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Western Australia · Saturday 20 June 2026

Belmont Park tips and results

Our top pick won 2 of 8 races at Belmont Park. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Good 4Rail TrueOvercastBelmont Park track guide ›
Top pick won2/825%
Any tip won5/863%
Top pick placed4/850%
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R1

MC Polytrack Plate

12:33 local1200mOpen$80,000
Winner10. In Good NiccSP $4.80
★ Top pick4th
6Ace Queen Suited

Our price $3.20 · SP $5.00 · Lucy F Fiore

Ace Queen Suited presents as the most reliable winning chance based on recent form and proven suitability. Last-start maiden winner at this track/distance on Soft 5, she steps up to Open grade with strong momentum. The Morton/Fiore combination is highly effective (16% SR), and Fiore has won on this filly before. While barrier 10 is wide, the moderate tempo and lack of genuine leaders should allow her to settle midfield and be positioned top-3 at the 400m—the key winning position at Belmont.

2nd pick2nd
7Merivale Louvain

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.60 · Joey Azzopardi

Merivale Louvain is a lightly-raced maiden winner stepping up sharply in class but showing strong potential. However, today's Good 4 surface is untested (0:0-0-0 on Good), and the step from Maiden to Open is substantial. Barrier 13 is the widest draw, which is a significant negative on Belmont's tight turning track, though the moderate tempo may allow her to settle back and finish. The lack of exposure (1 start) and unproven distance/track credentials are concerns, but her upside and wet-track form suggest she could handle the step-up if the race unfolds favourably.

3rd pickWon
10In Good Nicc

Our price $7.50 · SP $4.80 · Clint Johnston-Porter

In Good Nicc is a second-up maiden stepping up to 1200m with limited credentials but some positional advantages. Second-up from spell, she should improve fitness-wise, and the step to 1200m may suit if she has stamina. Barrier 12 is wide but the moderate tempo should allow her to settle midfield and be positioned handy at the 400m. Jockey Clint Johnston-Porter has a strong 17% SR at Belmont, which is a positive. However, she has no career wins (2:0-0-0) and no proven form at 1200m, making her a speculative chance.

Value pick10th
3Ken

Our price $7.00 · SP $13.00 · Troy Turner

He is proven at this track/distance (1:0-0-1) and showed improvement from poor barrier trials to a competitive placing. The step from Maiden to Open is a significant class rise, but his last-start form suggests he has the ability to compete if the race unfolds favourably. Barrier 4 is advantageous, allowing him to settle midfield and be positioned handy at the 400m—the key winning position at Belmont. The cross-over nose band first time is a speculative gear change that may improve focus. However, he has no form on Good 4 (0:0-0-0 on Good), which is a concern.

  1. 1st10In Good NiccClint Johnston-Porter$4.80
  2. 2nd7Merivale LouvainJoey Azzopardi$3.60
  3. 3rd2Harbour RiseHolly Watson$11.00
  4. 4th6Ace Queen SuitedLucy F Fiore$5.00
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10In Good Nicc12Clint Johnston-PorterLuke Fernie55kg$4.80
2nd7Merivale Louvain13Joey AzzopardiR W Price55kg$3.60
3rd2Harbour Rise3Holly WatsonD M Luciani57kg$11.00
4th6Ace Queen Suited10Lucy F FioreD L Morton55kg$5.00
5th5Threads Of Glory6Shaun Mc GruddySue Olive57kg$31.00
6th1Eddietemple9Paul HarveySimon Miller57kg$7.50
7th12Gold Chantilly1Patrick CarberyMitchell Pateman55kg$15.00
8th4Countersunk7Jason WhitingL P Luciani57kg$101.00
9th9Lucy Red2Lisa StaplesP H Jordan55kg$101.00
10th3Ken4Troy TurnerMs D Riordan57kg$13.00
11th8Untamed Stare5Holly NottleSummer Dickson53.5kg$9.00
12th13Starlight Sweetie11Zephen Johnston-PorterG C Ballantyne53kg$151.00
13th11Apollo Storm8Steven ParnhamN D Parnham55kg$41.00
R2

