Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Queensland · Wednesday 15 July 2026
Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Eagle Farm. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Xtravagant Johnny was beaten a nose in this exact race last start at Eagle Farm over 1000m, showing he is competitive at this level. With a leading jockey in career-best form and a professional stable, he rates the most likely to turn the tables and go one better. Solid map position from barrier 6 in a tactically even race suits his profile perfectly.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Profit In Paradise | 13 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | P L Shailer | 58kg | $12.00 |
| 2nd | 10 | Xtravagant Johnny | 6 | Ben E Thompson | T J Gollan | 58kg | $3.30 |
| 3rd | 11 | Tommy Tie | 4 | Dominique Lahiff | 58kg | $14.00 | |
| 4th | 9 | Threeeyedwitch | 10 | Tiffani Brooker | K M Schweida | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Forest Lad | 2 | Anthony Allen | Desleigh Forster | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 6th | 8 | Sniper Boom | 1 | Olivia Kendal | Paul Butterworth | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 2 | Dragon Magic | 5 | Corey Sutherland | S A Dwyer | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 13 | Sir James | 9 | Ashley Butler | K M Schweida | 58kg | $20.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Diamond Impact | 7 | Nozi Tomizawa | Corey & Kylie Geran | 58kg | $201.00 |
| 10th | 4 | King Of The Road | 3 | Nick Heywood | Adam Campton | 58kg | $2.70 |
| Scr | 5 | Legenderry | 8 | Michael Rodd | M J Dunn | 58kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Machecoul | 11 | Jace McMurray | M J Dunn | 56kg | |
| Scr | 12 | Yo Lev | 12 | Paul Butterworth | 58kg |
Sarigan was narrowly beaten in this same Eagle Farm 1000m Maiden, showing genuine ability and consistency across three runs including a trial win. Barrier is workable and the form is the most tangible in the field. Represents the most reliable, form-proven runner without needing scenario assistance.
The form in the same race last start was modest but not disgraceful under topweight.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Boonie Boom | 14 | Ben E Thompson | T J Gollan | 58kg | $4.40 |
| 2nd | 10 | Sarigan | 6 | Benjamin Osmond | Chris & Corey Munce | 56kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 4 | Exceed The Sale | 10 | Chelsea Baker | T J Gollan | 55kg | $7.50 |
| 4th | 5 | Iskenderun | 7 | Michael Rodd | K R Kemp | 58kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Crypto Chick | 3 | Leah Martyn | T J Gollan | 55kg | $12.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Iransofar | 9 | Anthony Allen | Desleigh Forster | 58kg | $3.90 |
| 7th | 9 | Parole Denied | 5 | Boris Thornton | Jason Patton | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Mishani Cabello | 11 | Olivia Kendal | Donna Stanbridge | 55kg | $71.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Mishani Brazen | 12 | Danny Peisley | Donna Stanbridge | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Cause She's Worthy | 2 | Courtney Bellamy | D N Raffin | 55kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Kanna Kamui | 9 | L F Birchley | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 12 | Queen Olympias | 8 | Chris Anderson | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Summer Sensation | 13 | Ashley Butler | K M Schweida | 58kg | |
| Scr | 14 | Maria Clara | 15 | Tony & Maddysen Sears | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Metric | 4 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | K M Schweida | 58kg | |
| Scr | 16 | Mishani Rozay | 1 | L J Gough | 58kg |
Diamond Show has been knocking on the door with consecutive close placings in this exact grade/distance/track combination, showing career-best form. Inside barrier and light weight suit the Eagle Farm Good-track bias toward on-pace runners.
Recent placing at today's track/distance is a strong form reference. Place strike rate is solid though win conversion remains a slight concern, making this more of a each-way proposition at good value.
Our Smokeshow is the model of consistency with a 47% placing rate and a recent third at this same track/distance/grade combination. While win conversion is modest, the reliability and current form trend make this a solid each-way threat, particularly given the tactical, tepo-driven nature of this race suits its on-pace customary style.
Swing State is building a strong record with a recent win and multiple placings, showing the trajectory of an improving, lightly-raced type. The step up in class is notable but his tactical speed and forward barrier suit the likely slow pace, giving him a genuine winning chance in this open contest.
