Nowra tips and results

Our price $5.00 · SP $3.80 · Winona Costin

Winless but rarely far from the action, and his last-start third at Canberra over 2000m was a genuinely good effort after being caught three-wide working on the pace. He has a second here over this trip from his only visit and should roll forward into a race that looks short of early speed.

Our price $3.60 · SP $3.20 · Brodie Loy

The most talented horse in this field off the clock. First-up at Moruya in a stronger Showcase grade he rattled home for third and was beaten less than a length, and his soft-track and second-up numbers are excellent. Brodie Loy, who rides this track better than anyone engaged, can sit him midfield and produce him late. The one worry is a slowly run race against his get-back style — but the class should carry him home.

Our price $6.50 · SP $12.00 · Amy McLucas

A reliable place-getter who lands in the right spot for how this race shapes. With only one confirmed leader engaged, she should be able to lob on the speed from gate two and be the one they have to run down. Her last-start second at Queanbeyan had merit after doing early work, and her soft-track form is solid without winning. The 1400m is the unknown, but in a muddling race she is the most likely of the on-pacers to be in the finish.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.20 · Nick Heywood

The model of consistency without being a winner — three placings in his last four and a solid soft-track profile. Heywood is a strong track rider and the Dale stable is going well. The problem is the map: he drops out to near last and, with the pace likely to be slow, giving away a start here is a real risk.

Our price $6.00 · SP $14.00 · Jean Van Overmeire

The pick on form. His last-start third at Orange over 1300m stands out in this line-up — he over-raced early, was held up near the 100m and still hit the line strongly. A lightly raced three-year-old with clear upside, he gets weight from the older brigade, maps to settle fourth and runs for a stable with a strong record at this track.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Chad Lever

He came from midfield for a close third over 1200m here last start on a soft track and has been crying out for further. The rise to 1400m should suit, though he will need to settle better than he did last time and his rider has yet to win at this course.

Our price $13.00 · SP $21.00 · Poppie Gorton

She has seven placings from fifteen starts and has been close up in solid maidens over 1300-1400m, including a narrow second at Moruya. The knock is the wide gate, which means she must work forward.

Our price $8.00 · SP $6.00 · Damon Budler

Capdiva is a model of consistency without winning, having been a close second at Newcastle three starts back before being badly hampered at her latest. She has the early speed to slide across and sit just off what should be a fast tempo, and her rider is going well at this track. Eight starts without a win and a wide draw mean a placing is the realistic target rather than the top prize.

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.80 · Brodie Loy

Abstruse has been placed in her last two Bm66 sprints and ran to a winning standard in both. She handles soft ground, is fit, and has a top-flight Nowra jockey who knows her. Top weight and a wide gate are negatives, but she should be running on strongly late.

Our price $7.50 · SP $6.50 · Amy McLucas

Nights Inferno ran on well for third at Cootamundra in this grade and distance, and he has won on soft ground before. He should settle in the first few and gets a decent chance in a moderate tempo.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Amber Riddell

A consistent, lightly raced mare who has finished in the first three every time. She should be handy in a moderately run race with the lead open, and the stable has an excellent record at Nowra. The wide barrier is the main concern, but she handled Soft 5 at the trip first-up and sits at the right class level. A solid place chance with genuine winning claims.

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.50 · Louise Day

A young gelding who has improved with each start and won last start on a Soft 5 by getting up on the line. The stable is in form, and the draw is good. Each-way appeals.