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New South Wales · Saturday 4 July 2026

Port Macquarie tips and results

Our top pick won 2 of 6 races at Port Macquarie. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.

Track Soft 7Rail +2m EntireFinePort Macquarie track guide ›
Top pick won2/633%
Any tip won6/6100%
Top pick placed4/667%
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R1

Dux Hot Water Mdn Hcp

13:01 local1004mMaiden$16,000
Winner9. TesorinoSP $1.50
★ Top pickWon
9Tesorino

Our price $2.20 · SP $1.50 · Mikayla Weir

The mare's 3rd placing at this track/distance on Heavy 9 demonstrates suitability, while the improving trend (9th-4th-5th-3rd) and major gear changes indicate stable confidence. However, barrier 1 is a significant concern given weekend Soft bias strongly favours draws 5-12 over inside gates. With 13 starts and no wins, there's a question mark over winning ability despite clear class edge. The slow tempo and need to secure on-pace position (4-6 at 400m optimal) from the inside draw adds tactical risk.

2nd pick6th
7Bon Batan

Our price $12.00 · SP $51.00 · Stephen Cummins

The reapplication of blinkers and engagement of in-form jockey Stephen Cummins (25% recent) suggests stable intent, while the 133-day freshen-up could spark improvement. However, the 6-year-old's 0-from-4 record and lack of soft track success (0-0-0) are concerning, as is the first-up assignment after a long spell.

3rd pick2nd
2In Bocca Al Lupe

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.70 · Raymond Spokes

In Bocca Al Lupe presents a mixed profile with ideal barrier positioning (9) for weekend Soft conditions and a significant gear change (blinkers on/winkers off) suggesting stable intent to spark improvement. The gelding has shown heavy track ability (2nd placing) but no soft track success, and 0 wins from 5 starts raises questions about winning capacity.

Value pick7th
4Carafe

Our price $15.00 · SP $21.00 · Peter Graham

However, significant concerns exist: barrier 3 is highly disadvantageous given weekend Soft bias strongly favouring draws 5-12, and complete absence of soft track experience (0 starts) creates major uncertainty about surface suitability. The jockey booking (Peter Graham 0% recent form, 3% track strike rate) and poor jockey/trainer combination (0 from 25) further diminish confidence.

  1. 1st9TesorinoMikayla Weir$1.50
  2. 2nd2In Bocca Al LupeRaymond Spokes$3.70
  3. 3rd5KrasakiKacie Adams$81.00
  4. 4th8One For HeskoBen Looker$26.00
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st9Tesorino1Mikayla WeirJames Harding56kg$1.50
2nd2In Bocca Al Lupe9Raymond SpokesD L Matts58kg$3.70
3rd5Krasaki2Kacie AdamsD Wagstaff57kg$81.00
4th8One For Hesko8Ben LookerColt Prosser56kg$26.00
5th3Tassie Lee7Liberty SmythMs R Dunn56kg$14.00
6th7Bon Batan5Stephen CumminsG Prosser56kg$51.00
7th4Carafe3Peter GrahamD Wagstaff57kg$21.00
8th1Hear A Symphony6Jeff KehoeS L Quintano58kg$71.00
Scr6The Michael4Jon GrisedaleColt Prosser57kg
R2

Caroma Industries Mdn Plate

13:36 local1204mMaiden$16,000
Winner8. Bound For KosSP $4.00
★ Top pick2nd
5Airburst

Our price $2.00 · SP $3.80 · Ben Looker

The Snowden-trained filly drops significantly in class from metro racing and draws ideally in barrier 6 for weekend Port Macquarie conditions where draws 5-12 historically outperform. Two recent placings at Taree demonstrate current form, while the gear change signals stable confidence in tactical adjustment. The 2kg weight advantage and proven soft track ability (50% place rate) further enhance prospects. While winless from nine starts is a concern, the class drop and optimal race setup suggest this is the breakthrough opportunity.

2nd pick4th
9Womensworld

Our price $3.50 · SP $2.40 · Liberty Smyth

Womensworld offers strong each-way value as a lightly-raced 2YO filly on an upward trajectory. The Quinn/Smyth combination boasts a 50% strike rate, and barrier 8 sits perfectly in the weekend advantage zone (5-12) at Port Macquarie.

3rd pickWon
8Bound For Kos

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.00 · Jon Grisedale

The 194m distance rise is substantial for a horse with only one career start, and the slow predicted tempo offers no pace assistance. Better suited as a saver in exotics rather than a primary selection.

Value pick5th
7Lykos

Our price $12.00 · SP $51.00 · Stephen Cummins

The Cummins/Prosser combination shows consistency with 6 placings from 13 rides. However, barrier 3 sits outside the weekend advantage zone, and the declining form trend is concerning.

