Anson Bay is the most consistent runner in the race, posting two close 2nds at Fannie Bay recently. He draws ideally in barrier 4 and drops slightly in grade. The main concern is his trainer's recent form and the lack of distance success, but he profiles as the horse to beat and should be winning one soon.
Northern Territory · Saturday 11 July 2026
Darwin tips and results
Our top pick won 1 of 6 races at Darwin. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
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Arctic Installations Hcp (66)
Hotim English is a Fannie Bay specialist with 5 wins and 5 seconds from 22 starts here. Barrier 3 is perfect for the tight circuit and he has won over 1300m earlier this prep. His recent 4th in Rest 70 was a solid effort and he drops back to Rest 66 today.
Hebel comes off a win over this track and distance two starts back, then a solid 2nd in Rest 76 company. The drop back to Rest 66 is a clear class edge. He handles Good ground and has a good record at the trip. The slight barrier concern is offset by his tactical speed.
Starzam is the class horse of the field, dropping from BM82 to Restricted 66. The major questions are fitness after a long spell and adapting to Fannie Bay without prior experience.
- 1st1Anson BayRichard Bensley$2.70
- 2nd5Limited RiskJade Doyle$21.00
- 3rd4Hotim EnglishAaron Sweeney$7.50
- 4th7Yaki IshiWanderson D'Avila$11.00
Full result · 7 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Anson Bay | 4 | Richard Bensley | Chris Nash | 61kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 5 | Limited Risk | 5 | Jade Doyle | Kym Healy | 58kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 4 | Hotim English | 3 | Aaron Sweeney | Ella Clarke | 59.5kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 7 | Yaki Ishi | 1 | Wanderson D'Avila | N J Dyer | 55.5kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Your Not The Boss | 2 | Jason Lyon | Chloe Baxter | 57kg | $4.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Starzam | 6 | Jarrod Todd | G Clarke | 61kg | $11.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Hebel | 7 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Terry Gillett | 59.5kg | $4.20 |
AFA Insurance Brokers Mdn Plate
Jarrod Todd retains the ride and combines well with trainer Clarke. Despite a poor last run in higher grade, the return to a suitable trip and easier opposition should see him finally break through.
Dynasty Reward is the epitome of consistency without a win, but his record of 5 seconds and 4 thirds from 14 starts commands respect. Drawn ideally in barrier 2, he should get a soft run just behind the speed. His recent form at Fannie Bay (two 3rds) shows he handles the tight circuit. The query is whether he can finally get his nose in front, but the barrier and track experience give him every chance.
Fabres is on an upward curve, having placed in both runs at Fannie Bay this preparation (2nd and 3rd). The addition of a tongue tie is a gear change that often sharpens a horse's finish. He has a decent second-up record and the Exceed And Excel pedigree suggests he should handle 1200m.
Drawn nicely in barrier 4, he should get a favourable run.
- 1st1Dynasty RewardJason Lyon$4.80
- 2nd4Meet Me At The BarRichard Bensley$6.50
- 3rd12VinolentWanderson D'Avila$15.00
- 4th9Epic JewelJade Hampson$91.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Dynasty Reward | 2 | Jason Lyon | K J Lamprecht | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 4 | Meet Me At The Bar | 4 | Richard Bensley | Chris Nash | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 12 | Vinolent | 1 | Wanderson D'Avila | N J Dyer | 56.5kg | $15.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Epic Jewel | 13 | Jade Hampson | Kym Healy | 56.5kg | $91.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Pafitis | 6 | Jarrod Todd | G Clarke | 58.5kg | $3.20 |
| 6th | 11 | Milk Foam | 9 | Wayne Davis | Philip Cole | 56.5kg | $9.50 |
| 7th | 5 | Opulent Oscar | 5 | Paul Shiers | Paul Shiers | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 8th | 2 | Fabres | 7 | Raymond Vigar | Ms T Halter | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 9th | 7 | D'ambidex | 10 | Jessica Booth | Kym Healy | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 10th | 3 | Mapleton Hill | 3 | Stan Tsaikos | Ms K Petrick | 58.5kg | $16.00 |
| 11th | 10 | Love To Lie | 12 | Ianish Luximon | Kym Healy | 56.5kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 8 | One Last Promise | 8 | Deborah Barton | D Leech | 55kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Brave Heritage | 14 | N J Dyer | 59kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Natalie Joy | 11 | N J Dyer | 57kg |
Sunbuild Trobis (Bm66)
Voronya presents the strongest form case despite first-up concerns. Won BM68 last start which is higher grade than today, and the inside barrier is a significant advantage at this track. While first-up record (0-0-0) is a concern, the class edge and barrier position outweigh this. The moderate tempo should allow settling in a forward position from gate 1, and recent wins show this horse is in career-best form. Main danger is fitness, but quality suggests can overcome.
