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Victoria · Saturday 11 July 2026

Donald tips and results

Our top pick won 1 of 7 races at Donald. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Soft 7Rail Out 3m Entire CircuitOvercastDonald track guide ›
Top pick won1/714%
Any tip won2/729%
Top pick placed5/771%
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R1

Pacific Fuel Solutions Mdn Plate

12:51 local1206mMaiden$32,000
Winner3. Powering AwaySP $11.00
★ Top pick6th
8Cute Girl

Our price $4.00 · SP $6.50 · Cian Macredmond

The 2kg weight advantage is significant in maiden company, and barrier 9 allows her to settle in the ideal on-pace position that suits Donald's Soft track bias. While the spell and lack of wet track form are concerns, her class edge and proven distance suitability make her the most likely winner.

2nd pick3rd
7Tsavo

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.00 · Ryan Hurdle

Tsavo brings the best recent form into this race with a solid 2nd placing last start at 1400m. He's proven on Soft tracks with 2 placings from 7 starts and appears to be a progressive type still learning his craft. The barrier allows an ideal settling position to exploit Donald's on-pace bias. However, the major concern is his 0-from-11 record suggests he may lack the killer instinct to win, and the Jones/Hurdle combination has struggled. He's a reliable placer but needs to prove he can actually win.

3rd pick2nd
1I'lberidin'shotgun

Our price $8.00 · SP $6.00 · Neil Farley

Value pickScratched
9Lots Of Torque

Our price $15.00 · Alana Kelly

  1. 1st3Powering AwayJake Duffy$11.00
  2. 2nd1I'lberidin'shotgunNeil Farley$6.00
  3. 3rd7TsavoRyan Hurdle$3.00
  4. 4th2Pappa RitchDean Yendall$3.90
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Powering Away17Jake DuffyPatrick Payne59.5kg$11.00
2nd1I'lberidin'shotgun10Neil FarleyEmma Church59.5kg$6.00
3rd7Tsavo11Ryan HurdleMichael Jones59.5kg$3.00
4th2Pappa Ritch16Dean YendallShane Jackson59.5kg$3.90
5th11Ramelle13Jack HillSymon Wilde57.5kg$16.00
6th8Cute Girl9Cian MacredmondAndrew Bobbin57.5kg$6.50
7th5The Old Man5Logan McNeilMs G Johnstone59.5kg$21.00
8th10Our Matriarch14Melissa JuliusMelissa Julius57.5kg$41.00
9th4Radiant Knight15John KeatingMatthew Raymond Barkla59.5kg$101.00
10th6Tobeyeus1Jason WebbJamie Edwards59.5kg$26.00
Scr9Lots Of Torque2Alana KellyS V Gebert57.5kg
Scr12Beersbeforemuscatt6P A Preusker57.5kg
Scr13Haunted Kynexion3Adam Mc CabeJeffrey Kyne57.5kg
Scr14Genki Girl8John McArdle55kg
Scr15Hill Cry4Shayleigh IngelseNell Carter57.5kg
Scr16Muladaan12Amy HerrmannBryan Dowsett59.5kg
Scr17Atomic Tommy7Amy HerrmannBryan Dowsett59.5kg
R2

Russ Studio Jewellers Mdn Plate

13:26 local1356mMaiden$32,000
Winner4. Play BouzoukiSP $6.50
★ Top pick2nd
1Boulderoo

Our price $3.50 · SP $5.00 · Neil Farley

Boulderoo has the most consistent recent form of this field and maps ideally from barrier 4. At Donald on Heavy, forward runners dominate and he can lead or box seat. The lack of heavy experience is a concern but his soft track placings suggest he handles cut. He is the most likely winner at each-way value.

2nd pick3rd
8Full Display

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.20 · Alana Kelly

3rd pick8th
7Cheers To Us

Our price $12.00 · SP $20.00 · Cassidy Hill

Cheers To Us is a consistent maidener with some wet form and gets in with a feather weight. She is unlikely to win but can run into the placings if the race falls apart.

