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New South Wales · Saturday 11 July 2026

Randwick tips and results

Our top pick won 1 of 10 races at Randwick. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Heavy 9Rail +9m 1000m-W/Post, +8m RemainderFineRandwick track guide ›
Top pick won1/1010%
Any tip won6/1060%
Top pick placed5/1050%
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R1

Elite Sand And Soil Hcp

11:10 local1400mOpen$160,000
Winner9. Proxima DeaSP $51.00
★ Top pick5th
2Rumdabar

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.10 · Aaron Bullock

Rumdabar presents the strongest form case with the only proven Heavy track win in the field. Won last start on Heavy 8 over 1300m at Newcastle and steps naturally to 1400m second up, where the record is strong. The Kris Lees-trained colt has the clear class and condition edge, with Aaron Bullock (40% strike rate) aboard.

2nd pick8th
4Rebel Shield

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.50 · Alysha Collett

The Portelli/Collett combination is proven (14% SR), and the outside barrier aligns with the track bias.

3rd pick3rd
10Woodenbridge

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.50 · Siena Grima

The first-time blinkers and lugging bit are significant gear changes that indicate the Ryan/Alexiou stable is trying to unlock improvement. The light weight (52kg) and inside barrier help, but stepping from Maiden to Open with inconsistent form makes this a risky play requiring the gear changes to work.

Value pick2nd
3Defensemen

Our price $6.50 · SP $4.60 · Zac Lloyd

Placed 3rd last start in a Maiden and should improve second up, with Wootton Bassett breeding suited to the 1400m stamina test on Heavy. The inside barrier on Heavy can be a trap.

  1. 1st9Proxima DeaReece Jones$51.00
  2. 2nd3DefensemenZac Lloyd$4.60
  3. 3rd10WoodenbridgeSiena Grima$8.50
  4. 4th6ColumboAndrew Calder$41.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st9Proxima Dea9Reece JonesDavid Payne54kg$51.00
2nd3Defensemen1Zac LloydC J Waller56kg$4.60
3rd10Woodenbridge3Siena GrimaG Ryan & S Alexiou52kg$8.50
4th6Columbo4Andrew CalderG D Hickman54.5kg$41.00
5th2Rumdabar8Aaron BullockK A Lees56.5kg$3.10
6th8Honniball Drive11Jett NewmanBrett & Georgie Cavanough51kg$9.50
7th11Circus Queen6Rachel KingPeter Snowden54kg$12.00
8th4Rebel Shield10Alysha CollettG Portelli55.5kg$6.50
9th5Gold Globe5Tyler SchillerDavid Payne55kg$14.00
10th7Ultimate Warrior2Andrew AdkinsMichael Freedman54.5kg$10.00
Scr1Audit7Kerrin Mc EvoyL J Bridge58kg
R2

TAB Highway Plate (C3)

11:45 local1600mClass 3$120,000
Winner16. LeovanniSP $20.00
★ Top pick2nd
1Moon Sweeper

Our price $2.50 · SP $1.50 · Jett Newman

Moon Sweeper is the clear form runner with two heavy track wins and a last-start victory on Heavy 9 at Rosehill. He maps to settle handy and should be strong at the finish.

2nd pick3rd
7Red Rags To Bulls

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.50 · Siena Grima

Red Rags To Bulls is a consistent mare who always runs well without winning. She has placed twice in four heavy starts and was close up last time.

3rd pick6th
8Saintly Sands

Our price $12.00 · SP $16.00 · Reece Jones

Saintly Sands was poor last start but had excuses from a wide draw. Value each-way player.

Value pickWon
16Leovanni

Our price $10.00 · SP $20.00

Leovanni is a progressive mare who has won her last two starts on soft ground. She handles wet tracks and gets a low weight with a good draw.

