Happy Valley tips and results

Our price $5.50 · SP $8.60 · Matthew Poon

A consistent type who keeps hitting the frame, with a good draw and light weight today.

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.70 · Matthew Poon

The concern is the switch to the Valley for the first time, where his get-back style and a rider without a win here recently make him reliant on tempo and clear running.

Our price $8.00 · SP $8.50 · Angus Chung

A middle draw and a moderate tempo let him sit in the first half and build into the race.

Our price $5.00 · SP $11.00 · Keith Yeung

New Power is the form horse. The wide draw and extra weight are legitimate negatives, and the stable is cold, but a moderately run race with no dominant leader suits a horse who sits handy and finishes.

Our price $6.50 · SP $10.00 · Andrea Atzeni

Country Pride is reliable rather than exciting. He has placed in three of his four starts, including the last two at this course and distance, and comes from a stable known for improving young horses. The wide draw is the main worry on a tight circuit where ground lost on the bends is hard to recover, and he still has to prove he can win.

Our price $9.00 · SP $12.00 · Nichola Yuen

A last-start winner over this exact course and trip who had Georgian Sigma behind him that day. He gets in light again with the apprentice's claim and comes from a stable that does well at the Valley, so he must be respected. The wide draw is the clear problem — he will either have to burn early speed to cross or settle deep.

Our price $4.00 · SP $8.50 · Harry Bentley

World Hero produced the best piece of form in this field when beaten a whisker over this course and distance last start, having also run above the grade standard the start before while posted wide. He races handy, which is exactly where you want to be in a truly run Happy Valley sprint, and he is a multiple winner at the track and trip. The weight is the main query, but he has carried close to it in his best runs.

Our price $5.00 · SP $2.30 · Brenton Avdulla

If the leaders go too hard early, he is the one most exposed.

Our price $9.00 · SP $15.00 · Jerry Chau

Gameplayer Elite was a genuine force at this track and trip last season, winning twice and running close in his other starts, and he has a history of improving sharply second up. His first-up effort was plain, but he was never in a position to win and that run should have brought him on.

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.60 · Andrea Atzeni

He is a genuine Class 4 winner who controlled a Happy Valley race last start and now steps up in trip from a soft draw, with a strong record when second up.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.90 · Jerry Chau

Kyrus Treasure is the horse with the best suitability profile here, having won both starts at Happy Valley over this distance including in this grade. The concern is that he resumes from a long layoff off two modest trials and draws wide, so he will need a patient ride to work into contention. If fit he is a clear win chance, and he is included on course and distance strength as a place play.

Our price $8.00 · SP $13.00 · Angus Chung

Good Good is the value play.

Our price $5.00 · SP $10.00 · Luke Ferraris

Lucky With You is the class horse of this race. His last two runs in Group 3 company produced faster overall performances than anything else in this field, and when he last visited Happy Valley over 1200m at 61kg he was beaten a nose in this grade. The inside gate lets him park behind what should be a genuine speed duel and pounce.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.60 · Nichola Yuen

Rising Force is a model of consistency with ten placings from thirteen starts and gets a massive weight swing, shedding 7.5kg from his last two runs once the claim is taken. He was a close second at this track in May. His raw performances have been a touch below the top two, and he may not get the uncontested lead he enjoys because Victor The Winner and Victory Sky also want to roll forward. Hot connections and the light weight make him a solid each-way-style place chance.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.40 · Derek Leung

The class horse of the race, having run well in Class 1 and Class 2 company and finishing third here over this trip eleven days ago in a stronger event. He races on the speed from a good gate, which fits a moderately run sprint around the tight Valley. The big question is the weight, with 12kg more on his back than last start, and his connections are cold.

Our price $8.00 · SP $26.00 · Britney Wong

He won his last two, including a Class 3 at this track from a wide draw where he settled just behind the leaders and finished strongly. He drops to the minimum weight today with the apprentice claim and his forward racing style is ideal if the pace is moderate.

Our price $9.00 · SP $4.40 · Alexis Badel

He has won and placed three times in his last four Class 3 runs over 1200m, usually leading, and has been getting tired late, so the drop to 1000m could be exactly what he needs.

Our price $5.50 · SP $10.00 · Nichola Yuen

Prestige Good resumed with an eye-catching third over this course and distance, running a quick time in a race that was run hard from the start, and he gets a hefty weight pull today through Nichola Yuen's claim. He has a good record second-up and the stable is firing. The knock is his low win strike rate and a map that suggests he will be on the pace while the race is run fast, which has undone him before. A genuine place chance who could win if he finds cover.

Our price $8.00 · SP $6.80 · Brenton Avdulla

Flying Fortress is the archetypal Valley 1650m placegetter, with a win and four seconds from nine attempts here, and today's race shape suits him perfectly. Four horses want to lead, the tempo should be hot, and he is the strongest finisher in the field when the race collapses in front of him. He was beaten a nose in this grade two starts back before a forgivable defeat over an unsuitable sprint trip. His connections are out of form, which tempers confidence, but each-way he is the logical play.

Our price $10.00 · SP $12.00 · Harry Bentley

Turin Champions won over this course and distance last start carrying top weight in a race run at a genuine clip, and he now meets Class 3 company with a feather weight after a rise in grade. He has already run well in this class at Sha Tin and is a lightly raced four-year-old still improving.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.00 · Vincent Ho

Produced the best single run in the field when winning here over 1200m last start and was a close third from a wide alley before that, so the class and the turn of foot are not in doubt. The concern is the 4kg rise to topweight and a wide draw, meaning he must come from off the speed. Still rates the clear main danger on form.

Our price $6.50 · SP $9.30 · Jerry Chau

Deeply experienced around this track and trip with four wins and six seconds from 25 starts. Ran well within a couple of lengths in this grade at his last two, and the inside gate gives him the ideal stalking trip behind what looks a moderate tempo. Honest and solid rather than brilliant; hard to leave out of the placings.