Bairnsdale tips and results

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.00 · Jason Maskiell

Sparingly raced four-year-old who has run solid races at 1400m and 1600m, including a sound effort on Good ground at Pakenham. She resumes for an in-form stable and gets a jockey who rides this track especially well.

Our price $28.00 · SP $19.00 · Aaron Sweeney

Roughie who maps on-pace and has a course-and-distance placing to his name, having run home well for third over this trip in August. He is very inconsistent though, including a recent uncompetitive effort, so he is a speculator only.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.00 · Celine Gaudray

A Hayes-trained filly who has been improving with each outing, finishing second and third in recent jump outs. The stable is a strong performer at Bairnsdale and she gets a middle barrier that suits this track's sprint profile.

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.40 · Damien Thornton

Overpriced on her track profile. She has the early speed to be handy from barrier three, which is exactly the position that wins most at Bairnsdale, and her trainer has an excellent strike rate at this course. She is second-up, won a recent jump out, and should improve sharply on two heavy-track runs.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.50 · Adam McCabe

Ran the best race of anything in this field last start when a close third at Tatura, settling off the pace before hitting the line hard. She maps to sit handy from an inside gate at a track that heavily favours on-pace runners, and her consistency stands out in a weak maiden. The step to 1200m for the first time is the query, but her pattern says it suits.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.50 · Craig Newitt

Boasts the most consistent profile here with a second and two thirds from four starts, including a sound 1200m effort on good ground. She gets a top jockey but has drawn the outside gate and will need to work across, and she bled at her latest race start before resuming off jump-outs. A place looks her best hope at the trip.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · Mitchell Aitken

Drops in class off a fast-closing third at Geelong where she ran to winning standard. Well suited at 1200m and maps to settle just off a genuine speed, the prime spot at Bairnsdale.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.50 · Melea Castle

The value play. Her fast-finishing second at Geelong is the strongest recent effort in this line-up, and the predicted quick tempo should help her run on late. Place-performed and proven at the trip, but she is a get-back type at a track that strongly rewards on-pace runners, so she will need luck and a clear run from off the speed.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.60 · Luke Cartwright

Comes off the best run of her preparation, a close second over 2000m on good ground at Kilmore where she ran right up to the mark. From barrier two she can settle closer than usual and be in the finish. The knock is her tendency to get back in the field, which is a tough way to win here, and her form has been patchy.

Our price $11.00 · SP $8.50 · Adam McCabe

A natural front-runner who can exploit Bairnsdale's strong on-pace bias. She has placed twice from three starts here and her best run, over 2256m on good ground earlier this year, is up to this class.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.00 · Christopher Pang

Drops in grade and brings what looks the strongest recent run in the field, a closing fifth in a much sharper contest. He has already won at Bairnsdale over the mile and draws to get an economical run just off the pace.

Our price $8.00 · SP $17.00 · Jack Martin

A consistent on-pacer who was third over this trip on good ground last start and third again the run before. She settles in the leading division, exactly where you want to be at Bairnsdale, and she is well proven at 1600m.

Our price $13.00 · SP $10.00 · Teodore Nugent

The likely lone leader, which counts for plenty at Bairnsdale where front-runners are hard to run down. She drops in class and her jockey is riding well.

Our price $9.00 · SP $10.00 · Dylan Dunn

Save something for a horse who saves his best for this track, with two wins and two placings from nine starts at Bairnsdale including over this trip. He settles midfield so can avoid trouble, is drawn well, and has gone well fresh before.