  1. 1st16Leovanni$20.00
  2. 2nd1Moon SweeperJett Newman$1.50
  3. 3rd7Red Rags To BullsSiena Grima$9.50
  4. 4th4Demi GodMolly Bourke$26.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st16Leovanni4Cameron Crockett54kg$20.00
2nd1Moon Sweeper5Jett NewmanM J Dunn56kg$1.50
3rd7Red Rags To Bulls13Siena GrimaJ R Gask55kg$9.50
4th4Demi God11Molly BourkeMichael Travers57.5kg$26.00
5th6Dunstall The Gun16Kerrin Mc EvoyBrett & Georgie Cavanough57.5kg$26.00
6th8Saintly Sands3Reece JonesR P Northam57kg$16.00
7th11Spurline1Zac WadickT J Wilson55kg$101.00
8th5Steel Blaze18Teighan WorsnopB M Lazzarini57.5kg$51.00
9th3Release Point12Aaron BullockR P Northam59kg$18.00
10th2Concoction7Mollie FitzgeraldStirling Osland56kg$8.00
11th19Airliner9T J Robinson56kg$101.00
12th15Party It Down15Sairyn FawkeP J Facoory55.5kg$101.00
Scr9Holy Hell6Anna RoperDanielle Seib55kg
Scr10Shezain10Tyler SchillerK Dryden & L Snowden57kg
Scr12Hammett2Rachel KingMatthew Dale56kg
Scr13Hurry Miss18Matthew Dale55.5kg
Scr14Maples14P Messara & L Gavranich55.5kg
Scr17Caledonian17Madeline OwenMs K Owen57.5kg
Scr18King Soleil8Craig Ruttley57.5kg
R3

Midway (Bm72)

12:20 local1600mBenchmark 72$120,000
Winner3. Perfect JusticeSP $4.20
★ Top pick5th
5Forecaster

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.40 · Rachel King

Forecaster is the standout selection based on proven track/distance credentials and Heavy track form at Randwick. With 1-1-2 from 5 at this exact venue and trip, plus a Heavy win here previously, he ticks the key boxes for Heavy racing at Randwick: distance-proven (critical separator on Heavy) and track-proven. Maps to settle handy and be in the critical top-3 at the 400m. The proven credentials outweigh concerns about the inside barrier.

2nd pick2nd
17The Mona Lisa

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.00 · Andrew Calder

Her 2 from 2 at Randwick 1600m is compelling, including last start BM72 win, and Calder's 29% strike rate on the mare adds confidence. However, the Heavy 9 surface is a major unknown - she's only raced once on Heavy (unplaced) and her 4 wins have come on Good tracks. The 58.5kg topweight is above the Heavy track winner average of 57.1kg. Place appeal stronger than win.

3rd pickWon
3Perfect Justice

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.20 · Siena Grima

Perfect Justice offers solid each-way appeal as a consistent placegetter with strong Soft credentials that should translate to Heavy. His 2nd placings in his last two starts at Randwick (both 1500m+) show current form and track familiarity, while his 1-4-1 record on Soft from 10 starts suggests genuine wet track ability. The light 56kg weight is a significant advantage on the testing Heavy 9 surface, and blinkers returning (won in them before) adds a positive gear change. The key concern is limited Heavy exposure (0-0-0 from 1), but Soft form often translates. Maps to settle handy and be in the critical top-3 at the 400m. Consistent rather than brilliant, but that reliability has value in this open winter BM72.

Value pick7th
16Diamond Model

Our price $12.00 · SP $13.00 · Anna Roper

Her 1-2-1 record from 5 Heavy starts, including two recent seconds on Heavy 8 at Gosford 1600m, demonstrates she handles testing conditions well - a critical separator at Randwick on Heavy. The main concern is no Randwick experience (0-0-0 from 3), but her proven Heavy ability and distance credentials (2-1-1 from 9 at 1600m) suggest she can overcome that.

  1. 1st3Perfect JusticeSiena Grima$4.20
  2. 2nd17The Mona LisaAndrew Calder$7.00
  3. 3rd7MurphillyGrant Buckley$6.50
  4. 4th15Unreal ExpectationMollie Fitzgerald$8.50
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Perfect Justice10Siena GrimaJ G Sargent56kg$4.20
2nd17The Mona Lisa12Andrew CalderP & M Cave58.5kg$7.00
3rd7Murphilly1Grant BuckleyMs K Gavenlock55kg$6.50
4th15Unreal Expectation4Mollie FitzgeraldT & P Vigouroux51kg$8.50
5th5Forecaster2Rachel KingP M Perry57kg$4.40
6th9Rush Attack9Tyler SchillerNathan Doyle55kg$26.00
7th16Diamond Model8Anna RoperSara Ryan51kg$13.00
8th6Dr Evil7Deanne PanyaJ A Steinmetz56.5kg$12.00
9th11So Rebellious3Andrew AdkinsG Portelli54.5kg$10.00
10th12Tom Cruising11Alysha CollettK J Parker54.5kg$71.00
Scr1Cold Brew13Richard & Will Freedman63kg
Scr2Iceman15Aaron BullockC E Conners60kg
Scr4Swift Legend5Kerrin Mc EvoyL J Bridge57.5kg
Scr8Free And Fast13Jay FordMs K Waugh55kg
Scr10All Star14Pierre BoudvillainFabio Martino54.5kg
Scr13Highborn Harry18David Payne54kg
Scr14Just Shane6T & P Vigouroux54kg
Scr18Horizons7Richard & Will Freedman56kg
R4

