Muswellbrook tips and results

Our price $16.00 · SP $41.00 · Adam Farragher

Rothfield is the value play. He was second at Mudgee last start and he is still lightly raced and improving.

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.50 · Ashley Morgan

Cecil Peak made a promising debut when fourth at Taree, working home from well back after being forced wide on a soft track. That race has a solid look for this grade and the rise to 1280m should suit. Ashley Morgan is a strong booking and has a good record here. She may get back from the inside draw, so she will need a clear passage, but she is a leading contender.

Our price $8.50 · SP $17.00 · Luke Rolls

The step to 1280m on a soft track looks ideal, and her trainer is having a good run.

Our price $9.00 · SP $11.00 · Aaron Bullock

Oakfield Kansas is an each-way value play. She was beaten less than three lengths first-up over 1250m on soft ground after leading, and should be fitter second-up. Aaron Bullock is a strong booking and has an excellent record here. The draw should allow her to settle handy, but she needs to finish off better than last time.

Our price $3.80 · SP $6.50 · Ashley Morgan

Arrives off a strong win at Taree over the mile on a Soft 7, leading and fighting on to score. He handles wet ground well and has the early speed to take up a handy spot in what shapes as a slowly-run race, which suits him perfectly. Ashley Morgan and the Duggan stable are both going well, and the jockey rides this track with real confidence.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.00 · Aaron Bullock

Improving mare who won her maiden two runs back and then chased Purple Haze home for second at Taree on a Soft 7. She has good gate speed and should be able to take up a prominent position in a race that lacks early pressure, which is a big plus. Aaron Bullock rides the track as well as anyone.

Our price $8.50 · SP $13.00 · Mitchell Bell

An improving mare who caught the eye running on from well back for third over 1450m here last start, and she has already won at this track. The Cavanough stable is in good form and Mitchell Bell is riding well. The concern is that she gets back in her races and this shapes as a slowly-run affair, so she will need luck and a strong tempo to reel in the leaders.

Our price $5.00 · SP $6.00 · Aaron Bullock

Supido Star is the safe, consistent option. She has been placed in six of 11 starts, including two seconds at this track and distance, and her soft-track record is solid. The concern is her get-back style in a race that may not be run at a strong tempo. However, Aaron Bullock's booking is a positive and she should be finishing strongly.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.60 · Olivia Chambers

A consistent mare who is at her best rolling forward, and she gets a moderate tempo to suit. She won on soft ground at Port Macquarie when able to control the race and ran second here on a rain-affected track over further.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.50 · Mikayla Weir

Fearn Trick has the best early speed in the race and a soft-track win to her name when she led and controlled. She drops in class and should be prominent, but she has never raced beyond 1100m and must overcome a wide barrier. The moderate tempo helps her cause, yet the 1280m is an unknown.

Our price $3.90 · SP $5.00 · Olivia Chambers

Wet-track winner who should settle on the speed from an inside gate in a slowly-run race, with a big weight advantage over most. Her recent runs finished strongly and she looks the best form chance.

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.50 · Liberty Smyth

The likely leader in a race with no other true front-runner, so he should get an easy lead from a good gate. He is reliable in the placings but often gets run down late, and his connections are cold. He's a safe top-three pick, not a confident winner.

Our price $7.50 · SP $17.00 · Reece Jones

Hardly a proven winner, but his recent Muswellbrook runs at this level were good and he has a light weight. If the field is more bunched than expected he could run into a place.