Rosehill tips and results

Our price $3.80 · SP $3.00 · Adam Hyeronimus

The 4yo mare has won all three starts on wet tracks, demonstrating clear surface preference. Inside barrier 4 is ideal given Rosehill's soft track characteristics favouring handy runners. However, confidence is tempered by limited sample size (only 13 starts) and struggles at BM78 level. The class ceiling appears to be BM72, making this a suitable level.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.50 · William A Stanley

However, the statistics are damning: 0 wins from 7 attempts at 1200m and 0 wins from 5 soft track starts. In winter's open racing, consistent types often fill placings while others win.

Our price $10.00 · SP $6.50 · Mollie Fitzgerald

The best-credentialed second-up runner with strong positional advantages. Ran 4th in this exact race last start at Rosehill 1200m Soft, so she knows the track and assignment. Second-up record (25% win rate) is compelling, and nose roll first time may provide the edge needed. Barrier 3 and 54kg are significant advantages in a tactical race. Main concern is 0 wins from 7 attempts at 1200m, suggesting this may be minimum distance. However, class, fitness, and positioning offset this.

Our price $12.00 · SP $6.00 · Aaron Bullock

The distance specialist with perfect 1200m record (4:2-0-0) but significant first-up query. While his 50% win rate at the trip is compelling, the 0% first-up record (2:0-1-0) and 132-day spell raise fitness concerns. Port Macquarie form is country-level, and last start 13th at Class 5 before the spell was poor. However, Bullock's 50% strike rate with the horse and 30% recent form suggest stable confidence. Barrier 1 in a moderate tempo race allows him to control the speed if fit enough. Soft track form (50% win/place) is a positive. The class rise is steep, but distance suitability may compensate. Place chance at best first-up.

Our price $28.00 · SP $31.00 · Tyler Schiller

Last-start BM58 winner at similar class level to today. Soft track form is strong (75% place rate), and Schiller/Williams 38% combination shows stable confidence in the step-up. Limited 1200m experience (2:1-0-0) is a query, but the one win came at this trip. Class rise is manageable given recent form.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.10 · Kerrin Mc Evoy

Kerrin McEvoy's 22% strike rate with Bjorn Baker is a significant positive, and the booking of a senior Group 1 jockey for a 2YO debut signals stable intent. Inside barrier 7 and light weight 54.5kg are ideal for soft-track racing at Rosehill. Ear muffs suggest possible temperament management.

Our price $18.00 · SP $16.00 · Braith Nock

Inside barrier 2 and lightest weight 53kg are significant advantages, while first-time blinkers may provide improvement. The class rise from country to metro Open is a concern, but the recent Randwick placing suggests she can handle this level.

Our price $5.00 · SP $11.00 · Winona Costin

She Within presents as the value selection in a wide-open winter BM78. The inside barrier 3 aligns with the moderate inside bias, and winter depth at this grade is shallow.

Our price $6.00 · SP $9.00 · Siena Grima

Jellicious is a distance specialist with a strong 1100m record (4:2-2-0) and represents the Waller stable with in-form jockey Grima (20% recent).

Our price $10.00 · SP $31.00 · Reece Jones

Importantly, she won her only 1100m start, suggesting distance suitability. The inside barrier 4 and proven Heavy form are positives. However, this is her first metropolitan start after country racing, she's unproven at Rosehill, and the step from country BM82 to metro BM78 is significant.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.00 · Tim Clark

Gorgeous represents a speculative third selection based primarily on jockey engagement and barrier draw. Tim Clark's booking (25% recent form) is a significant positive signal, and barrier 2 provides an inside advantage on the Soft track. The filly is dropping from Listed grade which gives her a class edge, and she's a proven soft track winner. She has no experience at 1300m and only a 17% career win rate. The slow tempo may suit her tactical style, but she needs to reverse a clear form decline.

Our price $6.00 · SP $8.00 · Reece Jones

The inside barrier 5 aligns with the strong bias favoring gates 1-6. While stepping up from BM72, his track specialization and soft track prowess outweigh class concerns.

