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New South Wales · Wednesday 15 July 2026

Grafton tips and results

Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Grafton. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Good 4Rail TrueFineGrafton track guide ›
Top pick won2/825%
Any tip won4/850%
Top pick placed4/850%
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R1

Crown Hotel Motel Country Boosted Showcase Mdn Plate

12:29 local1000mMaiden$40,000
Winner1. FarnishedSP $4.40
★ Top pick5th
2Funky Cold Medina

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.00 · Yvette Lewis

Funky Cold Medina is the most reliable form runner with an ideal draw for Grafton's on-speed bias. He has placed in two of his last three starts, including a narrow second at Inverell. The step up to a deeper field is a concern, but his consistent pattern and ability to hold a forward position make him the top win chance at each-way value.

2nd pickWon
1Farnished

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.40 · Ben Looker

Farnished is the class runner but faces a monumental barrier draw. His Warwick Farm run behind subsequent winners reads well, and he possesses the raw speed to cross from wide. However, Grafton's front-three bias makes barrier 17 a serious hurdle. He must lead or sit close to win, which is a big ask first-up.

3rd pick7th
6Birdy Girl

Our price $10.00 · SP $14.00 · Stephen Cummins

Birdy Girl has been a consistent placegetter and draws perfectly to take up a forward position. She trialled well recently and should be fit enough. Her first-up statistics are a worry, but the barrier and running style align with Grafton's bias.

Value pick10th
4Kobi Express

Our price $12.00 · SP $17.00 · Grace Palmer

He will get every chance from barrier 3 and is second-up, historically his best preparation. The heavy-track form is irrelevant today. If he can replicate that earlier speed, he can lead or sit just off the pace and prove too classy for this field. Strong each-way value.

  1. 1st1FarnishedBen Looker$4.40
  2. 2nd12Prestige HeadwaterDylan Turner$19.00
  3. 3rd10LegenderryAndrew Adkins$3.90
  4. 4th9BullemorGrady Spokes$8.50
Full result · 14 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st1Farnished17Ben LookerAiden St Vincent59kg$4.40
2nd12Prestige Headwater2Dylan TurnerStephen & Jordan Lee56.5kg$19.00
3rd10Legenderry1Andrew AdkinsM J Dunn56.5kg$3.90
4th9Bullemor13Grady SpokesB J Dodson54.5kg$8.50
5th2Funky Cold Medina5Yvette LewisG N Nielsen59kg$5.00
6th16Hey Bluey6Bailey WheelerN J Osborne57kg$81.00
7th6Birdy Girl4Stephen CumminsG Prosser57kg$14.00
8th3In Bocca Al Lupe16Raymond SpokesD L Matts59kg$41.00
9th5Prestige Prince10Jean Van OvermeireWarren Ganderton59kg$21.00
10th4Kobi Express3Grace PalmerSamantha McGuren56kg$17.00
11th15Sweet September7Aaron BullockM J Dunn57kg$21.00
12th8Lunar Glory12Kirk MathesonG J Howells57kg$101.00
13th17Sailors Rock11R J Agnew59kg$12.00
14th7Luck Of Grace8Archie Mc ColmStephen & Jordan Lee55kg$201.00
Scr11Machecoul9Jake BaylissM J Dunn56.5kg
Scr13Magic All Around14Sally Taylor55kg
Scr14Prestige Austria15Stephen & Jordan Lee55kg
R2

Clocktower Hotel Inglis Bonus Super Showcase Mdn Plate

13:04 local1700mMaiden$50,000
Winner9. Aurora EffectSP $4.60
★ Top pick2nd
1Audaciously Frank

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.35 · L P Beuzelin

He ran a sharp 2nd at 1600m last start and steps to 1700m with a favourable inside gate. The Grafton track favours on-pace runners, and from barrier 1 he can settle handy. Stable and jockey are in good form.

2nd pick6th
4Firey Truth

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Aaron Bullock

Firey Truth possesses the best early speed in the race and should be able to hold a forward position, which is crucial at Grafton. Aaron Bullock's outstanding recent form is a big plus. The step to 1700m looks within range given his run over 1650m.

3rd pick12th
10Bassett's Choice

Our price $10.00 · SP $21.00 · Kyle Wilson-Taylor

Bassett's Choice comes off an excellent 2nd over 1650m and has shown she can handle Grafton. The step back to 1700m looks ideal. While winless, she has been knocking on the door. A solid place chance with minor winning hope.

Value pick8th
12Grey Belief

Our price $15.00 · SP $18.00 · Alysha Collett

The track/distance specialist is well worth an each-way ticket in an open maiden.