  1. 1st8Bound For KosJon Grisedale$4.00
  2. 2nd5AirburstBen Looker$3.80
  3. 3rd2Habib AlbiJeff Kehoe$4.80
  4. 4th9WomensworldLiberty Smyth$2.40
Full result · 8 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st8Bound For Kos4Jon GrisedaleC Karakatsanis56.5kg$4.00
2nd5Airburst6Ben LookerPaul Snowden57kg$3.80
3rd2Habib Albi1Jeff KehoeAiden St Vincent59kg$4.80
4th9Womensworld8Liberty SmythM P Quinn53kg$2.40
5th7Lykos3Stephen CumminsG Prosser57kg$51.00
6th3Irish Accolade5Grady SpokesJ A Sylvester57kg$61.00
7th4Rips Law9Kody NestorColt Prosser59kg$31.00
8th1Dunnstan7Serg LisnyyMs R Dunn59kg$71.00
Scr6Double Or Quits2Nick Mitchell57kg
R3

Rheem (Bm50)

14:11 local1808mBenchmark 50$16,000
Winner4. FarraigeSP $4.20
★ Top pickWon
4Farraige

Our price $3.80 · SP $4.20 · Peter Graham

Farraige presents as the most reliable winning chance based on comprehensive form analysis. Last start winner at Taree over 2000m in Heavy 9 conditions, now dropping back slightly in distance to a track where he has placed in all three attempts at this exact trip. His wet track credentials are outstanding with 42% placing strike rate across 31 soft/heavy starts. The significant class drop from BM58 to BM50 after a dominant win, combined with the ideal barrier 6 draw for weekend racing at Port Macquarie (where 5-12 outperforms inside draws), positions him perfectly. While Graham's recent form is concerning, the jockey/trainer combination shows 28% placing consistency, and the horse's proven ability at this venue in these conditions outweighs jockey concerns.

2nd pick6th
3Seething Chuck

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.00 · Liberty Smyth

Seething Chuck emerges as the strongest threat to Farraige based on current form trajectory. Placed in last two starts against stronger opposition (BM58 and BM66), now dropping to BM50 where he has won before. With 19 starts at Port Macquarie, he knows the track intimately, and his two wins at 1808m prove distance suitability. The barrier 8 draw is workable for the weekend pattern. Main concern is the 0-0-0 record at this specific track/distance combination, but the class drop and recent form suggest he's ready to break through.

3rd pick7th
8Shelley's Lookout

Our price $7.00 · SP $7.50 · Grady Spokes

With 9 starts at Port Macquarie producing a win and a second, she handles the track well. The significant weight advantage of 56.5kg (3.5kg less than Farraige) is crucial in a BM50 race where small margins decide outcomes. The class drop from Class 1 provides further relief. However, the barrier 2 draw is a concern given weekend bias favoring 5-12, and she has no experience at 1808m. Her soft track record is limited but not disastrous.

Value pick8th
5Highland Hustle

Our price $7.50 · SP $10.00 · Raymond Spokes

The 31-day freshen-up could be ideal timing, and the class drop from BM58 to BM50 provides relief. The barrier 3 draw is inside the weekend disadvantage zone.

  1. 1st4FarraigePeter Graham$4.20
  2. 2nd6Mr VillaBen Looker$12.00
  3. 3rd9Smokey SaintStephen Cummins$14.00
  4. 4th1StrobingGabrielle Johnston$6.50
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st4Farraige6Peter GrahamD Wagstaff60kg$4.20
2nd6Mr Villa5Ben LookerGaye Ball60kg$12.00
3rd9Smokey Saint9Stephen CumminsR N Godbolt58.5kg$14.00
4th1Strobing10Gabrielle JohnstonA P Ball63.5kg$6.50
5th7Flash Prince1Jon GrisedaleMs V McLennan59.5kg$6.50
6th3Seething Chuck8Liberty SmythMs K Owen59.5kg$5.00
7th8Shelley's Lookout2Grady SpokesJ A Sprague56.5kg$7.50
8th5Highland Hustle3Raymond SpokesJohn Higgins60kg$10.00
9th10Memumza Diva7Poppie GortonMs L Thomson54kg$71.00
10th11Foxwedge Arrow11Mikayla WeirJ A Sylvester55kg$31.00
11th2Dancing Tilda4Kody NestorAiden St Vincent61.5kg$26.00
R4

Fienza (Bm50)

14:50 local1004mBenchmark 50$16,000
Winner5. Lika RemiSP $7.50
★ Top pick3rd
8Stiorra

Our price $3.50 · SP $3.20 · Gabrielle Johnston

Stiorra presents as the most likely winner based on class drop and recent form trajectory. The major concern is her 0-from-13 soft track record, but her heavy track success (2 wins) suggests wet track capability. Class advantage and form momentum outweigh surface concerns in this moderate-quality BM50 field.