Value pickWon
4Play Bouzouki

Our price $10.00 · SP $6.50 · Shayleigh Ingelse

Play Bouzouki ran a solid third on Soft 7 at Ararat two starts back and has been freshened. He may be on the edge of a breakthrough but heavy ground is a query.

  1. 1st4Play BouzoukiShayleigh Ingelse$6.50
  2. 2nd1BoulderooNeil Farley$5.00
  3. 3rd8Full DisplayAlana Kelly$3.20
  4. 4th11ChancellorCian Macredmond$4.80
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Play Bouzouki9Shayleigh IngelseP A Preusker59.5kg$6.50
2nd1Boulderoo4Neil FarleyAndrew Bobbin59.5kg$5.00
3rd8Full Display15Alana KellyPatrick Payne57.5kg$3.20
4th11Chancellor16Cian MacredmondArchie Alexander57kg$4.80
5th6Zhou Shu14Jake DuffyMs D Wills59.5kg$41.00
6th5The Judge Ruled5Logan McNeilMs G Johnstone59.5kg$7.00
7th3Notre Citrouille11Melissa JuliusR K Challis59.5kg$81.00
8th7Cheers To Us8Cassidy HillMs J Duncan55.5kg$20.00
9th9Ideas Galore1Christine PulsPatrick Payne57.5kg$17.00
10th2Hellenic Star3Joe BowditchV L Malady59.5kg$17.00
11th10Vosstaniya13Dean YendallShane Jackson57.5kg$51.00
Scr12Fastlane To Ascot6R K Challis57.5kg
Scr13God Mode2Zac MooreWarren Cochrane56.5kg
Scr14Monsoon Indi7Ms K Dufty57.5kg
Scr15Daniel Boone10Simon Zahra59.5kg
Scr16The Noble Steed12Craig AtkinsonP R Gray59.5kg
R3

Goldacres Mdn Plate

14:01 local2218mMaiden$32,000
Winner5. NottolookSP $3.00
★ Top pick3rd
6The Victorious

Our price $4.50 · SP $9.00 · Cian Macredmond

The 3rd placing at Heavy 10 over 2100m last start is the strongest Heavy form reference in this field. The Almanzor pedigree is ideal for wet staying races. While winless, the class and speed metrics suggest this is the breakthrough run.

2nd pick5th
8Explain

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Liana Wood

The recent 2nd at 2400m on Soft 5 shows she handles wet conditions and stays strongly. The 5kg weight advantage is substantial in a staying test, and the Justify pedigree suits stamina demands.

3rd pick4th
3He's On Song

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.00 · Jack Hill

The Heavy 10 placing over 2000m last start is solid form, and barrier 1 is ideal for controlling the slow tempo. However, the lack of a Heavy win, experimental gear change, and unproven status at 2218m create doubt.

Value pick6th
4Manzoray

Our price $20.00 · SP $51.00 · Alana Kelly

The Almanzor pedigree is ideal for wet staying races, and the 3rd placing at 2231m on Good shows distance capability. However, the 0-from-3 Heavy record and barrier 11 are major negatives.

  1. 1st5NottolookNeil Farley$3.00
  2. 2nd1Gaelic KiwiDean Yendall$9.00
  3. 3rd6The VictoriousCian Macredmond$9.00
  4. 4th3He's On SongJack Hill$5.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Nottolook3Neil FarleyPatrick Payne59.5kg$3.00
2nd1Gaelic Kiwi6Dean YendallLucinda Boyd59.5kg$9.00
3rd6The Victorious4Cian MacredmondTaige Weir59.5kg$9.00
4th3He's On Song1Jack HillAndrew Bobbin59.5kg$5.00
5th8Explain9Liana WoodJarrod Robinson54.5kg$11.00
6th4Manzoray11Alana KellyTimothy McGuigan59.5kg$51.00
7th9Miss Dependable2Christine PulsP A Preusker57.5kg$71.00
8th10Preciousmore5Melissa JuliusMatthew Cumani57.5kg$11.00
9th2Goyathlay7Joe BowditchR F Donat59.5kg$81.00
10th7Baudin8Ryan HurdleP A Preusker57.5kg$4.20
Scr11Safina10John KeatingHenry Dwyer57.5kg
Scr12Our Little Cracker12Shayleigh IngelseNell Carter57.5kg
R4