  1. 1st9Aurora EffectBen Looker$4.60
  2. 2nd1Audaciously FrankL P Beuzelin$2.35
  3. 3rd7No Woman No CryOlivia Dalton$61.00
  4. 4th8Steady OnKarl Zechner$26.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st9Aurora Effect4Ben LookerStirling Osland57kg$4.60
2nd1Audaciously Frank1L P BeuzelinG Waterhouse & A Bott59kg$2.35
3rd7No Woman No Cry12Olivia DaltonT A Commerford57kg$61.00
4th8Steady On13Karl ZechnerJimmy Downes59kg$26.00
5th11Edge Of Infinity8Andrew AdkinsC J Waller57kg$4.80
6th4Firey Truth10Aaron BullockK A Lees59kg$7.00
7th5In And Away3Madeline OwenA P Ball59kg$101.00
8th12Grey Belief9Alysha CollettT P Croft57kg$18.00
9th2Coccinella14Mark Du PlessisAllan Chau59kg$51.00
10th14Pressipitating6Jake BaylissSamantha McGuren57kg$151.00
11th13Kiwi Harmony5Robbie DolanR N Godbolt57kg$41.00
12th10Bassett's Choice11Kyle Wilson-TaylorC J Waller57kg$21.00
Scr3Divil A Bit2Kirk MathesonRuby Chatterton59kg
Scr6Indigo Star7Nash RawillerC J Waller59kg
R3

Barastoc Wards Mistake Rural Showcase Plate (C6)

13:39 local2200mClass 6$30,000
Winner2. BarazinSP $4.20
★ Top pick2nd
7Firm Agreement

Our price $1.75 · SP $1.60 · Alysha Collett

Firm Agreement is dropping sharply in grade after a dominant last-start win in Class 1 company at Ipswich, following recent runs in Listed and Group 3 races. The clear class superior in this field, drawn to get a forward position which suits the expected slow, leader-biased tempo at Grafton.

2nd pick3rd
4Rock The Machine

Our price $8.50 · SP $21.00 · Kyle Wilson-Taylor

Rock The Machine is the deserving leader in the race, with course-and-distance form at Grafton including a recent win here. As the lone genuine leader in a projected slow-tempo race, this horse is set up perfectly to exploit Grafton's dominant front-three-at-400m bias. Strong current form line (1-1-6-2-3-1) shows he is racing well and fit off a quick back-up.

3rd pick4th
9Vermeer

Our price $12.00 · SP $41.00 · Harrison Shaw

Vermeer boasts strong Grafton course-and-distance credentials with a win here at this exact trip and multiple placings.

Value pick6th
12Winning Point

Our price $7.00 · SP $11.00 · Jean Van Overmeire

  1. 1st2BarazinAaron Bullock$4.20
  2. 2nd7Firm AgreementAlysha Collett$1.60
  3. 3rd4Rock The MachineKyle Wilson-Taylor$21.00
  4. 4th9VermeerHarrison Shaw$41.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st2Barazin10Aaron BullockK A Lees59kg$4.20
2nd7Firm Agreement4Alysha CollettAnnabel & Rob Archibald56kg$1.60
3rd4Rock The Machine7Kyle Wilson-TaylorCathy Chapman57.5kg$21.00
4th9Vermeer9Harrison ShawStephen & Jordan Lee56kg$41.00
5th5Brilliant Knight12Ben LookerCassandra Schmidt56kg$12.00
6th12Winning Point6Jean Van OvermeirePaul Murray55kg$11.00
7th8Thundering Falcon3Cassey WilliamsR J Knight54kg$101.00
8th6Final Chapter11Leanne BoydCassandra Schmidt54kg$101.00
9th1Brave Boy5Bailey WheelerChristos Zintilis60.5kg$101.00
Scr3Claim The Crown1Molly BourkeJ G Sargent57.5kg
Scr10Bonfidelity2P J Cunningham55.5kg
Scr11Mistressofillusion8Dylan TurnerStephen & Jordan Lee55kg
R4

Fidelity Capital Showcase Hcp (C2)

14:14 local1100mClass 2$30,000
Winner5. Tides TurningSP $14.00
★ Top pickWon
5Tides Turning

Our price $5.50 · SP $14.00 · Alysha Collett

If the early pressure bites, her turn-of-foot from the pocket should be decisive.

2nd pick10th
3Alleze

Our price $5.80 · SP $6.50 · Andrew Adkins

The expected fast tempo should allow him to blend across and stalk rather than duel. If he lands near the front three by the 400m, he’s a major winning chance.