Cactus Imaging (Bm72)

12:55 local1100mBenchmark 72$160,000
Winner1. BenevacSP $2.70
★ Top pick3rd
5Escargoes

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.00 · Tyler Schiller

The gelding has proven credentials at 1100m with two wins from four starts, handles wet conditions with a placing on Heavy and two wins on Soft, and comes off a BM64 victory last start. The inside barrier 5 draw is ideal for the predicted slow tempo, and the 56kg weight is manageable.

2nd pick2nd
4Zoufame

Our price $4.00 · SP $2.30 · Kerrin Mc Evoy

Kerrin McEvoy's booking is significant, and the inside barrier 4 draw is ideal. However, the complete lack of Heavy track experience is a critical concern on a Heavy 9 surface, and the jump from maiden grade to BM72 is substantial.

3rd pickWon
1Benevac

Our price $3.80 · SP $2.70 · Siena Grima

Value pickScratched
7Jarrito

Our price $5.00 · Rachel King

The filly won at BM64 level and ran a solid 4th at BM72 last start, suggesting she can compete at this grade. However, the complete lack of Heavy track experience is a significant concern on a Heavy 9 surface, and the wide barrier 7 draw is disadvantageous.

  1. 1st1BenevacSiena Grima$2.70
  2. 2nd4ZoufameKerrin Mc Evoy$2.30
  3. 3rd5EscargoesTyler Schiller$6.00
  4. 4th6ErnauxZac Lloyd$9.00
Full result · 5 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Benevac2Siena GrimaC Maher57.5kg$2.70
2nd4Zoufame4Kerrin Mc EvoyBjorn Baker56.5kg$2.30
3rd5Escargoes5Tyler SchillerBrad Widdup56kg$6.00
4th6Ernaux3Zac LloydC J Waller55.5kg$9.00
5th8Point Score1Andrew CalderMs A Turner54kg$19.00
Scr2Albany Road8Zac WadickG Waterhouse & A Bott56.5kg
Scr3Sir Les6Chad LeverCraig Carmody57kg
Scr7Jarrito7Rachel KingBjorn Baker55.5kg
R5

Asahi Super Dry (Bm78)

13:30 local1800mBenchmark 78$160,000
Winner5. All Kinds Of FolkSP $4.40
★ Top pick3rd
4Existential Bob

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Siena Grima

The unbeaten Heavy record (2 wins from 2 starts) is the compelling factor that overrides other concerns. On Heavy 9, proven wet-track ability is the primary separator, and Existential Bob's perfect record on testing ground stands alone in this field. The slow tempo with a lone leader suits a forward runner, and the light 53kg weight is crucial.

2nd pickWon
5All Kinds Of Folk

Our price $4.80 · SP $4.40 · Kerrin Mc Evoy

The barrier 5 draw and light weight are positives, and McEvoy's engagement suggests stable confidence. However, the class rise from BM70 to BM78 is significant, and she's never won at 1800m.

3rd pick5th
9Horizons

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.00 · Alysha Collett

The course and distance specialist with two placings from two attempts at this exact track and trip. Last start third here beaten less than a length in BM78 company shows she's competitive at this level. Handles wet tracks and the light 53kg weight suits. However, she's never won at 1800m despite four attempts, and Collett's recent form is concerning (0 from 20). The consistency and track familiarity make her a solid each-way chance, but the distance winning drought is a significant query.

Value pick7th
1Sacrify

Our price $8.50 · SP $6.50 · Aaron Bullock

Last start BM78 winner with proven 1800m credentials, but the 60kg on Heavy 9 is a major concern. Won carrying 57.5kg on Soft 6, now asked to carry 60kg on much more testing Heavy 9 - that's a significant ask. The inside barrier saves ground, and Bullock is riding in excellent form (40% strike rate). However, his only Heavy run at this level resulted in a 7th placing.