Special Artist is dropping into much weaker company after a tough campaign against Group and Listed rivals, and has genuine course-and-distance winning form at Eagle Farm.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Margot's Deel | 7 | Leah Martyn | Jason Edwards | 55kg | $1.55 |
| 2nd | 6 | Diamond Show | 2 | Courtney Bellamy | Chris & Corey Munce | 55kg | $10.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Slipsain | 9 | Jace McMurray | P & W Hulbert | 55kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Vacillation | 4 | Chelsea Baker | Ms M Brosnan | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Special Artist | 1 | Jasper Franklin | K M Schweida | 57.5kg | $8.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Our Smokeshow | 5 | Michael Rodd | Todd Pollard | 58.5kg | $6.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Ready Azz Eva | 3 | Ron Stewart | R L Heathcote | 60kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Harley Charlie | 8 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | T B Thomas | 58.5kg | $151.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Swing State | 6 | Ben E Thompson | Michael Freedman | 58kg |
Cool Drinks presents the most credible form profile in the race - fresh off a narrow-margin placing after a maiden win, drawn to overcome the map with a genuine leader/on-pace group of two.
Cansort has strung together consistent placings, including a solid 3rd at Eagle Farm last start in a similar class. Blinkers added today may bring further improvement.
The Big Blue offers professional, honest form with a strong recent placing in Class 1 grade at Doomben. The barrier is workable, and Ben Thompson's strong current strike rate is a big positive. The last-start effort was underwhelming but can be forgiven given the tougher grade and adverse run.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Cansort | 6 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | C J Waller | 57.5kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 9 | Piertaga | 1 | Ashley Butler | Ryan Tyrell | 54kg | $81.00 |
| 3rd | 1 | Cast Party | 10 | Jace McMurray | S W Kendrick | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 6 | Cool Drinks | 5 | Michael Rodd | J W Healy | 56.5kg | $2.45 |
| 5th | 2 | The Big Blue | 2 | Ben E Thompson | Chris & Corey Munce | 58kg | $3.50 |
| 6th | 8 | Brain Wave | 4 | Leah Martyn | Ms M Brosnan | 51.5kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Seasons Of Mist | 3 | Tiffani Brooker | Ryan Tyrell | 57kg | $151.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Jotopeli | 8 | Leslie Tilley | G A Thornton | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Sistine Chapel | 9 | Chelsea Baker | Ben Ahrens | 51kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 5 | Tesstify Trio | 7 | Benjamin Osmond | Chris & Corey Munce | 55kg |
Love Rebel gets the strongest form endorsement - a last-start win at Eagle Farm over today's exact trip and track condition is the best recency signal in the race. Consistent placings beforehand show a filly coming into peak form, and the proven jockey/trainer combination adds confidence. Fair barrier suits the projected speed map.
Had It All offers the most consistent placing pattern in the race with a strong recent trial and solid recent runs.
Inside barrier suits the Good-track on-pace bias, and recent placings show competitiveness at this level, though the layoff is a slight risk factor.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Love Rebel | 7 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Matthew Hoysted | 56kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 13 | Toobloos | 8 | Chelsea Baker | G A Thornton | 53kg | $2.60 |
| 3rd | 7 | Wild Bean | 18 | Leslie Tilley | P J Wallace | 58kg | $151.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Had It All | 20 | Nozi Tomizawa | J P Wallace | 56kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 11 | Red Samovar | 19 | Corey Sutherland | David Vandyke | 54kg | $6.00 |
| 6th | 12 | Tassorati | 9 | Ben E Thompson | T J Gollan | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 7th | 1 | Enjector | 13 | Tiffani Brooker | Renita Beaton | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 14 | Oliverjohnny | 11 | Ashley Butler | Troy Pascoe | 58kg | $11.00 |
| 9th | 16 | Franklyiresistible | 1 | Jason Edwards | 56kg | $101.00 | |
| 10th | 15 | Al's A Machine | 5 | Jay Bellamy | 58kg | $201.00 | |
| 11th | 5 | Under Arrest | 2 | Boris Thornton | Jack Bruce | 58kg | $7.50 |
| 12th | 18 | Hansaglory | 6 | P & W Hulbert | 58kg | $61.00 | |
| 13th | 4 | Shrewdness | 4 | Jace McMurray | H R Richardson | 56kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 2 | Lottery Link | 12 | Michael Rodd | R L Heathcote | 58kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Moscow Mule | 10 | Nick Heywood | M J Dunn | 58kg | |
| Scr | 6 | Whiskey And Wine | 15 | Cameron Byrne | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 8 | Edge Of Infinity | 17 | C J Waller | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 17 | Mr Betterman | 14 | David & Marcus Scanes | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 19 | Our Sassy Princess | 16 | S Essery | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 20 | Chance De Lune | 3 | Courtney Bellamy | Ms J Aitkenhead | 55kg |
Shako draws perfectly from barrier 1, ideally suited to the on-pace bias evident on Good ground at Eagle Farm.
His proven ability in similar grade races and tactical gate make him a solid contender, but the long spell introduces genuine risk.