3rd pick2nd
1Storm Merchant

Our price $3.20 · SP $1.95 · Nash Rawiller

However, the projected very fast tempo is a query given his preference for softer ground and his role near the lead. Still has the class and Nash to stick on and fill a placing if the pressure isn’t brutal.

Value pick5th
11Got The Smarts

Our price $13.00 · SP $21.00 · Jake Bayliss

Maps to settle behind the leaders from barrier 3 and gets the right race shape to run on.

  1. 1st5Tides TurningAlysha Collett$14.00
  2. 2nd1Storm MerchantNash Rawiller$1.95
  3. 3rd4Immortal StormAaron Bullock$5.50
  4. 4th8Deep StealthDylan Turner$14.00
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Tides Turning1Alysha CollettT P Croft57kg$14.00
2nd1Storm Merchant5Nash RawillerM J Dunn59.5kg$1.95
3rd4Immortal Storm12Aaron BullockScott Henley57kg$5.50
4th8Deep Stealth9Dylan TurnerM J Dunn55.5kg$14.00
5th11Got The Smarts3Jake BaylissSamantha McGuren55kg$21.00
6th13Zoucat7Archie Mc ColmN J Osborne53kg$91.00
7th7The Rookie16Yvette LewisG N Nielsen56kg$41.00
8th2Youwroteuponit13Ben LookerCassandra Schmidt58kg$15.00
9th15Fred's Memory15C J O'Reilly55kg$151.00
10th3Alleze10Andrew AdkinsM J Dunn57kg$6.50
11th16Secret Statement11Amy Usher55kg$201.00
12th9Love 'n' Rockets8Robbie DolanAiden St Vincent55kg$41.00
13th6Kid Billy6Stephen CumminsMs L Thomson56kg$81.00
Scr10Gold Puma2Jean Van OvermeireEthan Ensby55kg
Scr12Vendemmia14Ethan Ensby55kg
Scr14Rainbow Lass4Ethan Ensby55kg
R5

Winning Edge Presentations Showcase Hcp (C2)

14:49 local1600mClass 2$30,000
Winner6. Jason DarrenSP $5.00
★ Top pick6th
10Ichika

Our price $4.20 · SP $7.00 · Andrew Adkins

Suited by a predicted fast tempo from a soft inside draw, Ichika can park just behind the speed and use her Good-track profile to finish off.

2nd pickWon
6Jason Darren

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.00 · Jean Van Overmeire

A reliable on-speed gelding who consistently gives himself a chance and brings a recent 1600m second. The Grafton bias toward being in the front three at the 400m suits. He lacks killer punch (just one win), and a class rise plus a likely fast tempo are negatives, but he remains a strong podium prospect.

3rd pick2nd
4Captain Eagle

Our price $7.50 · SP $6.00 · Bailey Wheeler

He brings solid class references and a good-track profile, and his on-pace style is typically rewarded at Grafton. The major query is the wide gate into a fast tempo; he needs early luck to cross and conserve. If he lands in the first three by the 400m, he’s right in the finish. More of a place/knockout win chance.

Value pick4th
8Launcher

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Karl Zechner

Sneaky improver back to a strongly-run 1600m with a recent sharp last 600m. He’s a prior Grafton winner on Good and carries a light weight. Worth an each-way ticket as a clear overlay.

  1. 1st6Jason DarrenJean Van Overmeire$5.00
  2. 2nd4Captain EagleBailey Wheeler$6.00
  3. 3rd5VixenetteAaron Bullock$2.25
  4. 4th8LauncherKarl Zechner$12.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Jason Darren10Jean Van OvermeireJohn Bannister56.5kg$5.00
2nd4Captain Eagle16Bailey WheelerChristos Zintilis58.5kg$6.00
3rd5Vixenette5Aaron BullockM J Dunn57kg$2.25
4th8Launcher9Karl ZechnerAllan Chau55.5kg$12.00
5th15Tara Koda7Kyle Wilson-TaylorJ D Shelton55kg$26.00
6th10Ichika2Andrew AdkinsMs S Grills55kg$7.00
7th16Whatsthetimemrwolf4D L Matts55kg$101.00
8th12Mahuika Maroi8Dylan TurnerEthan Ensby55kg$31.00
9th17Reel Torque3Daniel Wheeler55kg$81.00
10th9Ayasaki15Ethan Ensby55kg$51.00
11th14Secret Keeper13Ben LookerAiden St Vincent55kg$15.00
Scr1Our Smokeshow11Todd Pollard62.5kg
Scr2Dollars6Nash RawillerJ C Deamer61kg
Scr3Carnegie Hill12Alysha CollettMichael Freedman60kg
Scr7Gavin14Stephen & Jordan Lee55.5kg
Scr11Kahraba1Denim Wynen55kg
Scr13Ourlegseleven11Ms S Pepper55kg
Scr18Fred's Memory17C J O'Reilly55kg
R6

