The 2kg weight advantage is significant in maiden company, and barrier 9 allows her to settle in the ideal on-pace position that suits Donald's Soft track bias. While the spell and lack of wet track form are concerns, her class edge and proven distance suitability make her the most likely winner.
Victoria · Saturday 11 July 2026
Donald tips and results
Our top pick won 1 of 7 races at Donald. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Pacific Fuel Solutions Mdn Plate
Tsavo brings the best recent form into this race with a solid 2nd placing last start at 1400m. He's proven on Soft tracks with 2 placings from 7 starts and appears to be a progressive type still learning his craft. The barrier allows an ideal settling position to exploit Donald's on-pace bias. However, the major concern is his 0-from-11 record suggests he may lack the killer instinct to win, and the Jones/Hurdle combination has struggled. He's a reliable placer but needs to prove he can actually win.
- 1st3Powering AwayJake Duffy$11.00
- 2nd1I'lberidin'shotgunNeil Farley$6.00
- 3rd7TsavoRyan Hurdle$3.00
- 4th2Pappa RitchDean Yendall$3.90
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Powering Away | 17 | Jake Duffy | Patrick Payne | 59.5kg | $11.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | I'lberidin'shotgun | 10 | Neil Farley | Emma Church | 59.5kg | $6.00 |
| 3rd | 7 | Tsavo | 11 | Ryan Hurdle | Michael Jones | 59.5kg | $3.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Pappa Ritch | 16 | Dean Yendall | Shane Jackson | 59.5kg | $3.90 |
| 5th | 11 | Ramelle | 13 | Jack Hill | Symon Wilde | 57.5kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Cute Girl | 9 | Cian Macredmond | Andrew Bobbin | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 7th | 5 | The Old Man | 5 | Logan McNeil | Ms G Johnstone | 59.5kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Our Matriarch | 14 | Melissa Julius | Melissa Julius | 57.5kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Radiant Knight | 15 | John Keating | Matthew Raymond Barkla | 59.5kg | $101.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Tobeyeus | 1 | Jason Webb | Jamie Edwards | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| Scr | 9 | Lots Of Torque | 2 | Alana Kelly | S V Gebert | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Beersbeforemuscatt | 6 | P A Preusker | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Haunted Kynexion | 3 | Adam Mc Cabe | Jeffrey Kyne | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Genki Girl | 8 | John McArdle | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Hill Cry | 4 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Nell Carter | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Muladaan | 12 | Amy Herrmann | Bryan Dowsett | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Atomic Tommy | 7 | Amy Herrmann | Bryan Dowsett | 59.5kg |
Russ Studio Jewellers Mdn Plate
Boulderoo has the most consistent recent form of this field and maps ideally from barrier 4. At Donald on Heavy, forward runners dominate and he can lead or box seat. The lack of heavy experience is a concern but his soft track placings suggest he handles cut. He is the most likely winner at each-way value.
Cheers To Us is a consistent maidener with some wet form and gets in with a feather weight. She is unlikely to win but can run into the placings if the race falls apart.
Play Bouzouki ran a solid third on Soft 7 at Ararat two starts back and has been freshened. He may be on the edge of a breakthrough but heavy ground is a query.
- 1st4Play BouzoukiShayleigh Ingelse$6.50
- 2nd1BoulderooNeil Farley$5.00
- 3rd8Full DisplayAlana Kelly$3.20
- 4th11ChancellorCian Macredmond$4.80
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Play Bouzouki | 9 | Shayleigh Ingelse | P A Preusker | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 1 | Boulderoo | 4 | Neil Farley | Andrew Bobbin | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Full Display | 15 | Alana Kelly | Patrick Payne | 57.5kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 11 | Chancellor | 16 | Cian Macredmond | Archie Alexander | 57kg | $4.80 |
| 5th | 6 | Zhou Shu | 14 | Jake Duffy | Ms D Wills | 59.5kg | $41.00 |
| 6th | 5 | The Judge Ruled | 5 | Logan McNeil | Ms G Johnstone | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Notre Citrouille | 11 | Melissa Julius | R K Challis | 59.5kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Cheers To Us | 8 | Cassidy Hill | Ms J Duncan | 55.5kg | $20.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Ideas Galore | 1 | Christine Puls | Patrick Payne | 57.5kg | $17.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Hellenic Star | 3 | Joe Bowditch | V L Malady | 59.5kg | $17.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Vosstaniya | 13 | Dean Yendall | Shane Jackson | 57.5kg | $51.00 |
| Scr | 12 | Fastlane To Ascot | 6 | R K Challis | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | God Mode | 2 | Zac Moore | Warren Cochrane | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Monsoon Indi | 7 | Ms K Dufty | 57.5kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Daniel Boone | 10 | Simon Zahra | 59.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | The Noble Steed | 12 | Craig Atkinson | P R Gray | 59.5kg |
Goldacres Mdn Plate
The 3rd placing at Heavy 10 over 2100m last start is the strongest Heavy form reference in this field. The Almanzor pedigree is ideal for wet staying races. While winless, the class and speed metrics suggest this is the breakthrough run.