  1. 1st5All Kinds Of FolkKerrin Mc Evoy$4.40
  2. 2nd3TambeloaMollie Fitzgerald$4.80
  3. 3rd4Existential BobSiena Grima$5.50
  4. 4th8Deal N' DashAndrew Adkins$17.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5All Kinds Of Folk5Kerrin Mc EvoyTodd Pollard54kg$4.40
2nd3Tambeloa4Mollie FitzgeraldMs K Buchanan52.5kg$4.80
3rd4Existential Bob10Siena GrimaC J Waller53kg$5.50
4th8Deal N' Dash6Andrew AdkinsBjorn Baker53.5kg$17.00
5th9Horizons8Alysha CollettRichard & Will Freedman53kg$9.00
6th10The Iron Star3Tyler SchillerMarc Chevalier53kg$11.00
7th1Sacrify1Aaron BullockAnnabel & Rob Archibald60kg$6.50
8th11Ivy Legend2Reece JonesC J Waller52kg$41.00
9th2Amplify9Chad SchofieldC Maher56.5kg$18.00
10th7Celebrity7Rachel KingBjorn Baker53.5kg$12.00
Scr6Dubai Watch9Vincent Hall54kg
R6

Kieran Moore (Bm78)

14:05 local1000mBenchmark 78$160,000
Winner7. ZouripperSP $4.40
★ Top pick2nd
3Petticoat

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.00 · Mollie Fitzgerald

Petticoat is the standout selection with an exceptional 2-1-0 record at this exact track and distance. While Heavy 9 exposure is limited (0-1-0), her strong Soft track record (3-2-0) and proven ability to handle testing conditions makes her the most reliable option. The inside barrier 3 is crucial on Heavy tracks where position at the 400m dominates, and she maps perfectly to control the race from the front or sit handy.

2nd pick3rd
4Prima Bella

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.50 · Kerrin Mc Evoy

Prima Bella presents a compelling case as the proven Heavy 9 specialist, having won this exact race at Randwick over 1000m on Heavy 9 just seven weeks ago. While last start was disappointing, the 35-day gap suggests she may have needed the run. The inside barrier 4 and proven track/distance credentials make her a major winning threat, though the 58kg and lack of recent form keeps her as second selection behind the more consistent Petticoat.

3rd pick4th
9Sociable

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.50 · Siena Grima

His current form is encouraging with three consecutive placings, and he's proven capable at BM78 level previously.

Value pickScratched
8Rantan

Our price $8.00 · Tyler Schiller

The 55kg weight and proven Soft track form (2-1-1) suggest some wet track ability. The wide barrier 9 compounds this concern on a track showing inside bias. This is a speculative value play for those willing to gamble that his Soft form translates to Heavy and his superior speed can overcome the wide draw.

  1. 1st7ZouripperReece Jones$4.40
  2. 2nd3PetticoatMollie Fitzgerald$3.00
  3. 3rd4Prima BellaKerrin Mc Evoy$3.50
  4. 4th9SociableSiena Grima$6.50
Full result · 7 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st7Zouripper5Reece JonesJoseph Pride56kg$4.40
2nd3Petticoat3Mollie FitzgeraldB J Dodson55kg$3.00
3rd4Prima Bella4Kerrin Mc EvoyMatthew Smith58kg$3.50
4th9Sociable2Siena GrimaC Maher52kg$6.50
5th10Indefensible6Alysha CollettJoseph Pride52kg$21.00
6th1Power Of The Brave8Shannen LlewellynK A Lees59.5kg$8.50
7th11Mountain Top7Winona CostinD R Mirfin52kg$101.00
Scr2Luna Cat1Zac WadickBen, Will & Jd Hayes56.5kg
Scr5Engine Room10Aaron BullockBryce Heys56.5kg
Scr6Benevac10C Maher56kg
Scr8Rantan9Tyler SchillerR J Quinton55kg
R7

Precise Air (Bm88)

14:40 local1800mBenchmark 88$160,000
Winner4. TazimaSP $3.90
★ Top pickWon
4Tazima

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.90 · Siena Grima

Tazima is the standout selection based on proven Heavy track ability and exact course/distance form. Won this race last start and has the critical distance-proven/track-proven profile that dominates on Randwick Heavy (63% vs 50% field average). The 67% Heavy win rate and two Randwick Heavy wins provide the strongest form credentials in a winter BM88 field. While carrying more weight, the proven ability at these exact conditions outweighs the impost in a race with no genuine speed.