Happy Birthday Darren Browell (Bm56)

14:36 local2218mBenchmark 56$22,000
Winner1. AdjudicateSP $3.80
★ Top pick7th
8Tosen Glory

Our price $4.50 · SP $12.00 · Jake Duffy

The 60% win+place rate at 2218m proves distance suitability. The class rise from BM52 is manageable given the significant drop in opposition quality and his proven Heavy ability.

2nd pick6th
3Iffycould

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.50 · Ryan Hurdle

Iffycould represents the classic class-drop scenario in a BM56 race. After running 4th in BM68 and BM72 company, the drop to BM56 is significant and he's proven he can handle Heavy tracks with a win and place from 4 starts. The consistent placing pattern in higher grades suggests he's competitive but not dominant, making this easier grade appealing. The 27-day break and lack of recent wins are concerns, but the class edge and proven wet ability make him a genuine threat.

3rd pick3rd
4Verifier

Our price $5.00 · SP $2.50 · Neil Farley

Most critically, he has NEVER won on Heavy in 3 attempts, managing only one place. The 0 from 10 recent win record shows difficulty closing out races.

Value pick10th
10Way Up High

Our price $9.00 · SP $15.00 · Alana Kelly

The Heavy win proves wet track ability. However, the 0 from 3 record at 2218m is a significant concern, suggesting the distance may be beyond her optimal range. Recent poor finishing positions (7th, 9th, 12th) indicate she's been finding trouble or not sustaining. Small value play only.

  1. 1st1AdjudicateDean Yendall$3.80
  2. 2nd6Smokin' RohieChelsea Thompson$8.50
  3. 3rd4VerifierNeil Farley$2.50
  4. 4th7CircaAdam Mc Cabe$31.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Adjudicate9Dean YendallMitchell Freedman62kg$3.80
2nd6Smokin' Rohie5Chelsea ThompsonNell Carter55.5kg$8.50
3rd4Verifier2Neil FarleyN A Blackiston60kg$2.50
4th7Circa10Adam Mc CabeMs A Blackburn56kg$31.00
5th2Starry Desert3Joe BowditchAndrew Bobbin61kg$16.00
6th3Iffycould4Ryan HurdleP A Preusker60kg$8.50
7th8Tosen Glory1Jake DuffyK T Bourke56kg$12.00
8th5Bellsym11Shayleigh IngelseP A Preusker59.5kg$16.00
9th9Blonde Suspect6Chelsea TaylorNathan Hobson55.5kg$41.00
10th10Way Up High7Alana KellyDan O'Sullivan55.5kg$15.00
Scr11A Blue Star8Amy HerrmannP D Graesser54kg
R5

Donald Motor Lodge Hcp (56)

15:16 local1628mRestricted 56$22,000
Winner10. FrostrationSP $5.50
★ Top pickWon
10Frostration

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.50 · Caitlin Hollowood

She won impressively last start on Heavy 8 at Wodonga over 1590m and has a perfect heavy track record. The 52kg weight with Hollowood's 2kg claim gives her an 8kg advantage over top weight, which is massive in these conditions. Barrier 4 ensures she can settle on-pace in the predicted slow tempo, and the Donald Heavy bias strongly favours forward runners. Her recent form, proven wet ability, and significant weight advantage make her the most likely winner.

2nd pick2nd
7Thoughtful

Our price $8.00 · SP $13.00 · Melissa Julius

His heavy track record of 1-1-0 demonstrates genuine wet ability, and he ran a solid 2nd last start at Donald on Heavy 9. The barrier 5 draw ensures he can settle on-pace, which is critical given the strong positional bias on Heavy tracks at Donald. While first-up at 1628m is a query, his staying pedigree (So You Think) suggests he'll handle the trip. The light weight and proven wet form make him a genuine winning chance.

