The mare's 3rd placing at this track/distance on Heavy 9 demonstrates suitability, while the improving trend (9th-4th-5th-3rd) and major gear changes indicate stable confidence. However, barrier 1 is a significant concern given weekend Soft bias strongly favours draws 5-12 over inside gates. With 13 starts and no wins, there's a question mark over winning ability despite clear class edge. The slow tempo and need to secure on-pace position (4-6 at 400m optimal) from the inside draw adds tactical risk.
New South Wales · Saturday 4 July 2026
Port Macquarie tips and results
Our top pick won 2 of 6 races at Port Macquarie. Every pick, our analysis and the full results are below.
top pick wonanother tip wonno tip won
Dux Hot Water Mdn Hcp
The reapplication of blinkers and engagement of in-form jockey Stephen Cummins (25% recent) suggests stable intent, while the 133-day freshen-up could spark improvement. However, the 6-year-old's 0-from-4 record and lack of soft track success (0-0-0) are concerning, as is the first-up assignment after a long spell.
In Bocca Al Lupe presents a mixed profile with ideal barrier positioning (9) for weekend Soft conditions and a significant gear change (blinkers on/winkers off) suggesting stable intent to spark improvement. The gelding has shown heavy track ability (2nd placing) but no soft track success, and 0 wins from 5 starts raises questions about winning capacity.
However, significant concerns exist: barrier 3 is highly disadvantageous given weekend Soft bias strongly favouring draws 5-12, and complete absence of soft track experience (0 starts) creates major uncertainty about surface suitability. The jockey booking (Peter Graham 0% recent form, 3% track strike rate) and poor jockey/trainer combination (0 from 25) further diminish confidence.
- 1st9TesorinoMikayla Weir$1.50
- 2nd2In Bocca Al LupeRaymond Spokes$3.70
- 3rd5KrasakiKacie Adams$81.00
- 4th8One For HeskoBen Looker$26.00
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Tesorino | 1 | Mikayla Weir | James Harding | 56kg | $1.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | In Bocca Al Lupe | 9 | Raymond Spokes | D L Matts | 58kg | $3.70 |
| 3rd | 5 | Krasaki | 2 | Kacie Adams | D Wagstaff | 57kg | $81.00 |
| 4th | 8 | One For Hesko | 8 | Ben Looker | Colt Prosser | 56kg | $26.00 |
| 5th | 3 | Tassie Lee | 7 | Liberty Smyth | Ms R Dunn | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 6th | 7 | Bon Batan | 5 | Stephen Cummins | G Prosser | 56kg | $51.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Carafe | 3 | Peter Graham | D Wagstaff | 57kg | $21.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Hear A Symphony | 6 | Jeff Kehoe | S L Quintano | 58kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 6 | The Michael | 4 | Jon Grisedale | Colt Prosser | 57kg |
Caroma Industries Mdn Plate
The Snowden-trained filly drops significantly in class from metro racing and draws ideally in barrier 6 for weekend Port Macquarie conditions where draws 5-12 historically outperform. Two recent placings at Taree demonstrate current form, while the gear change signals stable confidence in tactical adjustment. The 2kg weight advantage and proven soft track ability (50% place rate) further enhance prospects. While winless from nine starts is a concern, the class drop and optimal race setup suggest this is the breakthrough opportunity.
Womensworld offers strong each-way value as a lightly-raced 2YO filly on an upward trajectory. The Quinn/Smyth combination boasts a 50% strike rate, and barrier 8 sits perfectly in the weekend advantage zone (5-12) at Port Macquarie.
The 194m distance rise is substantial for a horse with only one career start, and the slow predicted tempo offers no pace assistance. Better suited as a saver in exotics rather than a primary selection.
The Cummins/Prosser combination shows consistency with 6 placings from 13 rides. However, barrier 3 sits outside the weekend advantage zone, and the declining form trend is concerning.