The recent 2nd at 2400m on Soft 5 shows she handles wet conditions and stays strongly. The 5kg weight advantage is substantial in a staying test, and the Justify pedigree suits stamina demands.
The Heavy 10 placing over 2000m last start is solid form, and barrier 1 is ideal for controlling the slow tempo. However, the lack of a Heavy win, experimental gear change, and unproven status at 2218m create doubt.
The Almanzor pedigree is ideal for wet staying races, and the 3rd placing at 2231m on Good shows distance capability. However, the 0-from-3 Heavy record and barrier 11 are major negatives.
- 1st5NottolookNeil Farley$3.00
- 2nd1Gaelic KiwiDean Yendall$9.00
- 3rd6The VictoriousCian Macredmond$9.00
- 4th3He's On SongJack Hill$5.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Nottolook | 3 | Neil Farley | Patrick Payne | 59.5kg | $3.00 |
| 2nd | 1 | Gaelic Kiwi | 6 | Dean Yendall | Lucinda Boyd | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 6 | The Victorious | 4 | Cian Macredmond | Taige Weir | 59.5kg | $9.00 |
| 4th | 3 | He's On Song | 1 | Jack Hill | Andrew Bobbin | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Explain | 9 | Liana Wood | Jarrod Robinson | 54.5kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Manzoray | 11 | Alana Kelly | Timothy McGuigan | 59.5kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 9 | Miss Dependable | 2 | Christine Puls | P A Preusker | 57.5kg | $71.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Preciousmore | 5 | Melissa Julius | Matthew Cumani | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 2 | Goyathlay | 7 | Joe Bowditch | R F Donat | 59.5kg | $81.00 |
| 10th | 7 | Baudin | 8 | Ryan Hurdle | P A Preusker | 57.5kg | $4.20 |
| Scr | 11 | Safina | 10 | John Keating | Henry Dwyer | 57.5kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Our Little Cracker | 12 | Shayleigh Ingelse | Nell Carter | 57.5kg |
Happy Birthday Darren Browell (Bm56)
The 60% win+place rate at 2218m proves distance suitability. The class rise from BM52 is manageable given the significant drop in opposition quality and his proven Heavy ability.
Iffycould represents the classic class-drop scenario in a BM56 race. After running 4th in BM68 and BM72 company, the drop to BM56 is significant and he's proven he can handle Heavy tracks with a win and place from 4 starts. The consistent placing pattern in higher grades suggests he's competitive but not dominant, making this easier grade appealing. The 27-day break and lack of recent wins are concerns, but the class edge and proven wet ability make him a genuine threat.
Most critically, he has NEVER won on Heavy in 3 attempts, managing only one place. The 0 from 10 recent win record shows difficulty closing out races.
The Heavy win proves wet track ability. However, the 0 from 3 record at 2218m is a significant concern, suggesting the distance may be beyond her optimal range. Recent poor finishing positions (7th, 9th, 12th) indicate she's been finding trouble or not sustaining. Small value play only.