Overall good
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7 | Moulin Miss | 7 | Leah Martyn | T J Gollan | 54kg | $1.85 |
| 2nd | 6 | Action King | 5 | Damon Budler | Rob Potter | 57.5kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 2 | Heartoni | 4 | Benjamin Osmond | S W Kendrick | 59.5kg | $15.00 |
| 4th | 5 | Shako | 1 | Courtney Bellamy | Jack Bruce | 55.5kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Invahir | 3 | Jasper Franklin | Pat W Webster | 59kg | $9.00 |
| 6th | 9 | Mishani Ego | 6 | Olivia Kendal | Donna Stanbridge | 53.5kg | $15.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Ralphie | 8 | Michael Rodd | Gary Doughty | 57kg | $8.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Holy Racket | 2 | Jace McMurray | Kristie Clark-Peoples | 61.5kg | |
| Scr | 4 | Krakarib | 9 | Corey Sutherland | Adam Campton | 58kg | |
| Scr | 10 | Super Daisy | 10 | Tiffani Brooker | T N Miller | 55.5kg |
Fair gate and current fitness tick every box for the Good-track winner profile.
Placing record is consistent, but the horse needs to convert placings into a win against similar or easier company. A watching brief each-way play given the class and pace profile.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 11 | Rosso Levanto | 3 | Corey Sutherland | David Vandyke | 54.5kg | $13.00 |
| 2nd | 3 | Dust Cloud | 5 | Ben E Thompson | T J Gollan | 58.5kg | $2.30 |
| 3rd | 4 | Devine Squire | 4 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Desleigh Forster | 57kg | $13.00 |
| 4th | 12 | Iced Chocolate | 7 | Ashley Butler | David Vandyke | 56kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 8 | Empress Aspen | 1 | Nozi Tomizawa | Corey & Kylie Geran | 56.5kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 5 | Love To Torque | 10 | Ron Stewart | S W Kendrick | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 14 | Brutal Lass | 2 | Chris & Corey Munce | 54kg | $9.00 | |
| 8th | 2 | Crypto Magic | 12 | Ross O'Sullivan | B W Brown | 58.5kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 1 | Teelg | 8 | Boris Thornton | Matthew Hoysted | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 10th | 6 | Transgress | 11 | Jace McMurray | Michael Freedman | 55kg | $5.00 |
| 11th | 15 | High Voltage | 6 | R L Heathcote | 54kg | $201.00 | |
| Scr | 7 | Atlantic Coast | 9 | Adin Thompson | G Heinrich & B Rodgers | 56.5kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Homeric | 14 | Benjamin Osmond | Chris & Corey Munce | 54.5kg | |
| Scr | 10 | La Profecia | 15 | T J Gollan | 56.5kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | In Society | 13 | B J Dais | 55kg |
Meldubious presents the most reliable form profile - lightly raced, consistently placing, with a track win at Eagle Farm and a winning record here. Second-up and drawn to settle handy from barrier 2, he fits the Good-track profile perfectly: prominent gate, in-form, fresh, distance-proven.
Gollan's stable is in career-best form and the Martyn/Gollan combination is outstanding (30% strike).
Shelstein is first-up from a 139-day spell but boasts an excellent first-up record (2 wins from 3) and strong recent placing form in stronger midweek grades. A capable on-pace type who can control a genuine tempo from barrier 7.
Nepravda offers rock-solid place credentials with a 47% career placing rate and a recent win in this exact grade at Doomben. Racing fit off a quick back-up, she has the class and versatility to feature again.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Fragile Love | 8 | Leah Martyn | T J Gollan | 56.5kg | $5.00 |
| 2nd | 9 | Berezka | 6 | Ben E Thompson | C Maher | 57.5kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 12 | She Ours | 4 | Courtney Bellamy | L J Mayfield-Smith | 52.5kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Hopper | 12 | Ron Stewart | S W Kendrick | 60kg | $17.00 |
| 5th | 11 | Meldubious | 2 | Jag Guthmann-Chester | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57.5kg | $4.40 |
| 6th | 6 | Shelstein | 7 | Jasper Franklin | Annabel & Rob Archibald | 57.5kg | $4.60 |
| 7th | 3 | Mount Fuji | 5 | Corey Sutherland | G Heinrich & B Rodgers | 58.5kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Desiah | 9 | Olivia Kendal | T B Thomas | 54.5kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 7 | Nepravda | 11 | Michael Rodd | R L Heathcote | 58kg | $14.00 |
| 10th | 2 | Metaphorically | 10 | Benjamin Osmond | Tom Charlton | 59.5kg | $10.00 |
| 11th | 1 | Gorbachev | 3 | Jace McMurray | Michael Freedman | 60.5kg | $14.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Sistine Explorer | 10 | Adam Campton | 58kg | ||
| Scr | 13 | Becamo | 1 | S A Dwyer | 57kg |
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