Warwick Farm tips and results

Our price $4.60 · SP $6.00 · Rachel King

The most exposed runner in the race and the most reliable. Three starts have produced a placing at Kensington, a narrow second over further at this track and a fair effort at Rosehill, all of them run at a standard good enough to win an ordinary midweek maiden. She has the best early speed in the field and Warwick Farm sprints heavily favour runners in the first three at the 400m. The wide gate is the only real query; if King can find the front cheaply she will take beating.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.50 · Tim Clark

The barrier is ideal and the recent trial win with Clark aboard suggests she is ready. Against her is a settled-back pattern at a track where backmarkers struggle and a tempo unlikely to run along. Good enough to win, but she needs the race to open up for her.

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.00 · James McDonald

Three starts have produced a second and a third over 1200m, and she has been beaten less than half a length on a soft surface at Wyong. Her last-start Kensington fourth was the strongest finishing effort of anyone in this field despite being pushed back early.

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.00 · Tim Clark

Beaten a long way in the Silver Shadow last start but that was Group company and the run itself was far better than the margin reads. She drops sharply in class today, gets a gun barrier, and has already proved she handles rain-affected going by winning an open handicap on a soft surface. The trial win suggests she is ready to improve second-up, and the Clark-Waterhouse/Bott booking is a positive. Distance is the small query.

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.50 · James McDonald

The concerns are real though: widest gate, a get-back style, a likely slow tempo and a track that rewards on-pace runners. Each-way is the sensible play.

Our price $9.00 · SP $13.00 · Madeline Owen

The race sets up with only one genuine leader in poor form, and she is a mare who can stride forward from a good gate and give a kick, exactly as she did winning at Hawkesbury last start. Her Coffs Harbour second in open grade was much better than it looked.

Our price $4.00 · SP $6.50 · Rachel King

Her second at Warwick Farm over this trip three weeks ago was comfortably the best run any of these has produced, and she did it from last on the turn giving the winner a start. She is proven wet, proven at the mile, proven at the track, drops half a kilo and keeps the rider who knows her.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.40 · Zac Lloyd

The soundest form horse in the race. He has won over this course and distance, has been placed at all three runs this time in and his recent efforts have all been up to a winning standard at this grade. Barrier four gives Zac Lloyd the option to sit third off the two leaders, which is exactly the spot that wins mile races at Warwick Farm. Wet ground is no issue.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.80 · Tim Clark

Consistent, honest and beaten a whisker last start over 1550m at Canterbury. He should find the front or sit just off from barrier five, and with only two genuine leaders in the race he can dictate a sensible tempo — a pattern that wins plenty here. The reservation is the wet ground, where he is winless from four attempts and faded after leading on a Soft Canterbury surface last month.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Kerrin McEvoy

The one runner whose wet record genuinely stands out — two wins and a placing from five Soft-track starts plus a win at this track. His Warwick Farm run last time was much better than fifth suggests after being held up for a run in the straight, and it was the best effort of his campaign. Barrier two lets McEvoy park him closer than he has been, which is the key adjustment.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.30 · Jason Collett

The run-style profile is the only thing against him. His last two starts read far worse than they were — he was shifted back, hung out and checked when trapped on heels, and still finished off strongly both times. He handles soft ground well, has won here, and steps to a slightly kinder assignment. Collett knows the track.

Our price $6.00 · SP $4.80 · James McDonald

The jockey booking and the track-and-distance win are the attractions. He handles the ground, he is at his right level and barrier four should let McDonald put him closer than he usually settles, which matters at a circuit where backmarkers struggle. The reservations are the weight and the fact that his recent efforts, while honest, have not been as strong as the top pair's.

Our price $5.00 · SP $14.00 · Ashley Morgan

She won this track on this going last start, hitting the line strongly in a race that measured up to today's level, and the two soft-track wins from three attempts make her the most proven wet performer in the field. Gate four gives Morgan every option in a moderately run 1200m where handy runners hold the advantage.

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.10 · Zac Lloyd

She is drawn to sit just off the pace at a track that rewards that pattern and wet ground plainly suits.