3rd pick5th
5Friday At Five

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.00 · Neil Farley

Friday At Five offers place value as a proven heavy track performer dropping significantly in class. Her heavy record of 2-1-1 from 10 starts is superior to most rivals, and the class drop from BM62 to Restricted 56 is significant. While her recent form is concerning (8th last start), she was only 4th three starts back at a similar level. The barrier 7 draw allows her to settle on-pace, and her experience and proven wet ability make her a solid place chance in this moderate field.

Value pick4th
6The Stock Route

Our price $10.00 · SP $9.00 · Christine Puls

Christine Puls has an excellent 19% strike rate at Donald, and the horse has proven he can handle these conditions. The wide barrier 10 is a concern given the on-pace bias, but if he can overcome that, he represents outstanding value as a roughie chance with recent course form.

  1. 1st10FrostrationCaitlin Hollowood$5.50
  2. 2nd7ThoughtfulMelissa Julius$13.00
  3. 3rd3TudayaCian Macredmond$4.80
  4. 4th6The Stock RouteChristine Puls$9.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Frostration4Caitlin HollowoodD E Dean52kg$5.50
2nd7Thoughtful5Melissa JuliusNell Carter57kg$13.00
3rd3Tudaya11Cian MacredmondP A Chow59.5kg$4.80
4th6The Stock Route10Christine PulsMs J Duncan57.5kg$9.00
5th5Friday At Five7Neil FarleyHenry Dwyer58kg$7.00
6th2Don'tcallmechamp2Joe BowditchToby Lake59.5kg$15.00
7th1Dark Harmony6Jack HillAaron Purcell60kg$5.50
8th8Shal Exceed8Chelsea TaylorC V Kelly56.5kg$31.00
9th9Ruscello3Aaron Purcell55.5kg$8.00
10th11Final Quarter1Alana KellyC V Kelly54kg$10.00
Scr4Carnival Riches9Dean YendallRhys Archard58kg
R6

Bet365 Bet Boost Hcp (56)

15:56 local1006mRestricted 56$22,000
Winner1. Cool The JetsSP $3.70
★ Top pick3rd
2Rockcliff

Our price $3.50 · SP $7.00 · Jack Hill

Rockcliff is the standout selection based on recent winning form at this exact venue in Heavy conditions. Won here 21 days ago in even heavier going (Heavy 9), demonstrating perfect suitability. His Heavy track record of 3 wins from 11 starts is elite for this grade, and barrier 4 allows him to settle in the critical handy position that Donald's Heavy bias demands. Second up after a first-up win suggests peak fitness.

2nd pick7th
3Raging Monkey

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.50 · Olivia East

His 79-start career shows he's a seasoned campaigner with proven ability at this distance. The 56kg weight is a significant advantage, and while barrier 1 isn't ideal, his early speed allows tactical flexibility. Recent Heavy placing suggests he can handle today's conditions, though limited Heavy exposure is a slight concern.

3rd pick4th
7Redemption Time

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.50 · Neil Farley

Redemption Time is the ultimate Donald specialist with two placings from two starts at this track and distance, including a close third here three weeks ago. Her consistency is her strength with 31% place rate, and she's proven she can handle Heavy conditions with placings in both recent Heavy runs. Barrier 2 is perfect for settling handy and exploiting the on-pace bias. The 56kg weight helps her chances.

Value pick11th
8Cortain

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.00 · Dean Yendall

This is a speculative value play banking on his proven Heavy ability overcoming distance and recent form queries.