TABtouch - Westspeed Platinum (Rs0ly)

13:09 local1600mRst 0 Met Win-LY$40,000
Winner8. God's GrinSP $7.50
★ Top pick6th
4Flaming Ronda

Our price $3.80 · SP $5.50 · Clint Johnston-Porter

The significant class drop from Class 3 to Rst 0 Met Win-LY, combined with barrier 2 allowing a perfect on-pace position at Belmont, positions her as the most likely winner.

2nd pick8th
6Hope To Rule

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Steven Parnham

Hope To Rule emerges as the main danger with excellent recent consistency and proven 1600m credentials. The strong Parnham/horse combination (27% strike rate) and second-up record (67% win rate) are major positives. Her 1600m form is solid (1-0-2 from 4) and she maps to settle midfield from barrier 7, which suits the Belmont pattern. While the wide draw and equal top weight are concerns, her class and current form trajectory make her a genuine winning chance.

3rd pick2nd
1Strapping Prophet

Our price $4.20 · SP $3.50 · Jason Whiting

While the class drop and barrier 3 are positives, the horse has never won at 1600m and has never won on a Good track despite eight attempts. Five consecutive placings without a win suggests a ceiling has been reached at this level.

Value pickWon
8God's Grin

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.50 · Holly Nottle

The mare has proven winning ability (20% strike rate) and excellent Good track form (2-1-3 from 8). Holly Nottle's 18% strike rate at Belmont and strong trainer combination (13%) are major positives. While unproven at 1600m, the step up from 1400m is manageable and the class drop compensates.

  1. 1st8God's GrinHolly Nottle$7.50
  2. 2nd1Strapping ProphetJason Whiting$3.50
  3. 3rd2Cruise To RioNatika Riordan$26.00
  4. 4th7I'm NipoteLucy F Fiore$9.50
Full result · 9 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st8God's Grin5Holly NottleD & B Pearce54.5kg$7.50
2nd1Strapping Prophet3Jason WhitingMs S Bakranich59kg$3.50
3rd2Cruise To Rio9Natika RiordanT J Stone55.5kg$26.00
4th7I'm Nipote8Lucy F FioreB S Seinor57.5kg$9.50
5th5Forever Dreaming1Troy TurnerColin Webster Jnr58kg$18.00
6th4Flaming Ronda2Clint Johnston-PorterMeryl Hayley58kg$5.50
7th3Mohegan Ruler4Chloe AzzopardiG & A Williams58.5kg$5.00
8th6Hope To Rule7Steven ParnhamS V Vahala58kg$5.00
9th9Get Out Mick6Jade Mc NaughtB S Seinor54.5kg$51.00
R3

Unite Resourcing (Rs1mw)

13:48 local1000mRest 1 Metro Win$60,000
Winner9. Zourun RunSP $6.00
★ Top pick3rd
6Eternal Wine

Our price $3.50 · SP $4.80 · Brad Parnham

Eternal Wine comes off a strong 2nd in Open company at Belmont, dropping sharply into Rest 1 Metro Win. Her class advantage plus a good barrier and jockey make her the one to beat.

2nd pick5th
2Last Stylebender

Our price $4.00 · SP $3.50 · Holly Nottle

Last Stylebender has been in excellent form, winning 2 of his last 3 and running 4th in a strong BM66+ last start. He maps well from barrier 3 and is a proven performer at the track/distance.

3rd pickWon
9Zourun Run

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.00 · Steven Parnham

Zourun Run resumes second-up after a solid 2nd in Class 3. She drops in class and gets a good barrier. Likely to be strong late.

Value pick2nd
3Nonesospicy

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.00 · Natika Riordan

Nonesospicy ran a close 3rd in the same BM66+ race as Last Stylebender and now gets a big weight advantage.

