Townsville tips and results

Our price $7.00 · SP $8.50 · Wanderson D'Avila

A debutant with a winning trial at the track and a booking that suggests the stable wants to win. The barrier is fine, and a hot tempo should give him a run. He rates as the best of the unraced or lightly raced runners.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.00 · Adam Sewell

Her second at Townsville on Soft 5 was among the better runs in this field, and she has been consistent since. She settles handy, which suits the track, and she carries a light weight. Her Bowen fifth was a bit flat, with a trouble-affected finish. She has not won in 8 starts, so she is better used as a place chance than a winning chance.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · Chris Whiteley

A frequent placegetter who ran a winning-standard second at Cairns only a few weeks ago. He should settle on or just behind the leader, which suits this track, and he has the most experience at the trip in the field.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.40 · Ben Kennedy

The most likely winner on form. He has been placed in nearly every start and has run the best times of anything here, with margins that show he is knocking on the door.

Our price $20.00 · SP $31.00 · Fiona Sandkuhl

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.00 · Ryan Wiggins

A genuine threat. His Sept 18 run, when he nearly won over 1400m on soft ground, was the strongest recent form in the race. He should settle just behind the leader and get a clean run from barrier 3. The question mark is that he has yet to win over 1000m, and he's giving weight to the likely leader, but he's well placed to run into a minor place or win.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Amy Graham

She's a proven Townsville 1000m performer, will race handy, and gets the benefit of a big weight advantage over her rivals. She won last start and the stable is firing. The class rise and a jockey with a poor local record are the main negatives, but the weight edge could prove decisive if the leaders tire.

Our price $4.60 · SP $8.00 · Sean Cormack

Boom Bunny is the best fit on form. She has won at this track and trip, has a light weight and a good gate, and is the likeliest leader or box-seat runner in a race where forward runners hold an edge. The class rise and a fast tempo with Breeches are risks, but her recent efforts hold up well against this field.

Our price $5.80 · SP $7.50 · Lacey Morrison

Very Good has a strong strike rate and an excellent record with her jockey. She has been running solid races at Townsville, including from wide barriers. A fast tempo with two genuine leaders should help her settle off the speed and finish well. Barrier 11 and the class step-up keep her just behind Boom Bunny in assessed chance.

Our price $5.20 · SP $3.10 · Adam Sewell

With two leaders likely to push the tempo, he should have a fast pace to run into.

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.60 · Fiona Sandkuhl

Chartwell rates the best form chance. He won this 1200m course and distance at a higher grade last start, ran a creditable third last week in a Hcp (C5), and drops in class. The 59.5kg is a burden, but he can sit handy behind a fast tempo and has the class edge over the others.

Our price $7.50 · SP $15.00 · Ivo Fry

Materialist is the pick of the overs. A fast tempo with two genuine leaders should play into the hands of a strong finisher, and her best run came at this track and distance.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.00 · Sean Cormack

Diamond Lucy is the best performer in this field on recent form, winning at Bowen and showing a strong finish over 1200m. A very fast tempo should help a closer, and she drops in class. The wide barrier means she may have to cover extra ground and will need luck in running. That keeps her third here, but she is a genuine place chance.

Our price $7.00 · SP $14.00 · Sean Cormack

Aged Care steps down from Open company, and that class relief makes him competitive despite carrying top weight. He settles handy from the inside, which suits a track that favours forward runners. He was second over 1400m here in July and won a mile in August. The 63kg is a concern, but he looks well placed relative to his past form against these rivals.

Our price $11.00 · SP $18.00 · Chris Whiteley

He won last start at Townsville, where he sat handy and fought on well, and he has a solid record at the track. His map suits a moderately run 1400m and 58.5kg is manageable.

Our price $4.40 · SP $4.80 · Aidan Holt

He has run close in good Townsville mile races at this class and drops in grade after a near-win at Bowen. Aidan Holt and Georgie Holt are a strong combination. The fast pace is a worry, but he has shown he can settle closer to midfield and still finish well.

Our price $6.30 · SP $5.50 · Ben Kennedy

Her last run was spoiled by a wide trip and bumping, so the result can be forgiven. She gets a favourable weight and should be closing into the fast tempo. The step up in class and her recent form slide stop her from being ranked higher.