Roma tips and results

Our price $3.00 · SP $4.80 · Amy Graham

Celtic Light presents as the most reliable maiden prospect despite wet track concerns. The filly has shown consistent improvement through her four-start career, culminating in a solid 3rd at Swan Hill over 1200m. Her proven distance form, advantageous draw, and progressive trajectory outweigh the soft track unknown. The Baker stable's strong representation (3 runners) suggests confidence, and barrier 3 positions her perfectly for Roma's forward-bias track. While the wet surface is untested, her class edge and tactical advantage make her the selection to beat.

Our price $4.50 · SP $7.00 · Kayla Barker

Windorah emerges as the strongest threat to Wolfgang with compelling soft track credentials. Won on Soft 5 at Barcaldine (1000m) in March 2026, demonstrating genuine wet track ability. The 50% win rate on soft tracks (1 from 2) is superior to most rivals. Critical advantage is Roma track experience with a placing from one start, providing valuable course knowledge. The 1200m distance suits with 1 win and 2 placings from 6 attempts. Consistent form profile (40% place rate overall) indicates reliability. Barrier 1 on Roma's tight circuit can be advantageous for forward-settling types. Recent 3rd at Longreach confirms current fitness.

Our price $2.50 · SP $2.90 · Emma Simsir

Ablett presents as the most reliable winning chance based on exceptional Roma form (5 wins from 7 starts) and strong second-up pattern. Last start Wondai win on Soft (1100m) demonstrates current fitness and wet-track capability. Barrier 1 is crucial on this tight, forward-biased track where top-three at 400m wins 26%. The 1200m step-up suits his racing pattern, and despite carrying 59kg, his class edge over this field is clear.

Our price $8.00 · SP $7.00 · Violet Soulsby

The heavy track credentials (1-1-1 from 5) suggest wet-track capability, though soft record is less convincing. Barrier 2 and light weight 54kg are significant positives on this forward-biased track.

Our price $12.00 · SP $13.00 · Kayla Barker

Laid Back Bon is the value roughie with last-start maiden win momentum and ideal second-up placement. The mare's 1000m record is perfect (1-0-0 from 5), and barrier 4 allows her to settle forward in the moderate tempo. The Barker/Doig combination has proven effective, and the jockey's Roma record (16% strike rate) is solid. However, the complete absence of soft track form is a major concern - this is a total unknown on wet ground. The class rise from Maiden to Class 1 is significant, but the last-start win and second-up pattern suggest she's ready.

Our price $12.00 · SP $13.00 · Scott Sweedman

Last start 2nd at Injune (BM55) 7 days ago shows sharp fitness, and quick backup suits forward-running mare. Jockey Scott Sweedman in career-best form (40% strike rate last 20) and proven 50% strike rate with trainer Rebecca Kerwin. Barrier 9 manageable in moderate tempo for on-pace type. Class rise from BM55 to BM60 is concern, but Roma track advantage and in-form connections offset.

Our price $7.50 · SP $11.00 · Darren Evans

Improving form pattern (1-2-7-6) shows progressive gelding hitting peak, and solid soft track record (1-4-0 from 13 starts) provides confidence. The 14-day backup suits horse in form, and jockey Darren Evans (15% recent strike rate) adds value despite poor Roma record. Barrier 11 is concern but moderate tempo allows settling. Each-way value play for progressive type.

Our price $3.50 · SP $7.00 · Emma Simsir

The soft track form (1-1-0 from 6 starts) is genuine, and dropping 1.5kg while stepping up to a more suitable distance enhances prospects. With no genuine leaders, this horse maps to settle handy and control from barrier 1. The lack of track/distance experience is a concern, but the combination of current form, barrier, conditions, and tempo scenario outweighs this. Jockey booking is a negative but the stable's decision to engage Simsir suggests confidence in the horse's fitness.