  1. 1st9Zourun RunSteven Parnham$6.00
  2. 2nd3NonesospicyNatika Riordan$8.00
  3. 3rd6Eternal WineBrad Parnham$4.80
  4. 4th8In ConfidenceLucy F Fiore$6.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st9Zourun Run2Steven ParnhamN D Parnham55.5kg$6.00
2nd3Nonesospicy6Natika RiordanS & J Casey55kg$8.00
3rd6Eternal Wine5Brad ParnhamM L Lane56kg$4.80
4th8In Confidence8Lucy F FioreD L Morton55.5kg$6.00
5th2Last Stylebender3Holly NottleMitchell Pateman57kg$3.50
6th7Lemmor4Shaun O'DonnellRobert & Kate Witten56kg$21.00
7th5Elite Beau9Clint Johnston-PorterG & A Williams56.5kg$10.00
8th4Bonnie Lad10Jordan TurnerC & M Gangemi56.5kg$71.00
9th10Romming Danger7Jason WhitingG C Ballantyne54kg$61.00
10th1Ahyeahrighto1Paul HarveyB P Graham61kg$13.00
R4

Bisley Workwear (Rs1mw)

14:39 local1600mRest 1 Metro Win$60,000
Winner13. EffortlesslySP $21.00
★ Top pick9th
8Special Counsel

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.50 · Chanel Cooper

Special Counsel presents as the standout value proposition with a perfect 2-from-2 record at 1600m, including a last-start Class 1 win. The lightly-raced 3YO is stepping up in grade but dropping significantly in relative class terms, having competed in stronger maiden/Class 1 fields. While barrier 8 in a 16-horse field and track inexperience are concerns, his upward trajectory, minimal exposure (only 5 starts), and proven distance suitability make him the most likely winner.

2nd pick12th
6Too Much Talk

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.00 · Lucy F Fiore

Too Much Talk emerges as the primary danger with strong recent form at this track and proven credentials at the distance. The gelding has won at this track and distance previously, and his Good track record (18:3-4-1) is solid. The application of a Norton bit first time suggests the stable believes there's improvement to unlock. While his overall 11% win rate and advancing age (7YO) are concerns, his current form trajectory and proven suitability to today's conditions make him a genuine winning chance. Lucy Fiore's 25% strike rate with the horse adds confidence, and barrier 9 in a moderate tempo suits his racing pattern.

3rd pick7th
2Our Mate Archie

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.50 · Holly Nottle

Our Mate Archie presents as a strong each-way proposition based on his exceptional second-up record (67% win rate) and being second up today. His overall 29% win rate and lightly-raced profile (only 14 starts) indicate he's still improving. While barrier 12 and track inexperience are concerns, his second-up dominance and proven distance suitability make him a genuine winning chance. The booking of Holly Nottle, who has a 40% strike rate with trainer Steele Casey, adds confidence.

Value pick3rd
11Think Pink Daze

Our price $12.00 · SP $6.50 · Chloe Azzopardi

Two starts back she won a Class 3 at Pinjarra, and her overall 38% win rate from only 8 starts demonstrates genuine ability. The lightly-raced 3YO filly is still learning her craft, and the inside barrier (4) at Belmont provides a significant positional advantage in a moderate tempo race. While stepping up to 1600m for the first time is a query, her breeding (Peltzer x Maraaseem) suggests she should handle the distance. The main concern is the jockey booking—Chloe Azzopardi has poor recent form (5% strike rate) and a weak combination with the Williams stable (7%). The 28-day freshen-up could work in her favour.