2nd pick11th
10Luskaire

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.00 · Mollie Fitzgerald

Luskaire represents strong each-way value with exceptional Heavy credentials and a significant weight advantage. The 50% Heavy win rate and 51.5kg impost are powerful factors on a testing Heavy 9 surface.

3rd pick4th
12Anythink Goes

Our price $8.00 · SP $5.50 · Alysha Collett

Anythink Goes is the improving type that can handle the class rise based on last-start BM78 win and solid wet-track credentials. The 54kg weight and proven Heavy form (10:1-3-1) provide a competitive edge in a winter BM88 field.

Value pick9th
1Williamsburg

Our price $12.00 · SP $15.00 · Jett Newman

While the 59.5kg and lack of 1800m wins are concerns, the class drop in a winter BM88 field and proven Heavy ability make this a genuine roughie chance.

  1. 1st4TazimaSiena Grima$3.90
  2. 2nd9BonifaceTyler Schiller$5.50
  3. 3rd11Sly BootsRachel King$5.00
  4. 4th12Anythink GoesAlysha Collett$5.50
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Tazima9Siena GrimaC J Waller58.5kg$3.90
2nd9Boniface12Tyler SchillerM Price & M Kent Jnr56kg$5.50
3rd11Sly Boots1Rachel KingG Waterhouse & A Bott54.5kg$5.00
4th12Anythink Goes2Alysha CollettMatthew Smith54kg$5.50
5th3Elliptical7Andrew AdkinsC J Waller60.5kg$16.00
6th2Mighty Ulysses5Adam FarragherAnnabel & Rob Archibald61kg$91.00
7th7Sky Lab13Aaron BullockP M Perry58kg$101.00
8th6Rotagilla4Kerrin Mc EvoyC J Waller59kg$10.00
9th1Williamsburg6Jett NewmanBrett & Georgie Cavanough59.5kg$15.00
10th8Time Quest11Winona CostinMatthew Smith56.5kg$81.00
11th10Luskaire8Mollie FitzgeraldAnnabel & Rob Archibald51.5kg$8.00
Scr5Les Vampires3Anna RoperMs L Longmire57.5kg
Scr13Tazaral12Reece JonesAnnabel & Rob Archibald52kg
Scr14Lennox5Annabel & Rob Archibald52kg
Scr15Sacrify10Annabel & Rob Archibald55kg
R8

Robrick Lodge Eremein (Bm78)

15:20 local1600mBenchmark 78$160,000
Winner3. Cold BrewSP $4.80
★ Top pick8th
11Concordia Wind

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Siena Grima

The light weight of 53.5kg is a significant advantage on testing ground, and she maps perfectly from barrier 7 to secure the crucial top-3 position at the 400m that dominates Heavy track results at Randwick. Chris Waller stable adds confidence, and the recent BM72 win was authoritative.

2nd pick3rd
8Seven's

Our price $7.00 · SP $4.60 · Sam Clipperton

Seven's commands respect purely on his perfect Heavy track record - 2 wins from 2 starts is compelling on Heavy 9 going. He's a proven wet track specialist dropping back from BM88 to BM78, which provides genuine class relief. Place chance strong, but queries over current condition.

3rd pickWon
3Cold Brew

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.80 · Chad Schofield

However, he faces a significant query: he's never raced at 1600m. His early speed and barrier 5 are positives, but the untested distance combined with class rise makes him vulnerable to more proven types.

Value pick7th
9Conchiero

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.50 · Rachel King

The Waterhouse/Bott stable is elite, and he's proven at 1600m with a distance win on record. However, barrier 11 is a significant negative on a Heavy track where position at the 400m is crucial - he'll need considerable luck to secure a forward position. His Heavy form is unproven (0 from 1), though he ran respectably last start.

