Happy Valley tips and results

Our price $6.00 · SP $18.00 · Luke Ferraris

Setanta is a reliable performer at Happy Valley 1650m in Class 5, coming off two strong efforts (2nd and 4th). The wide barrier 12 is a concern, but he has overcome wide draws before. While winless on soft, he handled similar conditions without issue. He should be in the finish but may find one or two too good.

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.50 · Hugh Bowman

Kasa Papa has the benefit of barrier 1 and reliable soft track form. While he hasn't won for a while, he has been competitive in Class 5, finishing 4th and 5th recently. The 49-day break is a slight worry, but Hugh Bowman is a positive. He maps to get a cosy run and can feature in the placings.

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.10 · Keith Yeung

Perfecto Moments has been knocking on the door with four consecutive top-4 finishes in Class 5, including a near-miss 2nd. He is yet to win but is trending in the right direction. The wide barrier is a challenge, but he gets in light and should be running on late.

Our price $11.00 · SP $8.80 · Hugh Bowman

Find My Love has a strong soft-track record and won at this course and distance two starts ago. He is well weighted for the win but top weight of 61kg is a concern after a poor last run.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.70 · Luke Ferraris

He should handle the step back up to 1200m and gets a good jockey in Ferraris.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.50 · James Orman

Firefoot makes strong appeal as the leading chance. He is a soft-track specialist with three starts producing one win and two seconds on the surface. His recent form is rock-solid — 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 2nd — and he has placed at Happy Valley over 1800m twice. From barrier 8 with 56kg, he maps to sit just off the speed in a race lacking genuine leaders. The slow pace suits his finishing kick. He ticks every box for this race.

Our price $11.00 · SP $18.00 · Andrea Atzeni

Storm Runner has the best course-and-distance credentials in the race with a win and two placings from four Happy Valley 1800m starts. He won in Class 4 at this track in February. However, his last two runs have been disappointing, and he is drawn wide. His place strike rate at this track commands respect.

Our price $10.00 · SP $32.00 · Vincent Ho

He won on a Soft 7 track over 1800m at Sha Tin two starts back, showing genuine wet-track ability. His record at the distance is solid with 4 placings from 10 starts. The main concern is the wide draw at Happy Valley, but with a slow tempo expected he can settle in midfield and use his stamina. Vincent Ho is in outstanding recent form.

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.90 · Brenton Avdulla

Take Action is the most reliable horse in the race with outstanding course-and-distance form. He has been racing consistently, winning two starts ago and placing in his other recent runs. The slow tempo suits his on-pace style, and while he hasn't raced on soft, the Happy Valley surface should play similarly to good.

Our price $5.00 · SP $2.50 · Zac Purton

The booking of Zac Purton suggests the stable is confident. However, the lack of course and distance experience on the tricky Happy Valley layout is a significant query, and barrier 10 may force him back.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.70 · Luke Ferraris

Cloud Nine has found the board in her last two starts at Happy Valley over 1200m, both seconds. She is a progressive filly with scope for improvement. Barrier 11 is a concern, but she has shown she can overcome wide draws. If she handles the soft ground similarly to good, she should be competitive again.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Alexis Badel

Beauty Thunder is an each-way value play. He has a soft track win on his record and has been consistently placed around Happy Valley. His last start 2nd at Sha Tin showed he's in good nick. The wide barrier is a negative, but he has the early speed to cross or sit handy.

Our price $6.00 · SP $16.00 · Lyle Hewitson

Healthy Healthy boasts the strongest Happy Valley credentials in the field, with 4 wins and multiple placings from 32 starts. He won convincingly last time at Sha Tin on a dead surface, suggesting soft ground is no issue. Despite carrying 61kg, he is proven at this weight and should settle handy from barrier 7.

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.00 · Matthew Poon

He was narrowly beaten last start here and should be in the leading pack from barrier 8. The slow tempo suits his style, but jockey Poon's poor recent form and lack of soft-track wins are minor concerns.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Vincent Ho

However, his recent form is poor with a 10th and 5th, and he's unproven on soft ground.

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.00 · Joao Moreira

Somelovefromabove returns from a 63-day spell with the best possible ingredients: inside gate, elite jockey, and strong Happy Valley stats. While his first-up record is a concern and he's unproven at 1650m on soft ground, the class edge and favourable map position make him the most likely winner in a race lacking depth.

Our price $10.00 · SP $21.00 · Britney Wong

He boasts outstanding soft track credentials with a win and a place on rain-affected ground in Australia. The 3kg apprentice claim brings his weight down to 53kg, a major plus on a Soft 7. While his recent HK form is uninspiring and he faces a course/distance double unknown, the conditions tonight strongly favour his profile.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.10 · Joao Moreira

Bottomuptogether has a superb Happy Valley profile with two wins and a third from three starts. He was placed over track and trip in May and now drops from Class 1. Moreira is a significant booking and the horse should be in the finish. The lack of soft track form is a minor query but overall very competitive.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.30 · Hugh Bowman

Young Champion is on the upgrade with a solid third last start. He has shown ability on rain-affected ground, having won on heavy and placed on soft. Barrier 4 should allow him to settle just off the pace. Bowman's recent cold streak is a caution, but the horse has the class to feature.

Our price $12.00 · SP $23.00 · Britney Wong

Son Pak Fu is a Happy Valley specialist with eight wins at the track. He comes off a confident Class 3 victory over this course and distance, carrying only 50.5kg today. The wide draw is a concern but he has overcome similar before.

Our price $6.00 · SP $14.00 · Angus Chung

Flying Wrote is a Happy Valley specialist with a strong record at this track and distance. He has been in excellent form, winning two starts back in May and placing second last time out at the same class. Although he carries top weight and has a slightly wide draw, his proven class and consistency make him the most likely winner. The jockey change is a concern but the horse's ability and affinity for the track outweigh that negative.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.70 · Luke Ferraris

Young Emperor ran a solid third last time at this track and distance, beaten just half a length. He draws well again in barrier 5 and retains Luke Ferraris who knows the horse well. While he carries top weight, he has shown he can be competitive in Class 3. The main question is the soft track, as his only run on soft resulted in a fifth. However, he has placed on heavy ground, suggesting he handles give in the surface.

Our price $10.00 · SP $13.00 · Karis Teetan

King Of Fighters has a fantastic place record at this track and distance without yet breaking through for a win. He comes off an impressive win last time at Class 4 level and gets the in-form Karis Teetan back in the saddle. The wide draw is a concern but he has shown he can race handy and has the speed to cross.