  1. 1st13EffortlesslyCassey Martinan$21.00
  2. 2nd14King Of The TownZephen Johnston-Porter$8.50
  3. 3rd11Think Pink DazeChloe Azzopardi$6.50
  4. 3rd15MyzoomLaqdar Ramoly$19.00
Full result · 16 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st13Effortlessly14Cassey MartinanMichael Grantham51kg$21.00
2nd14King Of The Town11Zephen Johnston-PorterSummer Dickson52kg$8.50
3rd11Think Pink Daze4Chloe AzzopardiG & A Williams55kg$6.50
3rd15Myzoom2Laqdar RamolyN D Parnham54kg$19.00
5th10Manhattan Strip3Troy TurnerNadia Bishop55kg$151.00
6th3Gold Maker1Joey AzzopardiMs D Riordan58kg$9.00
7th2Our Mate Archie12Holly NottleSteele Casey58kg$5.50
8th9Two Time Charlie13Clint Johnston-PorterMichael Grantham55.5kg$8.50
9th8Special Counsel8Chanel CooperG & A Williams54kg$8.50
10th1Kimberley Rose5Brad ParnhamS J Miller60kg$41.00
11th5Artistry In Motion10Natasha FaithfullT M Wolfe57kg$14.00
12th6Too Much Talk9Lucy F FioreJarrad Humphries57kg$9.00
13th16Wild Things15Natika RiordanD L Morton51kg$16.00
14th4Premium Girl6Steven ParnhamT Triscari58kg$71.00
15th12Apparatus16Holly WatsonDylan Bairstow54kg$41.00
16th7Admired7Jason WhitingG A Crispin56.5kg$201.00
R5

WA Racehorse Owners'' Association (Bm72+)

15:10 local1000mBenchMark 72+$80,000
Winner10. Baby PearlSP $6.00
★ Top pick5th
7The Calabrese

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.20 · Steven Parnham

The Calabrese presents as the standout selection having won last start at this exact track and distance in similar Soft conditions. His perfect 2:2-0-0 Belmont Park 1000m record is exceptional, and the inside barrier is a significant advantage on this tight turning circuit. While Good track form is moderate, his class and current trajectory override this concern.

2nd pick7th
4Kay Tee Why

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.00 · Clint Johnston-Porter

Kay Tee Why is a rock-solid each-way proposition with excellent recent form at this track and distance. Ran a strong 2nd last start in identical conditions, beaten less than a length, and maps perfectly from barrier 3 to settle in the box seat. Main concern is the jockey change from Pike to Johnston-Porter, whose recent form is poor (5% strike rate). However, the horse's class and proven track/distance credentials make him a strong threat.

3rd pick2nd
8Lord Shiva

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.50 · Holly Watson

His 5:1-1-2 Belmont Park 1000m record shows genuine affinity for the track, and the light 55.5kg weight is a significant advantage. Main concern is the class rise from BM66+ to BM72+, though recent performances suggest he's ready for the step up. Watson's poor recent form (0 from 20) is a negative, but the horse's own trajectory is strong. Barrier 6 is workable but not ideal.

Value pick6th
6Keep Ita Mystery

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.50 · Paul Harvey

His 5:2-1-1 Belmont Park 1000m record (40% win rate, 80% place rate) is outstanding, and the 3rd last start at this exact venue shows current suitability. Strong second-up statistics (50% win rate) align perfectly with today's scenario. However, barrier 9 is a significant concern on this inside-biased track, and the jockey change to Harvey (0% Belmont strike rate) is a major negative. The horse will likely need to settle back and rely on a genuine tempo to get into the race. Best suited as a value each-way play.

