Mt Gambier tips and results

Our price $2.70 · SP $2.00 · Jordyn Weatherley

She has been running to a winning standard in her past two starts on wet ground, second at Warracknabeal over 1200m and fourth at Casterton, and she maps to sit handy from gate four on a track where the front-runners dominate. Blinkers go on first time for a stable and jockey with good numbers here.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.50 · Cian Macredmond

Produced the best single run in this field when a close fourth at Murtoa over 1200m on soft going, and he was also placed on a heavy track at Kilmore, so the ground is no concern. He has the early speed to settle in the leading division, which suits a track where on-pace runners win most sprints, and his stable is in reasonable form. The wide gate in nine is the worry, along with a jockey whose recent strike rate is modest.

Our price $18.00 · SP $21.00 · Harry Grace

He nearly won at Naracoorte over 1100m when allowed to lead, and the tongue tie goes on first time for an in-form local jockey who rides this track well. The negatives are obvious: beaten a long way in each of his past three starts and yet to place in five tries on soft ground.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.50 · Harry Grace

A lightly raced mare who gets the services of a jockey with a strong record at this circuit. Her two runs before an ordinary last-start effort at Naracoorte were sound enough to suggest she can measure up in a thin maiden, and the first-time nose band may help her settle.

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.50 · Sarah Robbins

The likely leader and the one who could get away with it. There's very little early speed engaged, so from barrier two she should control a slowly-run race and be hard to reel in. Her Ballarat form two starts back reads well enough.

Our price $3.20 · SP $4.00 · Kayla Crowther

A nine-year-old who saves his best for Mt Gambier, with three wins and three placings from 14 local starts and a two-from-seven record over this trip. He maps to lead or sit handy in a race with no obvious speed, exactly where you want to be over 900m here, and he has won fresh before. The query is a soft track, where he's placed often but never won, hence the modest confidence.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.50 · Sarah Robbins

A consistent seven-year-old who is the form runner on wet ground, having placed at her last two on rain-affected tracks and won over this course and distance. Her recent runs are the strongest in the field and she settles handy enough to avoid the backmarker graveyard here. A slight class rise and a stable that rarely wins are the knock, but she is the safest each-way play.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.00 · Polly Brewster

Second up now with that effort behind her, she drops to a featherweight and maps to settle handy, which suits this course.

Our price $9.00 · SP $16.00 · Jordyn Weatherley

Consistent on-pace type who finished right there at Bordertown last start at this grade. Drawn the inside gate, he should hold a handy spot on a track that favours those up front, and his stable is in good form with a jockey who rides this course well. Only one win to his name, so best used for the placings.

Our price $14.00 · SP $12.00 · Kate Walters

A genuine Mt Gambier specialist - six wins and six placings from 29 starts here, including four wins over this exact trip. She handles soft and heavy ground and rattled home for a close second at this track and distance last prep.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.00 · Polly Brewster

Consistent wet-track mare who has finished in the placings in seven of her last ten and was beaten barely a length when fourth at this track on heavy ground. The concern is that she gets back and the race shapes to be run at a moderate tempo, which can leave her with too much to do.

Our price $11.00 · SP $21.00 · Caitlin Tootell

Likely to lead on her own, and at 54kg from the inside gate she could prove hard to run down if she controls a steady tempo. She is second up from a spell, a scenario in which she has won before, and the on-pace bias at Mt Gambier suits.

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.50 · Tom Madden

A lightly raced stayer on the improve. He led and won well over 2470m last start and was a close second over 2000m before that, showing he settles handy and stays. The obvious query is the sharp rise from maiden company to a strong 75, but he's an improving type whose recent runs rate highly and the stable is strong at this track.

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.40 · Jordyn Weatherley

He is the class runner, but he settles near the tail and a likely slow tempo over this trip is a genuine concern, while he carries top weight and has never won on a rain-affected surface.

Our price $13.00 · SP $16.00 · Caitlin Tootell

She has three wins on soft ground and maps to control what shapes as a slowly run staying test, giving her a real chance to steal this if left alone in front.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.50 · Kayla Crowther

The concern is style and venue: he settles well back and has never won at Mt Gambier in five attempts, a track that rewards on-pace runners. His class can overcome it, but he will need the race to fall his way.

Our price $8.00 · SP $14.00 · Andrew Stead

Last-start winner who clearly enjoys Mt Gambier, having finished first and second at his two most recent runs here, both from well off the pace. Hard-fit, handles wet ground and his regular rider knows him well. He rises to top weight as an eight-year-old and will again be conceding a start, so he needs the leaders to come back to him.

Our price $7.50 · SP $17.00 · Kate Walters

Veteran mare dropping in class who has been consistently around the mark, placing in four of her last five. She can race handier than most of the fancied runners and handles soft ground, which fits this track's on-pace profile.