- 1st1AdjudicateDean Yendall$3.80
- 2nd6Smokin' RohieChelsea Thompson$8.50
- 3rd4VerifierNeil Farley$2.50
- 4th7CircaAdam Mc Cabe$31.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Adjudicate | 9 | Dean Yendall | Mitchell Freedman | 62kg | $3.80 |
| 2nd | 6 | Smokin' Rohie | 5 | Chelsea Thompson | Nell Carter | 55.5kg | $8.50 |
| 3rd | 4 | Verifier | 2 | Neil Farley | N A Blackiston | 60kg | $2.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Circa | 10 | Adam Mc Cabe | Ms A Blackburn | 56kg | $31.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Starry Desert | 3 | Joe Bowditch | Andrew Bobbin | 61kg | $16.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Iffycould | 4 | Ryan Hurdle | P A Preusker | 60kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 8 | Tosen Glory | 1 | Jake Duffy | K T Bourke | 56kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Bellsym | 11 | Shayleigh Ingelse | P A Preusker | 59.5kg | $16.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Blonde Suspect | 6 | Chelsea Taylor | Nathan Hobson | 55.5kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Way Up High | 7 | Alana Kelly | Dan O'Sullivan | 55.5kg | $15.00 |
| Scr | 11 | A Blue Star | 8 | Amy Herrmann | P D Graesser | 54kg |
Donald Motor Lodge Hcp (56)
She won impressively last start on Heavy 8 at Wodonga over 1590m and has a perfect heavy track record. The 52kg weight with Hollowood's 2kg claim gives her an 8kg advantage over top weight, which is massive in these conditions. Barrier 4 ensures she can settle on-pace in the predicted slow tempo, and the Donald Heavy bias strongly favours forward runners. Her recent form, proven wet ability, and significant weight advantage make her the most likely winner.
His heavy track record of 1-1-0 demonstrates genuine wet ability, and he ran a solid 2nd last start at Donald on Heavy 9. The barrier 5 draw ensures he can settle on-pace, which is critical given the strong positional bias on Heavy tracks at Donald. While first-up at 1628m is a query, his staying pedigree (So You Think) suggests he'll handle the trip. The light weight and proven wet form make him a genuine winning chance.
Friday At Five offers place value as a proven heavy track performer dropping significantly in class. Her heavy record of 2-1-1 from 10 starts is superior to most rivals, and the class drop from BM62 to Restricted 56 is significant. While her recent form is concerning (8th last start), she was only 4th three starts back at a similar level. The barrier 7 draw allows her to settle on-pace, and her experience and proven wet ability make her a solid place chance in this moderate field.
Christine Puls has an excellent 19% strike rate at Donald, and the horse has proven he can handle these conditions. The wide barrier 10 is a concern given the on-pace bias, but if he can overcome that, he represents outstanding value as a roughie chance with recent course form.
- 1st10FrostrationCaitlin Hollowood$5.50
- 2nd7ThoughtfulMelissa Julius$13.00
- 3rd3TudayaCian Macredmond$4.80
- 4th6The Stock RouteChristine Puls$9.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Frostration | 4 | Caitlin Hollowood | D E Dean | 52kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 7 | Thoughtful | 5 | Melissa Julius | Nell Carter | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Tudaya | 11 | Cian Macredmond | P A Chow | 59.5kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 6 | The Stock Route | 10 | Christine Puls | Ms J Duncan | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Friday At Five | 7 | Neil Farley | Henry Dwyer | 58kg | $7.00 |
| 6th | 2 | Don'tcallmechamp | 2 | Joe Bowditch | Toby Lake | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Dark Harmony | 6 | Jack Hill | Aaron Purcell | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 8th | 8 | Shal Exceed | 8 | Chelsea Taylor | C V Kelly | 56.5kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Ruscello | 3 | Aaron Purcell | 55.5kg | $8.00 | |
| 10th | 11 | Final Quarter | 1 | Alana Kelly | C V Kelly | 54kg | $10.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Carnival Riches | 9 | Dean Yendall | Rhys Archard | 58kg |
Bet365 Bet Boost Hcp (56)
Rockcliff is the standout selection based on recent winning form at this exact venue in Heavy conditions. Won here 21 days ago in even heavier going (Heavy 9), demonstrating perfect suitability. His Heavy track record of 3 wins from 11 starts is elite for this grade, and barrier 4 allows him to settle in the critical handy position that Donald's Heavy bias demands. Second up after a first-up win suggests peak fitness.
His 79-start career shows he's a seasoned campaigner with proven ability at this distance. The 56kg weight is a significant advantage, and while barrier 1 isn't ideal, his early speed allows tactical flexibility. Recent Heavy placing suggests he can handle today's conditions, though limited Heavy exposure is a slight concern.
Redemption Time is the ultimate Donald specialist with two placings from two starts at this track and distance, including a close third here three weeks ago. Her consistency is her strength with 31% place rate, and she's proven she can handle Heavy conditions with placings in both recent Heavy runs. Barrier 2 is perfect for settling handy and exploiting the on-pace bias. The 56kg weight helps her chances.
This is a speculative value play banking on his proven Heavy ability overcoming distance and recent form queries.