Stepping from maiden to BM66 is a significant class rise, and the second-up record (0-0-1) is poor. The trainer/jockey combination has 0 wins from 16 rides together. Light weight helps but barrier 7 is neutral at best.
The consistent form pattern and proven ability on Good tracks are positives, as is being in regular racing rhythm. However, barrier 10 is a major concern at Fannie Bay where inside draws dominate. The 59kg topweight compounds the difficulty. Would need to overcome the wide gate quickly to avoid being caught wide, which is difficult on this tight turning track. Has the class and speed to win but needs significant luck from the poor draw.
Snappy Sweetheart is the value play as a proven Fannie Bay specialist with 3 wins from 5 starts at the track and 2 wins from 3 at this exact distance. The barrier 2 draw is ideal for the track bias, and the jockey combination has a 60% strike rate. However, the 238-day spell is a massive concern - that's 8 months between runs. First-up record of 0-1-0 suggests needs a run, though the one placing shows can be competitive fresh. The class rise is manageable given proven ability at this venue. Each-way value for those believing the stable has her ready first-up.
- 1st4Yule PointDeborah Barton$2.25
- 2nd5Si SenoraHannah Le Blanc$10.00
- 3rd2VoronyaPaul Denton$2.45
- 4th11Vatican RoseIanish Luximon$91.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Yule Point | 7 | Deborah Barton | K J Lamprecht | 54.5kg | $2.25 |
| 2nd | 5 | Si Senora | 5 | Hannah Le Blanc | Tommy Logan | 55.5kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 2 | Voronya | 1 | Paul Denton | Greg Connor | 58.5kg | $2.45 |
| 4th | 11 | Vatican Rose | 3 | Ianish Luximon | Kym Healy | 55kg | $91.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Snappy Sweetheart | 2 | Wayne Davis | Rhonda Cole | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Our Squamosa | 4 | Stan Tsaikos | Ms K Petrick | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Forever A Diamond | 11 | Jade Doyle | Kym Healy | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 6 | Sassy Abbey | 8 | Jason Lyon | Philip Cole | 55kg | $20.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Desi's Spirit | 6 | Jessica Booth | Kym Healy | 52kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Flash Kermy | 9 | Wanderson D'Avila | Philip Cole | 55kg | $21.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Cavern | 10 | Jade Hampson | D Leech | 59kg |
FRM Refrigeration & Air Conditioning Hcp (58)
Miss Boom presents as the most likely winner based on race dynamics. As the lone genuine leader in a moderate tempo, she can control the race from barrier 4. While her last Fannie Bay run was poor, that was at 1200m from a wide barrier. The 1000m suits better, and the tactical advantage of leading uncontested outweighs the limited course form.
Starspangledancer is the clear danger with her exceptional Fannie Bay record and ideal barrier draw. The course specialist angle is strong with 6 wins here, though the 1000m distance is a query (only 1 win from 11). The 52kg with claim suggests connections aren't fully confident, but her class and track knowledge make her the logical threat. Can swoop late if the tempo is genuine.
The inside bias at Fannie Bay is pronounced, and from barrier 7 she'll need significant luck or a strong tempo to get into the race. Her 0-from-7 record at 1000m is also a red flag. The form is solid but the draw makes her vulnerable, and she's more likely to place than win.
While he lacks the class of the top picks, barrier 2 is a massive advantage at Fannie Bay where inside draws dominate.
- 1st2Luna FieldStan Tsaikos$2.60
- 2nd4Press ExpressRichard Bensley$6.50
- 3rd7MlinziJason Lyon$31.00
- 4th10ForgetaboutitWayne Davis$14.00
Full result · 10 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Luna Field | 7 | Stan Tsaikos | N J Dyer | 60kg | $2.60 |
| 2nd | 4 | Press Express | 1 | Richard Bensley | Tommy Logan | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Mlinzi | 9 | Jason Lyon | Philip Cole | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Forgetaboutit | 2 | Wayne Davis | Philip Cole | 55kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Starspangledancer | 3 | Jessica Booth | G Clarke | 52kg | $4.60 |
| 6th | 3 | Miss Boom | 4 | Jade Doyle | Kym Healy | 57.5kg | $8.50 |
| 7th | 9 | Dancer For Money | 6 | Hannah Le Blanc | Philip Cole | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Black Coal | 5 | Jade Hampson | D Leech | 61kg | $9.50 |
| 9th | 6 | Red Extreme | 10 | Jarrod Todd | Jason Manning | 56.5kg | $18.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Oakland Raider | 8 | Wanderson D'Avila | Rhonda Cole | 57kg | $11.00 |
Territory Isuzu Hcp (62)
Faberge Tzar ticks almost every box: he won last time out over this track and trip, has a superb 4-from-12 record at the course/distance, draws nicely in barrier 6, and retains Jason Lyon who is riding well. The slow tempo favours his on-pace style.