Tursa Grafton Guineas Qlty

15:24 local1600mOpen$80,000
Winner3. RustemoSP $1.75
★ Top pickWon
3Rustemo

Our price $2.80 · SP $1.75 · Aaron Bullock

Rustemo arrives in career-best form with a win last start and minor placings against much stronger Group 3 company. His settling pattern suits Grafton's front-three bias, and Bullock is in outstanding recent form. Class rise is more moderate than it appears given recent form versus Group company. Best credentialed runner on recent evidence.

2nd pick7th
2Blitzburg

Our price $7.50 · SP $26.00 · Karl Zechner

Placings have been frequent but wins are due.

3rd pick4th
9Swag

Our price $9.00 · SP $8.00 · Andrew Adkins

Swag arrives fresh off a course win at Grafton just over a week ago, showing genuine fitness and course suitability.

Value pickScratched
6Glastonbury Girl

Our price $7.00 · Alysha Collett

Glastonbury Girl offers value with an outstanding underlying strike rate (3 wins, 4 places from just 8 starts) and a solid recent win.

  1. 1st3RustemoAaron Bullock$1.75
  2. 2nd1HillierRobbie Dolan$3.90
  3. 3rd7Swing StateTaylor Marshall$12.00
  4. 4th9SwagAndrew Adkins$8.00
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st3Rustemo8Aaron BullockK A Lees56.5kg$1.75
2nd1Hillier5Robbie DolanAnnabel & Rob Archibald62kg$3.90
3rd7Swing State9Taylor MarshallMichael Freedman54kg$12.00
4th9Swag12Andrew AdkinsMichael Freedman54kg$8.00
5th8Giapponese13Dylan TurnerStephen & Jordan Lee54kg$10.00
6th12Permission Denied1Jean Van OvermeireWayne S Lawson54kg$91.00
7th2Blitzburg3Karl ZechnerAllan Chau58.5kg$26.00
8th14Not So Dubious7Ben LookerWayne S Lawson54kg$101.00
9th13King Country4Kacie AdamsDarren Treacy54kg$101.00
Scr4Champagne Hero14L P BeuzelinG Waterhouse & A Bott54kg
Scr5Dusty Bay2T J Bartley54kg
Scr6Glastonbury Girl11Alysha CollettMatthew Smith54kg
Scr10Venom Rush6Mark Du PlessisMichael Morrison54kg
Scr11Clive's Glory10Craig NewittBilly Healey54kg
R7

Grafton District Services Club Ramornie Hcp

15:59 local1200mListedOpen$200,000
Winner6. Band Of BrothersSP $5.00
★ Top pick13th
16My Mum's Toyboy

Our price $5.50 · SP $14.00 · Kyle Wilson-Taylor

A track and course specialist with rare dominance at Grafton (7 wins from 10 starts), carrying career-best form into this Listed test. The class rise is the major query, but the on-speed profile suits the track perfectly and recent trajectory is outstanding. Wide barrier is a slight concern but he has speed to overcome it.

2nd pick2nd
4Pereille

Our price $4.50 · SP $9.00 · Robbie Dolan

The most battle-tested runner in the field at this class level, with a strong recent record of placing in Listed and Group company. Good barrier draw suits the forward-pace bias at Grafton. Reliability is the strength here even if genuine winning form has been elusive recently.

3rd pick3rd
3Givemethebeatboys

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.00 · Nash Rawiller

A genuine, well-performed type who has raced consistently around this level with a recent win in Open grade.

Value pick8th
2Brudenell

Our price $11.00 · SP $13.00 · Aaron Bullock

Good inside barrier today suits the forward bias, and Bullock is in career-best touch.