Our price $9.00 · SP $7.50 · Kerrin Mc Evoy

His Group-level experience provides a class edge over most rivals, and the light weight of 55.5kg is advantageous. However, the complete absence of soft track success (0 from 2) is a major red flag on today's Soft 6 surface. The wide barrier 10 compounds concerns in a race with slow tempo and inside bias. While the class and speed are appealing, the wet track question mark prevents higher confidence.

Our price $10.00 · SP $19.00 · Pierre Boudvillain

However, barrier 1 is a significant concern given the track bias data, and his lack of Rosehill experience adds risk.

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.00 · Adam Hyeronimus

Shangri La Impact presents as the most credible winning chance based on proven form at the distance and conditions. The 40% win rate and 70% place rate demonstrate consistency, and her wet-track record (7:3-2-0) is superior to most rivals.

Our price $5.00 · SP $5.00 · Kerrin Mc Evoy

While she's been competitive at BM78 level with two close 4ths, she's yet to break through at this grade and faces significant queries. Most concerning is her complete lack of 2000m experience and poor soft track record in Australia (0 wins from 2 soft starts). Her UK form was predominantly on synthetic surfaces, not turf. She's a place chance but not a confident win selection.

Our price $6.50 · SP $6.00 · Tim Clark

While his perfect Australian record (2 from 2) is impressive, the extremely limited experience (only 3 career starts) makes him difficult to assess at this level. The wide barrier 13 in a slow-tempo race is a major negative, and he has no second-up statistics to reference.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.00 · Anna Roper

The significant class drop from G1 Melbourne Cup and G3 racing to BM78 is the key angle - he's been competing against far superior horses and now drops back to a winnable grade. The 2000m distance suits (3rd last start over trip), and the inside barrier 5 is ideal in a slow-tempo race. The gear change (hoof filler removed) suggests stable confidence, and the light weight of 52.5kg is a significant advantage.

Our price $4.00 · SP $5.00 · Braith Nock

Eye Of The Fire represents the most reliable winning chance based on proven BM88 form and strong second-up pattern. Placed at BM94 last start beaten half a length, showing he's competitive at this grade. The slow tempo suits his adaptable racing pattern from barrier 6.

Our price $6.00 · SP $5.50 · Adam Hyeronimus

The Pride/Hyeronimus combination strikes at 20% and the gelding has strong soft track credentials (6:2-1-0). Won at BM78 level fresh last preparation and placed at BM88 before the spell. The 126-day break is a concern but his fresh record suggests he can overcome it. Elite speed may be advantageous in a slow tempo race where he can control from a forward position.

Our price $10.00 · SP $21.00 · William A Stanley

The gear change (bar plates off) suggests stable confidence and he's dropping from a Group 3 attempt. Small each-way saver only for the brave.

Our price $6.50 · SP $8.50 · Aaron Bullock

The value play in this race. His second-up record is strong (67% place rate) and he's proven at this level with Group 2 and Listed placings. Barrier 7 allows settling in the ideal midfield position in the predicted slow tempo. While his soft track record is moderate (10% win rate), his class and fitness trajectory suggest significant improvement.

Our price $7.00 · SP $15.00 · Jay Ford

The each-way chance with outstanding course-specific credentials. The 6yo gelding is proven at this level with solid soft track form (4 wins from 11). Barrier 8 provides a good settling position in the predicted slow tempo. The key is whether he can reproduce his best Rosehill form.

Our price $9.00 · SP $7.00 · Tom Sherry

This gelding has the right credentials for the race with an excellent course/distance record and strong first-up statistics. He won a BM72 here last preparation and handles soft ground well. However, the 161-day spell is a major concern, especially given his last start was a poor 10th. The jockey booking of Tom Sherry (0 from 20 recent) with no combination history is uninspiring. While the track/distance fit is perfect, he needs to overcome significant fitness doubts and poor recent form. Each-way value if fully wound up, but the break and jockey booking are red flags.

Our price $15.00 · SP $6.00 · Kerrin Mc Evoy

The value play with outstanding wet track credentials and a superb second-up record (3 wins from 5 starts). Today is second-up, which is his prime strike zone. Soft 6 may not be wet enough for his pattern.