- 1st8Bound For KosJon Grisedale$4.00
- 2nd5AirburstBen Looker$3.80
- 3rd2Habib AlbiJeff Kehoe$4.80
- 4th9WomensworldLiberty Smyth$2.40
Full result · 8 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8 | Bound For Kos | 4 | Jon Grisedale | C Karakatsanis | 56.5kg | $4.00 |
| 2nd | 5 | Airburst | 6 | Ben Looker | Paul Snowden | 57kg | $3.80 |
| 3rd | 2 | Habib Albi | 1 | Jeff Kehoe | Aiden St Vincent | 59kg | $4.80 |
| 4th | 9 | Womensworld | 8 | Liberty Smyth | M P Quinn | 53kg | $2.40 |
| 5th | 7 | Lykos | 3 | Stephen Cummins | G Prosser | 57kg | $51.00 |
| 6th | 3 | Irish Accolade | 5 | Grady Spokes | J A Sylvester | 57kg | $61.00 |
| 7th | 4 | Rips Law | 9 | Kody Nestor | Colt Prosser | 59kg | $31.00 |
| 8th | 1 | Dunnstan | 7 | Serg Lisnyy | Ms R Dunn | 59kg | $71.00 |
| Scr | 6 | Double Or Quits | 2 | Nick Mitchell | 57kg |
Rheem (Bm50)
Farraige presents as the most reliable winning chance based on comprehensive form analysis. Last start winner at Taree over 2000m in Heavy 9 conditions, now dropping back slightly in distance to a track where he has placed in all three attempts at this exact trip. His wet track credentials are outstanding with 42% placing strike rate across 31 soft/heavy starts. The significant class drop from BM58 to BM50 after a dominant win, combined with the ideal barrier 6 draw for weekend racing at Port Macquarie (where 5-12 outperforms inside draws), positions him perfectly. While Graham's recent form is concerning, the jockey/trainer combination shows 28% placing consistency, and the horse's proven ability at this venue in these conditions outweighs jockey concerns.
Seething Chuck emerges as the strongest threat to Farraige based on current form trajectory. Placed in last two starts against stronger opposition (BM58 and BM66), now dropping to BM50 where he has won before. With 19 starts at Port Macquarie, he knows the track intimately, and his two wins at 1808m prove distance suitability. The barrier 8 draw is workable for the weekend pattern. Main concern is the 0-0-0 record at this specific track/distance combination, but the class drop and recent form suggest he's ready to break through.
With 9 starts at Port Macquarie producing a win and a second, she handles the track well. The significant weight advantage of 56.5kg (3.5kg less than Farraige) is crucial in a BM50 race where small margins decide outcomes. The class drop from Class 1 provides further relief. However, the barrier 2 draw is a concern given weekend bias favoring 5-12, and she has no experience at 1808m. Her soft track record is limited but not disastrous.
The 31-day freshen-up could be ideal timing, and the class drop from BM58 to BM50 provides relief. The barrier 3 draw is inside the weekend disadvantage zone.
- 1st4FarraigePeter Graham$4.20
- 2nd6Mr VillaBen Looker$12.00
- 3rd9Smokey SaintStephen Cummins$14.00
- 4th1StrobingGabrielle Johnston$6.50
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Farraige | 6 | Peter Graham | D Wagstaff | 60kg | $4.20 |
| 2nd | 6 | Mr Villa | 5 | Ben Looker | Gaye Ball | 60kg | $12.00 |
| 3rd | 9 | Smokey Saint | 9 | Stephen Cummins | R N Godbolt | 58.5kg | $14.00 |
| 4th | 1 | Strobing | 10 | Gabrielle Johnston | A P Ball | 63.5kg | $6.50 |
| 5th | 7 | Flash Prince | 1 | Jon Grisedale | Ms V McLennan | 59.5kg | $6.50 |
| 6th | 3 | Seething Chuck | 8 | Liberty Smyth | Ms K Owen | 59.5kg | $5.00 |
| 7th | 8 | Shelley's Lookout | 2 | Grady Spokes | J A Sprague | 56.5kg | $7.50 |
| 8th | 5 | Highland Hustle | 3 | Raymond Spokes | John Higgins | 60kg | $10.00 |
| 9th | 10 | Memumza Diva | 7 | Poppie Gorton | Ms L Thomson | 54kg | $71.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Foxwedge Arrow | 11 | Mikayla Weir | J A Sylvester | 55kg | $31.00 |
| 11th | 2 | Dancing Tilda | 4 | Kody Nestor | Aiden St Vincent | 61.5kg | $26.00 |
Fienza (Bm50)
Stiorra presents as the most likely winner based on class drop and recent form trajectory. The major concern is her 0-from-13 soft track record, but her heavy track success (2 wins) suggests wet track capability. Class advantage and form momentum outweigh surface concerns in this moderate-quality BM50 field.
Lika Remi brings last-start winning form to this assignment, having saluted at BM50 level over 1305m on Heavy 8. Her perfect 1-from-1 record at today's 1004m distance is a major positive, and the strong jockey/horse combination (29% strike rate) adds confidence. Both career wins have come on heavy tracks, demonstrating wet track proficiency. The 56-day break is a concern, as is her soft track record (0 wins from 5 starts), but her class and proven ability at this level make her a genuine winning chance. Barrier 3 is not ideal for weekend Port Mac racing, but her on-pace style can overcome it.