  1. 1st10Baby PearlTroy Turner$6.00
  2. 2nd8Lord ShivaHolly Watson$6.50
  3. 3rd5Too DardyShaun O'Donnell$9.00
  4. 4th3Sinful LivingHolly Nottle$26.00
Full result · 10 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st10Baby Pearl4Troy TurnerColin Webster Jnr54kg$6.00
2nd8Lord Shiva6Holly WatsonMitchell Pateman55.5kg$6.50
3rd5Too Dardy2Shaun O'DonnellMs J Erkelens58kg$9.00
4th3Sinful Living7Holly NottleD & B Pearce57.5kg$26.00
5th7The Calabrese1Steven ParnhamC & M Gangemi57kg$4.20
6th6Keep Ita Mystery9Paul HarveyLuke Fernie57.5kg$7.50
7th4Kay Tee Why3Clint Johnston-PorterA G Durrant58kg$7.00
8th9Atlantic Spirit5Brad ParnhamN D Parnham55kg$6.00
9th1Ginnivan8Chanel CooperJ P Taylor58kg$21.00
10th2Ghost Who Walks10Zephen Johnston-PorterAngela Johnston57kg$91.00
R6

Lawn Pride Australia (Bm66+)

15:45 local1200mBenchMark 66+$80,000
Winner6. MagniqueSP $21.00
★ Top pick2nd
13Spicy Thang

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.90 · Holly Nottle

Spicy Thang is the standout selection despite the class rise. The 3YO filly drops to 53.5kg and maps perfectly to control from the front or settle just off the speed - the ideal position at this track where top-3 at the 400m wins 14%. Holly Nottle's 18% Belmont strike rate and current form (15% last 20) adds confidence. While the BM66+ class rise is significant, her progressive profile, light weight, and tactical advantage from the draw make her the most likely winner.

2nd pick10th
9Gi Gi Pops

Our price $4.50 · SP $9.50 · Natasha Faithfull

Gi Gi Pops presents as the most reliable each-way proposition. Her consistency is outstanding with 6 placings from 10 starts, and she's proven at this track (1-3-0 from 7) and distance (0-3-0 from 4). The Faithfull/horse combination is clicking (3 placings from 4 rides), and her second-up record (1-2-0 from 4) is solid.

3rd pick14th
14Brazen Butcher

Our price $5.50 · SP $3.70 · Lucy F Fiore

Brazen Butcher is the value roughie with genuine winning claims despite the significant class rise. Barrier 2 is ideal at Belmont where inside gates dominate, and he maps perfectly to settle on-pace - the winning position at this track. Lucy Fiore's 19% Belmont strike rate is a major positive, and the horse's second-up record (1 from 1) is perfect. The concern is the massive class jump from Class 1 to BM66+, but his light weight (54.5kg), inside draw, and progressive profile suggest he can overcome it.

Value pick3rd
7Hedawood

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.00 · Clint Johnston-Porter

The major concern is barrier 15 - the worst possible draw on a track favouring inside gates (13+ only 7% win rate). However, Johnston-Porter's 17% Belmont strike rate and the horse's proven ability at this venue suggest he can overcome the wide gate. The class rise from Rest 1 Metro Win to BM66+ is significant, but his track/distance dominance and improving form trend (2 wins from last 5) indicate he's ready for this level.

  1. 1st6MagniqueChanel Cooper$21.00
  2. 2nd13Spicy ThangHolly Nottle$2.90
  3. 3rd7HedawoodClint Johnston-Porter$10.00
  4. 4th11Jelly Can RunJason Whiting$41.00
Full result · 14 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Magnique7Chanel CooperSimon Miller55kg$21.00
2nd13Spicy Thang1Holly NottleT M Andrews53.5kg$2.90
3rd7Hedawood15Clint Johnston-PorterLuke Fernie56.5kg$10.00
4th11Jelly Can Run8Jason WhitingG C Ballantyne55.5kg$41.00
5th3Shmoov Moova13Chloe AzzopardiSimon Miller58kg$11.00
6th10Daytona Pete12Shaun Mc GruddyS J Wolfe55.5kg$14.00
7th4Brave Spirit10Austin GalatiT J Stone57.5kg$81.00
8th8Urquharts Bluff3Lisa StaplesP H Jordan56.5kg$41.00
9th2Cash Away9Holly WatsonQ R Jackson58kg$151.00
10th9Gi Gi Pops11Natasha FaithfullT W Crosby56kg$9.50
11th15Kelora4Jade Mc NaughtN D Parnham54.5kg$201.00
12th1Eliteone14Natika RiordanSimon Miller56kg$21.00
13th5Let's Talk5Laqdar RamolyJ P Taylor57.5kg$17.00
14th14Brazen Butcher2Lucy F FioreJosh Brown54.5kg$3.70
Scr12Allentown6Brad ParnhamC & M Gangemi55kg
R7

