss Hvar7Brock RyanR & L Price57.5kg$31.00
Scr10Brannum10Ms T Bateup56kg
Scr12Aranese11Ms A Turner55kg

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