Waverley tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.30 · Leah Hemi

While both career starts were on Heavy 10 (including a 3rd at this distance), Soft 7 is a different proposition. The in-form jockey Leah Hemi (25% recent SR) is a major positive, and the improving trend (8th to 3rd) suggests progression. However, barrier 1 is not ideal at Waverley where 1-4 wins 15% but the bias favours slightly wider. The top weight and inexperience are concerns in a maiden where proven form at the conditions typically prevails.

Our price $7.00 · SP $17.00 · Floor Moerman

Today draws barrier 8, a massive positional advantage. With 18 soft track starts and proven ability at 1400m, she's well-suited. The improving form trend (2-8-9-9-5-6) and ability to handle forward positions in a slow tempo make her the value selection to finally break through.

Our price $10.00 · SP $12.70 · Kelly Myers

Zashubo is the value roughie based on the strong Myers/Sharrock combination (17% strike rate). Second up after a 46-day freshen, she should be fitter than her first-up 7th. Barrier 7 is ideal for positioning forward in the predicted slow tempo. While she's yet to place in 4 starts, the 4th at Wanganui in heavy conditions shows she can handle wet tracks.

Our price $5.00 · SP $7.90 · Rihaan Goyaram

Desert Jewel represents a classic case where stable quality and race setup override limited form data. Andrew Forsman is an elite trainer with proven maiden success, and the booking of Rihaan Goyaram (13% strike rate with stable) signals intent. The barrier 2 draw is crucial on Soft at Waverley where inside gates dominate. The Maiden Override Rule applies here - absence of extensive data doesn't equal negative when elite connections and ideal setup align.

Our price $8.00 · SP $11.30 · Kavish Chowdhoory

The natural fitness progression second-up typically yields further improvement, and the Time Test breeding suggests the 1650m staying test is well within range. Kavish Chowdhoory's 17% strike rate at Waverley is a positive, and the proven wet track ability is crucial. Each-way appeal given the limited sample size but clear upside.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Floor Moerman

The quick 13-day backup and minimal 55kg weight are significant advantages, while jockey Floor Moerman has a perfect record on the horse. However, the class rise from Maiden to BM65 is substantial, and with only 2 career starts, she's very inexperienced at this level. The draw (2) is also noted as disadvantageous at Waverley. While the trajectory is exciting and the weight advantage real, the combination of class rise and limited exposure makes this a risky proposition. Each-way value for those believing in rapid improvement.

Our price $6.50 · SP $5.70 · Toni Davies

Testing boasts a perfect 100% first-up record with both wins coming at 1200m on wet tracks, suggesting the Bergerson stable has a proven fresh preparation formula. The light 53kg and barrier 5 are ideal, but significant concerns exist around the long 222-day spell, unproven Soft track form (prefers Heavy), and poor last-up effort. The first-up pattern is compelling but Soft 7 may not suit as well as Heavy conditions.

Our price $9.00 · SP $6.30 · Hyeontaek Oh

Im Bartholomew has proven BM75 credentials with a narrow second two starts back and strong wet track form, particularly on Heavy. However, barrier 11 is a major concern on a tight Waverley track that strongly favours inside draws, and the jockey booking (Oh at 5% strike rate) is uninspiring. Needs luck and pace to work out from wide gate.

Our price $5.50 · SP $4.30 · Toni Davies

Progressive 4yo gelding who ran an excellent second at this track and distance in January when beaten just a nose. Returns second-up after a solid 4th at BM75 level last start. Won 3 races through the summer including victories at BM65 and BM75, showing progressive form. The inside draw is a significant advantage at Waverley, and the light weight of 53kg helps. However, the step up from BM75 to Open grade is a major concern, and his soft track record is only moderate. Represents each-way value but the class rise tempers confidence.

Our price $4.50 · SP $8.10 · Madan Singh

Stella Success is the standout selection based on her perfect Waverley record, including a win at this exact 2200m distance. The progressive 4yo mare won her maiden here, then stepped up to win a BM65 at the track, and most recently won a BM75 at Woodville. While the class rise to Open is notable, her course specialization and proven distance capability at this venue outweigh concerns. The inside barrier suits the track bias, and her wet track form is solid.

Our price $7.00 · SP $15.50 · Leah Hemi

The 5yo mare is a heavy track specialist who should handle the Soft 7, though she may prefer even wetter conditions. Second up from a spell with fitness on her side, and the strong Hemi/horse combination (29% strike rate) adds confidence. The wide barrier 10 is the main concern at this inside-biased track, but if she can overcome the draw, the class and distance experience are there.

Our price $5.00 · SP $9.80 · Kavish Chowdhoory

Summer Breeze is the standout form selection with a proven winning record at this exact track and distance. The class drop from BM75 to BM65 is significant, and recent poor form is easily explained by competing at the higher level. Won here over 1650m on Heavy 9, demonstrating both distance and wet track capability. While barrier 6 isn't ideal at Waverley, the predicted slow tempo allows forward positioning.

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.20 · Floor Moerman

Pinker brings outstanding recent form with consecutive placings and is a proven soft track specialist. However, barrier 17 is catastrophic at Waverley where inside draws dominate on Soft ground. Previously finished 11th here over 1650m from barrier 15, and the track data shows wide draws (9-12) won nothing on Soft. Despite strong form credentials, the barrier draw presents an insurmountable disadvantage on this tight, turning track. Each-way only due to barrier concerns.

Our price $4.50 · SP $17.70 · Leah Hemi

Belzoni presents as the standout value proposition dropping significantly from Open grade where he won last start at Wanganui. The inside barrier is crucial on this Waverley Soft track which heavily favours gates 1-4, and with no genuine leaders, he can control from the front or sit handy. His wet track form is excellent across both soft and heavy, and he's already proven at this venue.

Our price $3.80 · SP $11.40 · Kelly Myers

Last start's Special Conditions win at Ellerslie confirmed his upward curve, and the barrier 4 draw allows him to settle handy in the anticipated slow tempo. However, this represents a significant class test stepping from maiden/BM65 company to BM75, and while the form line is strong, he's untested against this calibre.

Our price $8.00 · SP $10.20 · Toni Davies

Her second-up statistics are outstanding (2:1-0-0), and she drops back from 1800m after winning a BM65 last start. The light weight of 53kg is a major advantage, and she's proven on wet tracks. However, barrier 10 is a significant concern on this inside-favouring circuit, and she'll need the race to unfold perfectly to overcome the wide draw.