WAROA - Belmont Guineas

16:20 local1600mListedOpen$125,000
Winner12. Hot And HighSP $2.60
★ Top pickWon
12Hot And High

Our price $2.20 · SP $2.60 · Lucy F Fiore

Hot And High presents as the standout selection with an exceptional record of 5 wins from 6 starts including a close second in Listed grade last start. The filly has proven class credentials, winning three consecutive races before her last start placing, and boasts a perfect record on Good tracks. The Lucy Fiore/D M Luciani combination is firing at 67%, and the filly's consistency (100% place rate) provides confidence despite the class rise.

2nd pick13th
3Vatican Storm

Our price $4.50 · SP $6.00 · Clint Johnston-Porter

The gelding boasts an outstanding record on Good tracks (75% win rate) and has proven class credentials with 3 wins from 6 starts.

3rd pick5th
13Ladies Pro

Our price $7.00 · SP $15.00 · Chloe Azzopardi

Ladies Pro presents as a strong each-way proposition after winning her last start Open race at this track. The filly has proven class credentials with a Group 2 placing at 1600m and boasts a perfect record at Belmont Park (2 wins from 2 starts). While her exceptional soft track record (100% win rate) is less relevant on today's Good surface, her last start win demonstrated she can handle the conditions. The 35-day freshen-up suits her progressive profile, and the distance is proven. However, the jockey change from William Pike to Chloe Azzopardi and the wide barrier present concerns.

Value pick7th
2Westbound

Our price $7.50 · SP $9.00 · Troy Turner

The gelding has demonstrated class with a Listed placing last start and boasts an excellent record on Good tracks (50% win rate). While the significant class rise and wide barrier present challenges, his progressive profile and proven distance credentials make him a value proposition.

  1. 1st12Hot And HighLucy F Fiore$2.60
  2. 2nd11Prince Of DalaBrad Parnham$11.00
  3. 3rd10HeraultBrayden Gaerth$41.00
  4. 4th15Like ClockworkPatrick Carbery$4.80
Full result · 16 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st12Hot And High6Lucy F FioreD M Luciani55kg$2.60
2nd11Prince Of Dala9Brad ParnhamS J Miller57kg$11.00
3rd10Herault1Brayden GaerthJ F Miller57kg$41.00
4th15Like Clockwork8Patrick CarberyMichael Grantham55kg$4.80
5th13Ladies Pro11Chloe AzzopardiG & A Williams55kg$15.00
6th4Lanfranco5Shaun O'DonnellRussell Stewart57kg$21.00
7th2Westbound10Troy TurnerMichael Grantham57kg$9.00
8th16A Summer Fling3Natasha FaithfullD & B Pearce55kg$51.00
9th9Linchpin2Holly NottleD T McAuliffe57kg$81.00
10th6Fiery Spark17Shaun Mc GruddyS J Wolfe57kg$201.00
11th8Spellborn13Steven ParnhamS V Vahala57kg$81.00
12th1Castle Road4Lisa StaplesP H Jordan57kg$151.00
13th3Vatican Storm15Clint Johnston-PorterS V Vahala57kg$6.00
14th14Pony Up12Jason BrownP H Jordan55kg$201.00
15th7Western Ace7Joey AzzopardiT M Andrews57kg$61.00
16th5Peaceful Ruler16Paul HarveyS J Miller57kg$51.00
Scr17King Of The Town14Austin GalatiSummer Dickson57kg
R8

Happy 70th Birthday Fred White (Bm72+)