Beau Factor has been racing consistently in higher grade, finishing 3rd and 4th over this track and distance. He drops back to Restricted 62, gets a handy 1.5kg claim, and draws well in barrier 5.
He's Maverick has found form with two consecutive placings at Fannie Bay, including a close 3rd in Rest.66 last time.
Barrier 4 gives every chance to settle handy.
- 1st2BollonJarrod Todd$3.90
- 2nd4Barocco BarLek Maloney$9.50
- 3rd5Faberge TzarJason Lyon$3.80
- 4th1Beau FactorDakota-Lee Gillett$8.50
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Bollon | 10 | Jarrod Todd | G Clarke | 60kg | $3.90 |
| 2nd | 4 | Barocco Bar | 4 | Lek Maloney | Patrick Johnston | 56.5kg | $9.50 |
| 3rd | 5 | Faberge Tzar | 6 | Jason Lyon | Andrew Perdon | 58kg | $3.80 |
| 4th | 1 | Beau Factor | 5 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Terry Gillett | 59kg | $8.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Kieffer | 1 | Raymond Vigar | K J Lamprecht | 57.5kg | $5.50 |
| 6th | 11 | Girls Girls Girls | 3 | Jade Hampson | Ms K Petrick | 55kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Mr Jones | 12 | Paul Denton | Kym Healy | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 6 | He's Maverick | 2 | Ianish Luximon | Kym Healy | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 9th | 9 | Anphina | 9 | Stan Tsaikos | Ms K Petrick | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 10th | 10 | Machine Man | 7 | Aaron Sweeney | Ms K Petrick | 55.5kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Danger Man | 8 | Deborah Barton | Chris Pollard | 53kg | $81.00 |
| Scr | 8 | The Albion | 11 | Paul Shiers | Peter Stennett | 57.5kg |
AUFS Chief Minister''s Cup
Hadouken presents as the standout value proposition. The gelding is a proven Fannie Bay specialist with 5 wins from 7 starts at the track, including a perfect 2-from-2 record at today's 1600m distance. Barrier 1 is gold at this venue where inside gates dominate, and as the likely lone leader in a moderate tempo, he can dictate terms. While recent form shows inconsistency, the track/distance/barrier combination aligns perfectly.
Crown Waters is the proven track-and-distance specialist in this field with a solid 1-1-2 record from 5 starts at Fannie Bay's 1600m. The mare won here 2 starts back and ran 4th last start, showing she's competitive at this level. Barrier 5 is ideal at this inside-biased track, and the 57kg weight (2kg below top weight) is a genuine advantage. Her Good track record of 5-4-3 from 16 starts demonstrates surface suitability, and the Jockey/trainer combination (Le Blanc/Logan) has a 21% strike rate.
Dakota Lee is clearly the best performed horse in this field with an exceptional 83% win rate and dominant recent form including a last-start Fannie Bay win. The tight Fannie Bay circuit heavily penalises wide draws, particularly in the 9-12 range, and this mare will need to overcome significant positional disadvantage.
The 8-year-old gelding has a solid first-up record (2-1-3 from 7) and won a Group 3 at Caulfield last preparation, demonstrating he can perform fresh. The combination of Lyon (23% with trainer Baxter) adds confidence.
- 1st12Magic DefenseStan Tsaikos$13.00
- 2nd11Dakota LeeDakota-Lee Gillett$2.50
- 3rd1Casino SeventeenJason Lyon$7.50
- 4th4StormageddonRaymond Vigar$9.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 12 | Magic Defense | 13 | Stan Tsaikos | Ms K Petrick | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 2nd | 11 | Dakota Lee | 11 | Dakota-Lee Gillett | Terry Gillett | 57kg | $2.50 |
| 3rd | 1 | Casino Seventeen | 8 | Jason Lyon | Chloe Baxter | 59kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 4 | Stormageddon | 7 | Raymond Vigar | Michael Hickmott | 59kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Wolfburn | 10 | Jarrod Todd | G Clarke | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 10 | Crown Waters | 5 | Hannah Le Blanc | Tommy Logan | 57kg | $14.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Komachi | 12 | Jade Hampson | Will Clarken | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Watadeel | 9 | Paul Shiers | Michael Hickmott | 59kg | $15.00 |
| 9th | 9 | Alpine Flyer | 3 | Ianish Luximon | Kym Healy | 57kg | $151.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Hadouken | 1 | Wayne Davis | Peter Robl | 59kg | $5.50 |
| 11th | 6 | Venting | 6 | Lek Maloney | Ms K Petrick | 59kg | $21.00 |
| 12th | 5 | Vega Magnifico | 4 | Richard Bensley | N J Dyer | 59kg | $41.00 |
| Scr | 13 | The Girl's Boy | 2 | Ms K Petrick | 59kg |
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