  1. 1st6Band Of BrothersDylan Turner$5.00
  2. 2nd4PereilleRobbie Dolan$9.00
  3. 3rd3GivemethebeatboysNash Rawiller$6.00
  4. 4th5Fire StarAndrew Adkins$11.00
Full result · 15 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Band Of Brothers6Dylan TurnerM J Dunn54kg$5.00
2nd4Pereille4Robbie DolanT J Gollan55.5kg$9.00
3rd3Givemethebeatboys3Nash RawillerMichael Freedman57.5kg$6.00
4th5Fire Star5Andrew AdkinsPeter Snowden54.5kg$11.00
5th12Ready To Schipp12Molly BourkeA J Edmonds54kg$20.00
6th7Cosmic Fire7Craig NewittBilly Healey54kg$12.00
7th9Manolo Bling9Taylor MarshallK M Schweida54kg$18.00
8th2Brudenell2Aaron BullockK A Lees57.5kg$13.00
9th11Boom Torque11Jake BaylissM J Dunn54kg$151.00
10th13Lisztomania13Ben LookerT G Payne54kg$12.00
11th14World Alliance14Alysha CollettMatthew Smith54kg$13.00
12th19Petite Palace18Mark Du PlessisMichael Morrison54kg$201.00
13th16My Mum's Toyboy16Kyle Wilson-TaylorB J Dodson54kg$14.00
14th8Kitty Flash8Tahlia FenlonChris & Corey Munce54kg$91.00
15th1Stoltz1Stephen & Jordan Lee59kg$51.00
Scr10Harry's Bar10Jean Van OvermeirePaul Murray54kg
Scr15Iron Man15Stirling Osland54kg
Scr17Ticklebelly17Scott Collings54kg
Scr18Tectonic Plate17Kirk MathesonDaniel Bowen54kg
Scr20Maximum Vortex19Ethan Ensby54kg
Scr21Flying Shelly20Sally Taylor54kg
R8

Rabbit Ride Share Country Boosted (Bm58)

16:34 local1400mBenchmark 58$35,000
Winner10. Critical TimeSP $6.00
★ Top pick5th
3Autumn Miss

Our price $3.80 · SP $2.45 · Nash Rawiller

Autumn Miss arrives in career-best form having just saluted at Casino in the same grade, with a series of competitive runs beforehand. Barrier 5 allows a forward position which suits Grafton's strong leader bias.

2nd pick8th
11Vetoed

Our price $5.50 · SP $17.00 · Madeline Owen

Vetoed profiles as the only genuine leader in this field per the speed map, an enormous structural advantage at a track where front-three-at-400m dominates outcomes. She won last start leading throughout and has been building consistent form. The wide barrier is a real concern, but if she can cross and control the race, the leader bias makes her extremely hard to run down.

3rd pick6th
8Picupstixx

Our price $10.00 · SP $6.00 · Dylan Turner

Picupstixx boasts a strong Grafton-specific record and comes off a win at this track last start. Barrier 1 sets up an ideal forward position to exploit the track's dominant leader bias.

Value pick4th
4Barcelona Express

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.00 · Archie Mc Colm

Barcelona Express is a model of consistency in BM58 grade, placing in the vast majority of recent starts without always crossing the line first. While the wide gate is a query at this leader-biased track, his sound recent form make him definite each-way value against a field with question marks throughout.

  1. 1st10Critical TimeAaron Bullock$6.00
  2. 2nd12SawmillJean Van Overmeire$18.00
  3. 3rd15AureateYvette Lewis$10.00
  4. 4th4Barcelona ExpressArchie Mc Colm$8.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Critical Time8Aaron BullockScott Henley58.5kg$6.00
2nd12Sawmill3Jean Van OvermeireWarren Ganderton57.5kg$18.00
3rd15Aureate2Yvette LewisG N Nielsen58kg$10.00
4th4Barcelona Express11Archie Mc ColmD L Matts58.5kg$8.00
5th3Autumn Miss5Nash RawillerM J Dunn61kg$2.45
6th8Picupstixx1Dylan TurnerWayne S Lawson59kg$6.00
7th14Look At Mego7Mark Du PlessisR Simonetta56.5kg$91.00
8th11Vetoed16Madeline OwenD W Dwane58kg$17.00
9th6Montgomery15Noriyuki MasudaJason Reilly59.5kg$71.00
10th5Highly Tempted10Grady SpokesA P Ball58.5kg$16.00
11th17Risk For Reward17Stephen & Jordan Lee57kg$26.00
Scr1Bjorn Ironside4Olivia DaltonColt Prosser62kg
Scr2Gandolfini12Leanne BoydCassandra Schmidt61.5kg
Scr7Herald Angel19M J Dunn59kg
Scr9Spirits Burn Deep13N J Osborne59kg
Scr13Hotzino20Jason Reilly57kg
Scr16Icewater9Daniel Bowen57.5kg
Scr18Mariko6A P Ball57kg
Scr19Gaming18S J Bennett56.5kg
Scr20Bianco Nero14G Prosser55kg

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