- 1st1Cool The JetsCian Macredmond$3.70
- 2nd4Shadow BlackAlana Kelly$5.00
- 3rd2RockcliffJack Hill$7.00
- 4th7Redemption TimeNeil Farley$6.50
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Cool The Jets | 10 | Cian Macredmond | Jyi Lukey | 59.5kg | $3.70 |
| 2nd | 4 | Shadow Black | 6 | Alana Kelly | Sean Mott | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Rockcliff | 4 | Jack Hill | R J Besanko | 59.5kg | $7.00 |
| 4th | 7 | Redemption Time | 2 | Neil Farley | M Sell | 56kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Grumpyoldcol | 7 | Tayla Cameron | Rachel Samsonenko | 53kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Lunarshot | 12 | Jake Duffy | Alexander Justice | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Raging Monkey | 1 | Olivia East | L E Robertson | 56kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 11 | College Dropout | 9 | Samantha Noble | S G Noble | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 9th | 9 | The Last Judgement | 11 | Kate Walters | Ms H Burns | 54.5kg | $9.00 |
| 10th | 6 | Highland George | 8 | Chelsea Taylor | Nathan Hobson | 57kg | $20.00 |
| 11th | 8 | Cortain | 5 | Dean Yendall | Ms H Burns | 55kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 12 | Stirrup | 3 | Valentin Le Boeuf | Mark Stephenson | 54kg |
Donald Steel Metaland Hcp (56)
Miss Himalaya is the standout Heavy track specialist with a 40% win rate on wet going, including a dominant last-start victory at Wodonga Heavy 8. The Donald Heavy profile strongly favours on-pace runners (top-3 at 400m won 25% vs backmarkers 4%), and she can settle forward from barrier 10. Light weight of 54.5kg is a significant advantage, and her proven class at this level (11:1-1-2 at 1200m) makes her the most reliable winning chance despite the slight class rise from BM52.
Please Me Do represents excellent value dropping from BM62 to R56 with a proven Heavy track record (33% win rate). The class drop combined with light weight (55.5kg) and proven wet-track ability makes her a serious winning threat, though the apprentice booking and mixed recent form temper confidence slightly.
His 1200m record (11:1-2-1) is solid, and recent placings show he's competitive at this level. However, the complete lack of Heavy track experience (0:0-0-0) is a significant concern on Heavy 8 conditions, and the 60kg top weight adds further pressure. He's a reliable each-way chance if handling the conditions.
The blinkers-on gear change is positive, and his strong 1200m record (21:3-1-2) including a previous Donald win suggests he can handle the track. However, barrier 12 is a significant disadvantage on a Heavy track that strongly favours inside, on-pace runners.
- 1st1Colt Forty FiveDean Yendall$5.50
- 2nd11Miss HimalayaCaitlin Hollowood$7.50
- 3rd7Please Me DoOlivia East$7.50
- 4th3Slate RipperNeil Farley$10.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Colt Forty Five | 17 | Dean Yendall | Jamie Edwards | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 2nd | 11 | Miss Himalaya | 10 | Caitlin Hollowood | D E Dean | 54.5kg | $7.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Please Me Do | 4 | Olivia East | D E Dean | 55.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 3 | Slate Ripper | 1 | Neil Farley | Colin McGillivray | 60kg | $10.00 |
| 5th | 13 | State Of Maine | 16 | Neil Farley | Charlotte Parker | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Artpark | 2 | Shayleigh Ingelse | P A Preusker | 56.5kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 12 | Airclash | 12 | Chelsea Taylor | Jarrod Robinson | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 2 | Frederick | 6 | Adam Mc Cabe | Michael Huglin | 60kg | $5.50 |
| 9th | 8 | Point Of Ecstasy | 11 | Ryan Hurdle | Mitchell Freedman | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 10th | 6 | Vegas Dancer | 5 | Joe Bowditch | Andrew Bobbin | 58kg | $17.00 |
| 11th | 9 | Alesha Lily | 14 | Alana Kelly | Timothy McGuigan | 56.5kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 4 | Ambello | 3 | Melissa Julius | Nell Carter | 59.5kg | |
| Scr | 5 | Tuxedo Miss | 15 | Cian Macredmond | Archie Alexander | 58kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Danerich Dan | 9 | Liana Wood | R J Besanko | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 15 | Irish Bliss | 13 | Ms H Burns | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | Astrodean | 8 | James & Lisa Dodgson | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Mogao | 7 | P E Kramer | 54kg |
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