Punt like a Pro, without the know!
Western Australia · Saturday 22 August 2026
Our top pick won 4 of 8 races at Belmont Park. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
She has placed in Open company at Ascot, won a Rst 0 Met Win-LY and run second in another, which is form clearly above anything else engaged here. Her Good-track record reads 5:1-2-2 from five starts and she has won fresh before. The reservations are real - 139 days off, an unproven 1000m trip and gate eight - but the class differential and Pike's booking outweigh them.
The most reliable runner in the field and the one with the strongest recent line at this exact class - beaten a whisker at Belmont on Good 4 on 29 July. His distance and track-and-distance numbers are excellent for placings, with three placings from three attempts at Belmont over 1000m. The obvious flaw is a solitary career win from nine starts against a 67% place rate. That profile screams the frame rather than the winner's stall, so the recommendation is structured accordingly.
The best value profile in the top three. His one attempt at this grade ended in an eighth, but that came on a Soft 7 from the outside gate.
The recent form line reads poorly - seventh in this exact grade three weeks ago and sixth on a Heavy 8 - but the first-time blinkers are a genuine attempt to sharpen him, and barrier four gives him the positive map Belmont rewards on Good ground.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Kings Honour | 4 | Holly Nottle | Mitchell Pateman | 58.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Sunset Session | 6 | Clint Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 56.5kg | $3.90 |
| 3rd | 8 | Frappuccino | 1 | Jason Whiting | L P Luciani | 55.5kg | $26.00 |
| 4th | 2 | Sesh | 7 | Steven Parnham | Rhys Radford | 57.5kg | $13.00 |
| 5th | 6 | So Si God | 8 | William Pike | S & J Casey | 56kg | $2.90 |
| 6th | 7 | Spanish Armada | 3 | Brad Parnham | J P Taylor | 56kg | $4.20 |
| 7th | 4 | En Plein Air | 5 | Lucy F Fiore | Brandon Fiore | 56kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 5 | Show On The Road | 2 | Victoria Corver | Ryan Hill | 56kg | $14.00 |
She is second up off a genuine first-up win 13 days ago, drawn to sit handy from barrier 3, and Cooper knows her intimately. The weight rise and fast tempo temper enthusiasm, but the class and course evidence still make her the most likely winner.
The most reliable runner in the race and beautifully mapped. The Heavy 8 defeat by Niccimota can be forgiven given she is 1: 0-1-0 on heavy, and she meets that rival 1kg better today. Pike from barrier 5 should have her travelling in the first six at the 400m. Win conversion is the only genuine reservation.
A progressive mare who beat this exact grade over course and distance three weeks ago and boasts a 67% place rate from nine starts. Solid place claims.
Fiore is in outstanding form and the barrier gives her the handy position the track rewards.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Dawn Dancer | 1 | Victoria Corver | Ryan Hill | 55kg | $4.80 |
| 2nd | 6 | Eternal Wine | 5 | William Pike | M L Lane | 57kg | $3.20 |
| 3rd | 1 | Niccimota | 3 | Chanel Cooper | J P Taylor | 58kg | $2.90 |
| 4th | 2 | Cannykev | 2 | Natika Riordan | S & J Casey | 56kg | $9.00 |
| 5th | 5 | Under Influence | 8 | Clint Johnston-Porter | D & B Pearce | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 4 | Pingers | 4 | Lucy F Fiore | Misty Bazeley | 58.5kg | $21.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Excess Baggage | 6 | Holly Watson | Luke Fernie | 58.5kg | $8.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Go Go Grommet | 7 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 57kg | $51.00 |
Pike's 21% Belmont record and a midfield map inside the first six at the 400m fit the track profile. The 59.5kg is the query, not the ability.
The most in-form runner in the race on trajectory. Barrier 1 and a slow projected tempo let him hold a forward, economical spot and be inside the first six at the 400m, exactly the Belmont Good-track winning profile. Lucy Fiore is riding at 40% over her last 20. The unknowns are the trip and the metro rise.
The most literal form reference in the race: he won over this course and distance in this grade a fortnight ago and has a track-and-distance record of two starts for a win and a placing. But barrier 2 is a real improvement on the wide gates he has been overcoming, and a slow tempo lets a stayer of his type creep closer than the map suggests. Solid each-way.
The pace map is the case. With no genuine leader engaged, she is the sole runner projected to lead, and a slow tempo at 2200m in front is the single most valuable commodity in this race at Belmont. Clear each-way overlay.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | With Discretion | 8 | William Pike | Michael Grantham | 59.5kg | $2.15 |
| 2nd | 5 | Sisu Spirit | 1 | Lucy F Fiore | Brandon Fiore | 57.5kg | $9.00 |
| 3rd | 8 | Warralea Lass | 7 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 55kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Rommeo | 2 | Shaun O'Donnell | C R Green | 59kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Sweet Surrender | 6 | Holly Nottle | Michael Grantham | 55kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 3 | Chollima | 3 | Paul Harvey | D T McAuliffe | 59kg | $8.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Admired | 5 | Jason Whiting | G A Crispin | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Be Bardot | 4 | Clint Johnston-Porter | G & A Williams | 60kg | $14.00 |
The genuine class runner of the race. Heaven Specified has been competitive in Open grade at Belmont this preparation, running 3rd over 1200m and 4th over 1400m against better than these, before dropping back and winning at his last start on Soft 7. Barrier one on a slow-tempo mile at Belmont is ideal given the track's clear positional bias to runners inside the first six at the 400m. The mile is unproven, but he is by Playing God, has been strong late at 1400m, and gets weight relief relative to his Open form.