  1. 1st3Cold BrewChad Schofield$4.80
  2. 2nd2The CreatorAnna Roper$10.00
  3. 3rd8Seven'sSam Clipperton$4.60
  4. 4th13I've Bean Tryin'Alysha Collett$17.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Cold Brew5Chad SchofieldRichard & Will Freedman60kg$4.80
2nd2The Creator1Anna RoperM Price & M Kent Jnr58.5kg$10.00
3rd8Seven's9Sam ClippertonAnnabel & Rob Archibald58kg$4.60
4th13I've Bean Tryin'2Alysha CollettMatthew Kelley55.5kg$17.00
5th7Zouna14Kerrin Mc EvoyTom Charlton59kg$20.00
6th16Sirius Legend13Tyler SchillerL J Bridge53.5kg$18.00
7th9Conchiero11Rachel KingG Waterhouse & A Bott57.5kg$8.50
8th11Concordia Wind7Siena GrimaC J Waller53.5kg$6.00
9th5Bravissima4Mollie FitzgeraldMatthew Dale56kg$10.00
10th15Chassagne3Reece JonesTodd Pollard53.5kg$101.00
11th1Until Valhalla8Shannen LlewellynC Maher57.5kg$11.00
12th10Who Ever Thought10Pierre BoudvillainJ R Gask56.5kg$151.00
Scr4Supernima12P G Moody & Katherine Coleman59.5kg
Scr6Margot's Deel6Jason Edwards59kg
Scr12The Mona Lisa17P & M Cave55.5kg
Scr14Danish Fortune6Louise DayJoel Wilkes55kg
Scr17Hurry Miss5Matthew Dale53.5kg
R9

Toyota Forklifts (Bm88)

16:00 local1400mBenchmark 88$160,000
Winner10. Mickey's MedalSP $15.00
★ Top pick4th
2Lugh

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.00 · Siena Grima

Lugh presents the strongest winning case with a perfect second-up record (2 from 2) and proven Heavy track ability (won at Heavy 8). The class drop from BM94 to BM88 is significant, and the likely lone-leader scenario in a moderate tempo allows him to dictate terms. Main concerns are the untested 1400m distance and inexperienced jockey booking, but the second-up pattern and wet-track class override these. Winter form reliability and proven Heavy credentials make this the standout selection despite the apprentice ride.

2nd pick2nd
14It's A Knockout

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.50 · Zac Lloyd

It's A Knockout is the proven Randwick 1400m specialist with a 50% place rate at this track and distance. The class drop from BM90 and consistent Group/Listed placings demonstrate quality, while the outside barrier (14) aligns perfectly with the Heavy track bias favouring gates 13+. Strong Soft form (7:2-2-1) translates well, though the single Heavy start without placing is a concern. Course specialization and tactical advantage from the draw make this a strong each-way proposition.

3rd pick8th
9Emirate

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.50 · Reece Jones

Emirate brings strong current form with consecutive wins and proven Heavy track ability (50% win rate). The Waller stable is firing and jockey Reece Jones won on him last start, creating a winning partnership. Barrier 6 is ideal for a handy settle in the moderate tempo.

Value pick9th
11Watcha Matey

Our price $8.00 · SP $26.00 · Andrew Adkins

The 50% first-up win rate and proven 1400m credentials (4:1-1-2) provide confidence, while UK RS100 class suggests quality. Barrier 5 is ideal for a forward position. The lack of Randwick experience and limited wet form add risk.

  1. 1st10Mickey's MedalSam Clipperton$15.00
  2. 2nd14It's A KnockoutZac Lloyd$5.50
  3. 3rd13NarboldTyler Schiller$6.00
  4. 4th2LughSiena Grima$3.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Mickey's Medal16Sam ClippertonAnnabel & Rob Archibald58kg$15.00
2nd14It's A Knockout14Zac LloydC Maher56kg$5.50
3rd13Narbold9Tyler SchillerC J Waller57kg$6.00
4th2Lugh10Siena GrimaC Maher59kg$3.00
5th6Astero1Jett NewmanMatthew Smith56kg$41.00
6th1Poison Chalice11Chad SchofieldJoseph Pride62kg$26.00
7th3Thunderlips8Rachel KingBjorn Baker60.5kg$7.50
8th9Emirate6Reece JonesC J Waller58kg$6.50
9th11Watcha Matey5Andrew AdkinsC J Waller57.5kg$26.00
10th12Imposant12Aaron BullockK A Lees57kg$51.00
11th4Kintyre4Anna RoperG Portelli58kg$61.00
Scr5Fortune2Alysha CollettAnnabel & Rob Archibald59.5kg
Scr7Roadcone3P G Moody & Katherine Coleman59kg
Scr8Coco Jamboo13Mollie FitzgeraldAnnabel & Rob Archibald55kg
Scr15Substantial7Pierre BoudvillainFabio Martino57kg
Scr16Until Valhalla15C Maher55.5kg
R10