His three runner-up finishes in the last five starts demonstrate reliability, and his 2-3-6 soft track record confirms surface suitability. The barrier 5 draw is ideal for weekend Port Mac racing, and he's dropping from BM58 to BM50. At 104 career starts, he's a seasoned campaigner but may lack the upside of younger rivals.
- 1st5Lika RemiSerg Lisnyy$7.50
- 2nd2Brazen BrandoGrady Spokes$3.40
- 3rd8StiorraGabrielle Johnston$3.20
- 4th11Clan D'oroJon Grisedale$51.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Lika Remi | 3 | Serg Lisnyy | S J Hodge | 60.5kg | $7.50 |
| 2nd | 2 | Brazen Brando | 5 | Grady Spokes | B M Lazzarini | 60kg | $3.40 |
| 3rd | 8 | Stiorra | 10 | Gabrielle Johnston | A D Smith | 57kg | $3.20 |
| 4th | 11 | Clan D'oro | 4 | Jon Grisedale | Ms V McLennan | 55kg | $51.00 |
| 5th | 6 | Typhoon Neta | 8 | Ben Looker | Cassandra Schmidt | 60kg | $26.00 |
| 6th | 1 | Rare Beauty | 9 | Peter Graham | G J Howells | 62.5kg | $41.00 |
| 7th | 10 | Cosmic Treasure | 1 | Poppie Gorton | John Higgins | 54kg | $41.00 |
| 8th | 4 | Speedy Target | 11 | Kody Nestor | Donna Grisedale | 61kg | $14.00 |
| 9th | 7 | She's A Wild One | 6 | Mikayla Weir | Colt Prosser | 59.5kg | $8.50 |
| 10th | 9 | Skates On | 2 | Raymond Spokes | Colt Prosser | 57.5kg | $10.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Jevington Will Do | 7 | Stephen Cummins | H R Dew | 55kg | $101.00 |
| 12th | 3 | Mariko | 12 | Liberty Smyth | A P Ball | 60kg | $14.00 |
Fisher?s Plumbing Plus (Bm58)
Venom Wolf presents as the most reliable winning chance based on proven soft track ability and distance suitability. The strong Spokes/Matts combination (25% strike rate) and consistent BM58 performances make this the form selection. While barrier 8 requires some early positioning work, weekend racing at Port Mac favours mid-barriers. The 59kg is manageable for a horse in regular racing rhythm.
Spring Blossom is a high-risk, high-reward proposition stepping sharply from maiden to BM58 grade. However, the perfect soft track record, ideal barrier draw (5), and significant weight advantage (55.5kg vs 60kg top weight) create a genuine winning chance. The debut win on Soft 5 over 1200m showed ability, and the 306m step-up suits the pedigree (Flying Artie). The class rise is the major concern in this volatile BM58 grade, but the conditions alignment and weight pull make this a legitimate each-way chance.
Percolate is the value play with elite natural speed that could prove decisive in a slow-tempo race. The slow predicted tempo suits a horse with tactical speed who can position forward without pressure.
Think I'm Irish is the value roughie based purely on course-and-distance form, having won at this exact Port Macquarie 1506m configuration previously. Recent form shows improvement with a 2nd placing last start, and barrier 9 sits in the favoured weekend range for soft conditions.