She is well drawn in three, carries a featherweight 54.5kg and maps to travel in the first half of the field, which is precisely the Belmont Good-track winning profile.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2 | Cinque Stelle | 4 | William Pike | Steele Casey | 58.5kg | $1.55 |
| 2nd | 7 | Cosmic Waltz | 6 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | S J Wolfe | 55kg | $21.00 |
| 3rd | 3 | Heaven Specified | 1 | Steven Parnham | T M Andrews | 58kg | $6.00 |
| 4th | 8 | Vexatious Rose | 3 | Shaun O'Donnell | Jeremy Easthope | 54.5kg | $7.50 |
| 5th | 5 | Supido Express | 10 | Natika Riordan | Mitchell Pateman | 54kg | $13.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Our Mate Archie | 7 | Chanel Cooper | Steele Casey | 59.5kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Triple The Chant | 9 | Joey Azzopardi | Ms D Riordan | 56kg | $20.00 |
| 8th | 10 | Rebelnado | 2 | Holly Nottle | D T McAuliffe | 52.5kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Belle Journee | 5 | Clint Johnston-Porter | Ms C Stelmach | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 10th | 9 | Canny Jack | 8 | Cassey Martinan | Ms C Stelmach | 51kg | $201.00 |
The 20 July Belmont trial win shows she is forward, the Miller/Pike booking is the strongest engagement in the race, and barrier 5 with only 55kg maps her exactly where Belmont Good-track winners come from. Fitness first-up over 1200m is the only genuine query.
The most credible of the exposed brigade on this surface. He has been placed in Open company at 1200m and maps on speed, which is the winning shape at Belmont. Barrier 7 is the only real blemish.
The most predictable runner in the race. From barrier 1 with the lightest weight she should hold a forward position, which is the single most reliable Belmont Good-track pattern. The concern is a maiden record of 5:0-1-1 and a rider without a win in 20, so she is safer at the placings than for the win.
The most complete form profile in the race. Listed exposure at Ascot means the grade lift is nominal rather than real, and the lugging bit coming off should sharpen him.
She draws well in barrier 3, has placed or won in three of four starts and returns quickly on 14 days.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 10 | Gaintree | 5 | William Pike | Simon Miller | 55kg | $1.75 |
| 2nd | 2 | Properata | 7 | Natasha Faithfull | D & B Pearce | 57kg | $5.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Rogue Ruler | 4 | Steven Parnham | S V Vahala | 57kg | $8.00 |
| 4th | 9 | Manhattan Squeeze | 1 | Laqdar Ramoly | N D Parnham | 55kg | $7.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Burning Bridges | 8 | Brad Parnham | N D Parnham | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 6th | 11 | Chantatious | 2 | Lucy F Fiore | D L Morton | 55kg | $13.00 |
| 7th | 6 | Magnificent Prince | 9 | Holly Nottle | Annaya Pateman | 55.5kg | $61.00 |
| 8th | 7 | Run Yogi Run | 11 | Jason Whiting | Ms R Lockwood | 57kg | $81.00 |
| 9th | 8 | Mythical Demiurge | 10 | Victoria Corver | Ryan Hill | 57kg | $101.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Spinarella | 3 | Clint Johnston-Porter | D & B Pearce | 57kg | |
| Scr | 3 | Marcos | 6 | Holly Watson | Luke Fernie | 57kg |
The most complete form profile in the race. He now gets 4kg relief, draws the inside gate and maps to sit on or just off a moderate speed, which is precisely the winning profile at Belmont on Good ground. Distance record of two starts for two wins removes the trip query.
His second-up record of three wins from seven is a strong statistical angle and the first-up second over this trip under 59.5kg on a Heavy 9 was a quality effort. The reservation is trip and map: his best current form is over a mile, his one recent Good-track 1200m attempt was a well-beaten seventh, and from barrier 4 he settles midfield at a track where holding position matters.
The most reliable runner in the field on raw consistency — four wins and six seconds from fourteen starts, and beaten a whisker in this same grade here last week. The queries are the step from 1000m to 1200m, where her record is a modest one win from four, and a barrier that forces some early work. Ideally weighted at 54.5kg and a strong each-way proposition without quite the winning profile of the top pick.