  1. 1st1Cool The JetsCian Macredmond$3.70
  2. 2nd4Shadow BlackAlana Kelly$5.00
  3. 3rd2RockcliffJack Hill$7.00
  4. 4th7Redemption TimeNeil Farley$6.50
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Cool The Jets10Cian MacredmondJyi Lukey59.5kg$3.70
2nd4Shadow Black6Alana KellySean Mott57.5kg$5.00
3rd2Rockcliff4Jack HillR J Besanko59.5kg$7.00
4th7Redemption Time2Neil FarleyM Sell56kg$6.50
5th5Grumpyoldcol7Tayla CameronRachel Samsonenko53kg$51.00
6th10Lunarshot12Jake DuffyAlexander Justice54kg$21.00
7th3Raging Monkey1Olivia EastL E Robertson56kg$7.50
8th11College Dropout9Samantha NobleS G Noble54kg$41.00
9th9The Last Judgement11Kate WaltersMs H Burns54.5kg$9.00
10th6Highland George8Chelsea TaylorNathan Hobson57kg$20.00
11th8Cortain5Dean YendallMs H Burns55kg$11.00
Scr12Stirrup3Valentin Le BoeufMark Stephenson54kg
R7

Donald Steel Metaland Hcp (56)

16:31 local1206mRestricted 56$22,000
Winner1. Colt Forty FiveSP $5.50
★ Top pick2nd
11Miss Himalaya

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.50 · Caitlin Hollowood

Miss Himalaya is the standout Heavy track specialist with a 40% win rate on wet going, including a dominant last-start victory at Wodonga Heavy 8. The Donald Heavy profile strongly favours on-pace runners (top-3 at 400m won 25% vs backmarkers 4%), and she can settle forward from barrier 10. Light weight of 54.5kg is a significant advantage, and her proven class at this level (11:1-1-2 at 1200m) makes her the most reliable winning chance despite the slight class rise from BM52.

2nd pick3rd
7Please Me Do

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.50 · Olivia East

Please Me Do represents excellent value dropping from BM62 to R56 with a proven Heavy track record (33% win rate). The class drop combined with light weight (55.5kg) and proven wet-track ability makes her a serious winning threat, though the apprentice booking and mixed recent form temper confidence slightly.

3rd pick8th
2Frederick

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.50 · Adam Mc Cabe

His 1200m record (11:1-2-1) is solid, and recent placings show he's competitive at this level. However, the complete lack of Heavy track experience (0:0-0-0) is a significant concern on Heavy 8 conditions, and the 60kg top weight adds further pressure. He's a reliable each-way chance if handling the conditions.

Value pick7th
12Airclash

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.50 · Chelsea Taylor

The blinkers-on gear change is positive, and his strong 1200m record (21:3-1-2) including a previous Donald win suggests he can handle the track. However, barrier 12 is a significant disadvantage on a Heavy track that strongly favours inside, on-pace runners.

  1. 1st1Colt Forty FiveDean Yendall$5.50
  2. 2nd11Miss HimalayaCaitlin Hollowood$7.50
  3. 3rd7Please Me DoOlivia East$7.50
  4. 4th3Slate RipperNeil Farley$10.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Colt Forty Five17Dean YendallJamie Edwards60kg$5.50
2nd11Miss Himalaya10Caitlin HollowoodD E Dean54.5kg$7.50
3rd7Please Me Do4Olivia EastD E Dean55.5kg$7.50
4th3Slate Ripper1Neil FarleyColin McGillivray60kg$10.00
5th13State Of Maine16Neil FarleyCharlotte Parker56kg$14.00
6th10Artpark2Shayleigh IngelseP A Preusker56.5kg$9.00
7th12Airclash12Chelsea TaylorJarrod Robinson58kg$7.50
8th2Frederick6Adam Mc CabeMichael Huglin60kg$5.50
9th8Point Of Ecstasy11Ryan HurdleMitchell Freedman57.5kg$8.50
10th6Vegas Dancer5Joe BowditchAndrew Bobbin58kg$17.00
11th9Alesha Lily14Alana KellyTimothy McGuigan56.5kg$101.00
Scr4Ambello3Melissa JuliusNell Carter59.5kg
Scr5Tuxedo Miss15Cian MacredmondArchie Alexander58kg
Scr14Danerich Dan9Liana WoodR J Besanko54.5kg
Scr15Irish Bliss13Ms H Burns56.5kg
Scr16Astrodean8James & Lisa Dodgson56.5kg
Scr17Mogao7P E Kramer54kg

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