2nd pickWon
5Lika Remi

Our price $4.00 · SP $7.50 · Serg Lisnyy

Lika Remi brings last-start winning form to this assignment, having saluted at BM50 level over 1305m on Heavy 8. Her perfect 1-from-1 record at today's 1004m distance is a major positive, and the strong jockey/horse combination (29% strike rate) adds confidence. Both career wins have come on heavy tracks, demonstrating wet track proficiency. The 56-day break is a concern, as is her soft track record (0 wins from 5 starts), but her class and proven ability at this level make her a genuine winning chance. Barrier 3 is not ideal for weekend Port Mac racing, but her on-pace style can overcome it.

3rd pick2nd
2Brazen Brando

Our price $4.50 · SP $3.40 · Grady Spokes

His three runner-up finishes in the last five starts demonstrate reliability, and his 2-3-6 soft track record confirms surface suitability. The barrier 5 draw is ideal for weekend Port Mac racing, and he's dropping from BM58 to BM50. At 104 career starts, he's a seasoned campaigner but may lack the upside of younger rivals.

Value pick4th
11Clan D'oro

Our price $25.00 · SP $51.00 · Jon Grisedale

  1. 1st5Lika RemiSerg Lisnyy$7.50
  2. 2nd2Brazen BrandoGrady Spokes$3.40
  3. 3rd8StiorraGabrielle Johnston$3.20
  4. 4th11Clan D'oroJon Grisedale$51.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Lika Remi3Serg LisnyyS J Hodge60.5kg$7.50
2nd2Brazen Brando5Grady SpokesB M Lazzarini60kg$3.40
3rd8Stiorra10Gabrielle JohnstonA D Smith57kg$3.20
4th11Clan D'oro4Jon GrisedaleMs V McLennan55kg$51.00
5th6Typhoon Neta8Ben LookerCassandra Schmidt60kg$26.00
6th1Rare Beauty9Peter GrahamG J Howells62.5kg$41.00
7th10Cosmic Treasure1Poppie GortonJohn Higgins54kg$41.00
8th4Speedy Target11Kody NestorDonna Grisedale61kg$14.00
9th7She's A Wild One6Mikayla WeirColt Prosser59.5kg$8.50
10th9Skates On2Raymond SpokesColt Prosser57.5kg$10.00
11th12Jevington Will Do7Stephen CumminsH R Dew55kg$101.00
12th3Mariko12Liberty SmythA P Ball60kg$14.00
R5

Fisher?s Plumbing Plus (Bm58)

15:26 local1506mBenchmark 58$16,000
Winner9. Spring BlossomSP $2.25
★ Top pick7th
3Venom Wolf

Our price $4.00 · SP $4.00 · Raymond Spokes

Venom Wolf presents as the most reliable winning chance based on proven soft track ability and distance suitability. The strong Spokes/Matts combination (25% strike rate) and consistent BM58 performances make this the form selection. While barrier 8 requires some early positioning work, weekend racing at Port Mac favours mid-barriers. The 59kg is manageable for a horse in regular racing rhythm.

2nd pickWon
9Spring Blossom

Our price $4.50 · SP $2.25 · Grady Spokes

Spring Blossom is a high-risk, high-reward proposition stepping sharply from maiden to BM58 grade. However, the perfect soft track record, ideal barrier draw (5), and significant weight advantage (55.5kg vs 60kg top weight) create a genuine winning chance. The debut win on Soft 5 over 1200m showed ability, and the 306m step-up suits the pedigree (Flying Artie). The class rise is the major concern in this volatile BM58 grade, but the conditions alignment and weight pull make this a legitimate each-way chance.

3rd pick4th
10Percolate

Our price $12.00 · SP $14.00 · Ben Looker

Percolate is the value play with elite natural speed that could prove decisive in a slow-tempo race. The slow predicted tempo suits a horse with tactical speed who can position forward without pressure.

Value pick9th
11Think I'm Irish

Our price $10.00 · SP $18.00 · Peter Graham

Think I'm Irish is the value roughie based purely on course-and-distance form, having won at this exact Port Macquarie 1506m configuration previously. Recent form shows improvement with a 2nd placing last start, and barrier 9 sits in the favoured weekend range for soft conditions.