- 1st9Spring BlossomGrady Spokes$2.25
- 2nd12Grand VoileLiberty Smyth$6.50
- 3rd7DreymonMikayla Weir$12.00
- 4th10PercolateBen Looker$14.00
Full result · 11 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 9 | Spring Blossom | 5 | Grady Spokes | C Karakatsanis | 55.5kg | $2.25 |
| 2nd | 12 | Grand Voile | 14 | Liberty Smyth | K A Lees | 53kg | $6.50 |
| 3rd | 7 | Dreymon | 2 | Mikayla Weir | A D Smith | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 10 | Percolate | 6 | Ben Looker | J C Deamer | 56kg | $14.00 |
| 5th | 4 | Charmed Destiny | 1 | Teighan Worsnop | J A Sprague | 58kg | $31.00 |
| 6th | 6 | Ken'ker | 3 | Kacie Adams | D Wagstaff | 58kg | $18.00 |
| 7th | 3 | Venom Wolf | 8 | Raymond Spokes | D L Matts | 59kg | $4.00 |
| 8th | 16 | Gold Something | 15 | Ms M De Gonneville | 55kg | $101.00 | |
| 9th | 11 | Think I'm Irish | 9 | Peter Graham | D Wagstaff | 56kg | $18.00 |
| 10th | 5 | Deep Drive | 12 | Kody Nestor | Terry Evans | 58kg | $26.00 |
| 11th | 8 | Look At Mego | 11 | Jon Grisedale | R Simonetta | 57.5kg | $61.00 |
| Scr | 1 | Need For Spieth | 5 | Indiana Turner | 60kg | ||
| Scr | 2 | Rose Water | 7 | Ben Looker | J C Deamer | 60kg | |
| Scr | 13 | Winters Ending | 10 | Nick Mitchell | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 14 | Counterpart | 13 | Jonathan Smith | 55kg | ||
| Scr | 15 | Rebel One | 4 | M J Robinson | 55kg |
Rinnai (Bm50)
Her maiden win at Port Macquarie on Soft 5 is directly relevant, and the barrier 12 draw is ideal for weekend racing here where mid-draws (5-12) significantly outperform inside barriers. While form is patchy, the class drop from Class 1 to BM50 combined with track/condition suitability and tactical speed advantage in a slow-tempo race makes this a strong value proposition.
Little Prophet brings strong credentials with a significant class drop and proven soft track ability. Ben Looker's 20% recent strike rate adds confidence. However, barrier 17 is a major obstacle at Port Macquarie's turning 1204m circuit.
Aerofoil's perfect track and distance record is compelling - won his maiden here at 1200m on Good 4. Barrier 9 is ideal for the weekend racing pattern at Port Macquarie. However, the complete lack of soft track form (0 from 3) is a significant concern on today's Soft 5 surface. The class rise from Class 1 to BM50 is also notable.
The track record of 4:1-0-0 including a placing at this distance two starts ago demonstrates genuine affinity for the venue. Soft track form of 19:1-3-2 shows consistent ability on rain-affected ground. Last start placed at BM50 on Heavy 9 confirms he's competitive at this level. The main concern is barrier 4, which is disadvantageous for weekend racing here where the bias favors 5-12. Kody Nestor's poor recent form is also a negative.
- 1st5AerofoilLiberty Smyth$6.50
- 2nd3Winter StormJon Grisedale$3.50
- 3rd6Just One LookKody Nestor$12.00
- 4th13Enzoni$26.00
Full result · 12 runners
| Finish | No. | Horse | Barrier | Jockey | Trainer | Weight | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5 | Aerofoil | 9 | Liberty Smyth | J A Sprague | 58.5kg | $6.50 |
| 2nd | 3 | Winter Storm | 5 | Jon Grisedale | Donna Grisedale | 61.5kg | $3.50 |
| 3rd | 6 | Just One Look | 4 | Kody Nestor | J D Cooper | 59.5kg | $12.00 |
| 4th | 13 | Enzoni | 13 | Cassandra Schmidt | 58.5kg | $26.00 | |
| 5th | 2 | Atomic Selfie | 6 | Grady Spokes | Indiana Turner | 61kg | $4.80 |
| 6th | 15 | Posh Annie | 12 | M N Howard | 56kg | $26.00 | |
| 7th | 10 | Bianco Nero | 15 | Stephen Cummins | G Prosser | 57.5kg | $12.00 |
| 8th | 8 | Rivoli Star | 1 | Peter Graham | Peter Graham | 59kg | $12.00 |
| 9th | 4 | Little Prophet | 17 | Ben Looker | Colt Prosser | 61kg | $7.00 |
| 10th | 11 | Enchanted World | 8 | Kacie Adams | N J Rogers | 57.5kg | $21.00 |
| 11th | 12 | Gold Melody | 3 | Poppie Gorton | Lyndall Olson | 54.5kg | $17.00 |
| 12th | 14 | Counterpart | 16 | Jonathan Smith | 58kg | $101.00 | |
| Scr | 1 | Out Of Luck | 14 | Indiana Turner | 65kg | ||
| Scr | 7 | Eaglescliffe | 14 | Raymond Spokes | Troy O'Neile | 59kg | |
| Scr | 9 | Reel Torque | 2 | Daniel Wheeler | 58.5kg | ||
| Scr | 16 | The Final Say | 11 | Serg Lisnyy | S J Hodge | 55kg | |
| Scr | 17 | Skittlz | 7 | Nick Mitchell | 56kg | ||
| Scr | 18 | Pride Of Lanka | 10 | J Kehoe | 55.5kg |
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