He won this identical grade over this track and distance on August 1 and his track-and-distance record of three wins and six thirds from thirteen starts is the strongest positional credential in the field. He maps to race forward, which is exactly what Belmont on Good ground rewards.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3 | Lord Shiva | 1 | Holly Nottle | Mitchell Pateman | 56kg | $2.70 |
| 2nd | 5 | Asif | 4 | William Pike | G & A Williams | 57kg | $2.90 |
| 3rd | 9 | Brave Spirit | 3 | Patrick Carbery | T J Stone | 54kg | $21.00 |
| 4th | 6 | King Adviso | 2 | Clint Johnston-Porter | C & M Gangemi | 56.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 2 | Speed Dream | 5 | Jason Whiting | R J Piercey | 58.5kg | $71.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Hey Pino | 8 | Chanel Cooper | Ms R L Williams | 54kg | $7.50 |
| 7th | 1 | Ice Pick Nick | 6 | Steven Parnham | S V Vahala | 60.5kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Sunny Honey | 7 | Paul Harvey | D R Harrison | 57.5kg | $11.00 |
| Scr | 8 | Girls Day Out | 7 | Brad Parnham | D L Morton | 54.5kg |
Comfortably the best horse in the race on class. Five wins from six starts with the only defeat coming over an unsuitable 1800m at Group 1 level, and he has already beaten Listed and Group 2 fields at Ascot. Returns first up where he is two from two, drops to the lightest weight, draws to travel handy at a track that rewards position at the 400m, and reunites with Pike who is four from five aboard. The 258-day layoff is the only genuine query.
Barrier 4 with tactical speed gives him the ideal Belmont Good-track position map. Consistency and map rather than upside.
The strongest track-and-distance credential in the field with 3 starts for a win and a second at Belmont over 1300m, plus a Listed win here over 1200m on Good 4 in July when he held off Snowdome. The Heavy 9 run last start can be excused on a surface he does not require, and he returns to Good ground where he is 5 wins from 19. Draws to get the soft forward run the track rewards. Places more often than he wins.
Fiore is riding at 40% strike rate.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | King Of Light | 3 | William Pike | D L Morton | 58.5kg | $1.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | Snowdome | 4 | Brad Parnham | N D Parnham | 59kg | $3.60 |
| 3rd | 3 | Ginger Baker | 6 | Lucy F Fiore | D & B Pearce | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 4th | 4 | Fluro Neuro | 2 | Clint Johnston-Porter | G & A Williams | 59kg | $9.50 |
| 5th | 1 | Man Crush | 1 | Holly Watson | Luke Fernie | 59kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Without Reg | 7 | Steven Parnham | Rhys Radford | 59kg | $91.00 |
| 7th | 5 | Rokanori | 5 | Jordan Turner | C & M Gangemi | 59kg | $81.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Boots Like Bruce | 9 | Austin Galati | Dexter Aiken | 59kg | $101.00 |
| 9th | 6 | Final Siren | 8 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | Rebecca Bayliss | 59kg | $21.00 |
The most credible profile in the race on Good ground. The July failure came on a Soft 6, a surface she has never handled, so it is forgivable rather than a form line. Second up from a spell she is 1 start for 1 win, barrier 6 gives her the tactical spot the track demands, and the Nottle/Dickson combination fires at 30%.
The last-start third came over 1400m on a Heavy 9 from gate 14, far better than the bare result.
The Heavy 9 last start is explainable on a surface he has never handled. Back on Good ground and dropping in grade he is competitive, but the combination of top weight at 59.5kg, barrier 12 and an unproven 1300m trip caps enthusiasm. Fiore's 40% recent strike rate is a genuine plus.
The projected fast tempo off four genuine leaders is exactly the setup a midfield finisher needs.
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1 | Common Touch | 12 | Lucy F Fiore | R W Price | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Deel Her In | 5 | Steven Parnham | T M Andrews | 58.5kg | $16.00 |
| 3rd | 5 | Allentown | 11 | Shaun Mc Gruddy | C & M Gangemi | 57kg | $11.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Cleanemup | 8 | Brad Parnham | N D Parnham | 56kg | $11.00 |
| 5th | 2 | Searchin' Times | 6 | Holly Nottle | Summer Dickson | 57.5kg | $4.60 |
| 6th | 4 | Ain'tsobad | 10 | Brayden Gaerth | Ms T Itzstein | 57.5kg | $26.00 |
| 7th | 7 | Roaming America | 9 | Jarrad Noske | Mack Hall | 57kg | $26.00 |
| 8th | 12 | Cosmic Treat | 2 | Chanel Cooper | D T McAuliffe | 52.5kg | $26.00 |
| 9th | 11 | Californication | 7 | Zephen Johnston-Porter | P W Rowe | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 10th | 8 | Itzabeast | 4 | Joey Azzopardi | Brian Kersley | 56.5kg | $51.00 |
| 11th | 6 | Refemme No Angel | 1 | William Pike | S & J Casey | 57kg | $2.60 |
| 12th | 9 | Polyvanova | 3 | Holly Watson | Mitchell Pateman | 56.5kg | $26.00 |
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