TAB (Bm78)

16:35 local1400mBenchmark 78$160,000
Winner6. Aroha StoneSP $9.50
★ Top pick9th
5Super Nui

Our price $5.50 · SP $13.00 · Louise Day

Super Nui presents as the standout selection based on proven heavy track ability and perfect distance record. With 2 wins from 5 heavy track starts and 2 wins from 2 attempts at 1400m, she possesses the exact credentials required for today's Heavy 9 conditions. The strong Day/Quinton combination (25% strike rate together) and advantageous barrier 7 position provide additional confidence. While lacking Randwick experience, her proven ability on heavy ground at 1400m elsewhere outweighs this concern.

2nd pick6th
14Nandina

Our price $7.00 · SP $3.80 · Zac Lloyd

The 53.5kg impost from the Waller stable provides a significant weight advantage, and her placing on Heavy 8 demonstrates wet track competency. While the rise from BM72 to BM78 and lack of 1400m experience present concerns, her class and current form trajectory suggest she can overcome these. The barrier 4 draw with Lloyd aboard (strong Randwick record) positions her ideally. As a lightly-raced 3yo filly, she may still be improving and could prove better than her limited resume suggests.

3rd pick7th
10Hurry Miss

Our price $9.00 · SP $13.00 · Siena Grima

Hurry Miss presents as a value chance second-up with proven heavy track credentials and significant weight advantage. Her Heavy 10 victory at Newcastle demonstrates genuine wet track ability, while her 50% second-up win record suggests she improves with fitness. The 53.5kg impost is the lightest in the race, providing a crucial advantage on the testing Heavy 9 surface. However, the sharp rise from Class 3 to BM78 represents a significant class test, and her last start 3rd at the lower grade wasn't dominant. The combination of light weight, proven heavy form, and second-up fitness makes her a genuine each-way chance despite the class concerns.

Value pick4th
12Pierata's Gem

Our price $12.00 · SP $14.00 · Mollie Fitzgerald

Pierata's Gem represents a speculative value play based on her strong first-up record and light weight advantage, despite significant concerns. Her 25% first-up win rate and 50% place rate suggest she can be competitive fresh, and the 52kg impost provides a crucial weight advantage on Heavy 9. However, multiple red flags exist: zero heavy track form from three attempts, no 1400m experience, blinkers removed, and a very long spell.

  1. 1st6Aroha StoneShannen Llewellyn$9.50
  2. 2nd2Swiftie HarrietAnna Roper$5.50
  3. 3rd11Miss Kim KarRachel King$8.50
  4. 4th12Pierata's GemMollie Fitzgerald$14.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Aroha Stone9Shannen LlewellynNathan Doyle54kg$9.50
2nd2Swiftie Harriet5Anna RoperTravis Doudle57kg$5.50
3rd11Miss Kim Kar10Rachel KingBjorn Baker55.5kg$8.50
4th12Pierata's Gem3Mollie FitzgeraldAnnabel & Rob Archibald52kg$14.00
5th3Aye Aye Captain1Kerrin Mc EvoyL J Bridge58kg$3.80
6th14Nandina4Zac LloydC J Waller53.5kg$3.80
7th10Hurry Miss8Siena GrimaMatthew Dale53.5kg$13.00
8th7Brigidine Gal2Winona CostinBrett & Georgie Cavanough57kg$71.00
9th5Super Nui7Louise DayR J Quinton57.5kg$13.00
10th13Miss Emma11Sairyn FawkeBecky Byrne54kg$91.00
Scr1Margot's Deel4Jason Edwards61kg
Scr4Bella Corazon6Alysha CollettAnnabel & Rob Archibald57.5kg
Scr8Full Hao12Chad SchofieldC J Waller57kg
Scr9Dupli Kate9N F Gardner56.5kg
Scr15Concordia Wind4C J Waller57.5kg

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