16:50 local1400mBenchMark 72+$80,000
Winner6. Awesome BoySP $1.70
★ Top pickWon
6Awesome Boy

Our price $2.50 · SP $1.70 · Brandon Louis

Awesome Boy is the standout selection based on current form trajectory and proven suitability. The class rise is a concern, but his progressive profile (lightly raced at 16 starts vs field average of 30+) and strong recent placings suggest he's ready. Maps perfectly for Belmont's positional bias - will settle midfield from barrier 12 and be positioned top-3 at the 400m, which wins 14% on Good tracks here. The slow tempo suits his racing pattern, and the 1kg weight drop to 56kg is a positive. Jockey Brandon Louis has an excellent 17% strike rate on this horse.

2nd pick2nd
3Supersession

Our price $5.00 · SP $9.00 · Lucy F Fiore

Supersession presents as the strongest each-way proposition with excellent recent form and proven Belmont credentials. The barrier 10 draw is ideal for settling in the crucial midfield position that wins 12-14% at Belmont on Good tracks. While he's 0-0-0 at this exact track/distance, his overall Belmont record (1-1-3 from 13) and recent form at the venue are strong positives. The Fiore/Durrant combination is in good form, and the slow tempo suits his pattern of settling handy and finishing. The 1400m distance is a slight query (0 wins from 4 attempts), but recent placings at the trip suggest he's competitive.

3rd pick4th
5Earthstorm

Our price $6.00 · SP $6.50 · Shaun O'Donnell

The drop from Listed to BM72+ grade suggests stable concerns, and jockey Shaun O'Donnell has a poor 3% strike rate at Belmont. The slow tempo is problematic - she needs pace to run at, and with no genuine leaders, she may be caught wide or forced to lead from barrier 1. Her 5% career win rate and 18% place rate indicate inconsistency. Better value exists elsewhere, but she's included as a place chance given the inside draw and class edge.

Value pick7th
8Olympic Park

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.50 · Brad Parnham

He's a perfect 1-0-0 first up (50% strike rate) and won fresh last campaign at Ascot. His Good track record is exceptional (40% win rate, 80% place rate from 5 starts), and he's proven at 1400m (2 wins from 3 starts). The 483-day spell is a concern, but elite trainers like Grantham often have horses ready first-up, and the Brad Parnham booking signals stable confidence. While he's unproven at Belmont, his class and first-up ability transcend track familiarity. The slow tempo suits his racing pattern, and barrier 7 allows tactical positioning.

  1. 1st6Awesome BoyBrandon Louis$1.70
  2. 2nd3SupersessionLucy F Fiore$9.00
  3. 3rd4ExceltrainZephen Johnston-Porter$31.00
  4. 4th5EarthstormShaun O'Donnell$6.50
Full result · 13 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st6Awesome Boy12Brandon LouisB M Kay56kg$1.70
2nd3Supersession10Lucy F FioreA G Durrant58kg$9.00
3rd4Exceltrain8Zephen Johnston-PorterD & B Pearce55.5kg$31.00
4th5Earthstorm1Shaun O'DonnellRussell Stewart57kg$6.50
5th9Cherry Can Run11Jason WhitingG C Ballantyne54kg$61.00
6th1Currimundi2Shaun Mc GruddyS J Wolfe62.5kg$101.00
7th8Olympic Park7Brad ParnhamMichael Grantham55kg$7.50
8th10Decision Maker5Laqdar RamolyN D Parnham54kg$71.00
9th7Cold Shizzle3Holly NottleD T McAuliffe54.5kg$18.00
10th12Thehorseman6Joey AzzopardiA W Hughes54kg$19.00
11th2Lavalier4Steven ParnhamN D Parnham60kg$101.00
12th11Lombadina9Cassey MartinanMichael Grantham51kg$31.00
13th13Zadar Rock13Troy TurnerMichelle Hagley54kg$151.00

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