  1. 1st9Spring BlossomGrady Spokes$2.25
  2. 2nd12Grand VoileLiberty Smyth$6.50
  3. 3rd7DreymonMikayla Weir$12.00
  4. 4th10PercolateBen Looker$14.00
Full result · 11 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st9Spring Blossom5Grady SpokesC Karakatsanis55.5kg$2.25
2nd12Grand Voile14Liberty SmythK A Lees53kg$6.50
3rd7Dreymon2Mikayla WeirA D Smith57.5kg$12.00
4th10Percolate6Ben LookerJ C Deamer56kg$14.00
5th4Charmed Destiny1Teighan WorsnopJ A Sprague58kg$31.00
6th6Ken'ker3Kacie AdamsD Wagstaff58kg$18.00
7th3Venom Wolf8Raymond SpokesD L Matts59kg$4.00
8th16Gold Something15Ms M De Gonneville55kg$101.00
9th11Think I'm Irish9Peter GrahamD Wagstaff56kg$18.00
10th5Deep Drive12Kody NestorTerry Evans58kg$26.00
11th8Look At Mego11Jon GrisedaleR Simonetta57.5kg$61.00
Scr1Need For Spieth5Indiana Turner60kg
Scr2Rose Water7Ben LookerJ C Deamer60kg
Scr13Winters Ending10Nick Mitchell55kg
Scr14Counterpart13Jonathan Smith55kg
Scr15Rebel One4M J Robinson55kg
R6

Rinnai (Bm50)

16:05 local1204mBenchmark 50$16,000
Winner5. AerofoilSP $6.50
★ Top pick6th
15Posh Annie

Our price $8.00 · SP $26.00

Her maiden win at Port Macquarie on Soft 5 is directly relevant, and the barrier 12 draw is ideal for weekend racing here where mid-draws (5-12) significantly outperform inside barriers. While form is patchy, the class drop from Class 1 to BM50 combined with track/condition suitability and tactical speed advantage in a slow-tempo race makes this a strong value proposition.

2nd pick9th
4Little Prophet

Our price $6.00 · SP $7.00 · Ben Looker

Little Prophet brings strong credentials with a significant class drop and proven soft track ability. Ben Looker's 20% recent strike rate adds confidence. However, barrier 17 is a major obstacle at Port Macquarie's turning 1204m circuit.

3rd pickWon
5Aerofoil

Our price $10.00 · SP $6.50 · Liberty Smyth

Aerofoil's perfect track and distance record is compelling - won his maiden here at 1200m on Good 4. Barrier 9 is ideal for the weekend racing pattern at Port Macquarie. However, the complete lack of soft track form (0 from 3) is a significant concern on today's Soft 5 surface. The class rise from Class 1 to BM50 is also notable.

Value pick3rd
6Just One Look

Our price $8.00 · SP $12.00 · Kody Nestor

The track record of 4:1-0-0 including a placing at this distance two starts ago demonstrates genuine affinity for the venue. Soft track form of 19:1-3-2 shows consistent ability on rain-affected ground. Last start placed at BM50 on Heavy 9 confirms he's competitive at this level. The main concern is barrier 4, which is disadvantageous for weekend racing here where the bias favors 5-12. Kody Nestor's poor recent form is also a negative.

  1. 1st5AerofoilLiberty Smyth$6.50
  2. 2nd3Winter StormJon Grisedale$3.50
  3. 3rd6Just One LookKody Nestor$12.00
  4. 4th13Enzoni$26.00
Full result · 12 runners
FinishNo.HorseBarrierJockeyTrainerWeightSP
1st5Aerofoil9Liberty SmythJ A Sprague58.5kg$6.50
2nd3Winter Storm5Jon GrisedaleDonna Grisedale61.5kg$3.50
3rd6Just One Look4Kody NestorJ D Cooper59.5kg$12.00
4th13Enzoni13Cassandra Schmidt58.5kg$26.00
5th2Atomic Selfie6Grady SpokesIndiana Turner61kg$4.80
6th15Posh Annie12M N Howard56kg$26.00
7th10Bianco Nero15Stephen CumminsG Prosser57.5kg$12.00
8th8Rivoli Star1Peter GrahamPeter Graham59kg$12.00
9th4Little Prophet17Ben LookerColt Prosser61kg$7.00
10th11Enchanted World8Kacie AdamsN J Rogers57.5kg$21.00
11th12Gold Melody3Poppie GortonLyndall Olson54.5kg$17.00
12th14Counterpart16Jonathan Smith58kg$101.00
Scr1Out Of Luck14Indiana Turner65kg
Scr7Eaglescliffe14Raymond SpokesTroy O'Neile59kg
Scr9Reel Torque2Daniel Wheeler58.5kg
Scr16The Final Say11Serg LisnyyS J Hodge55kg
Scr17Skittlz7Nick Mitchell56kg
Scr18Pride Of Lanka10J Kehoe55.5kg

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