Ipswich tips and results

Our price $11.00 · SP $61.00 · Jake Bayliss

The overlay in a race where the top three are all short. With only one genuine leader engaged and a slow tempo forecast, he gets a soft trail.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.50 · Jett Newman

He gets 3kg relief today via the claim and the extra 150m should be a clear plus given how he finished. The negatives are experience and map: he is expected to settle towards the rear on a circuit that heavily favours on-pace runners, and Newman is out of touch. Big upside, moderate reliability.

Our price $6.50 · SP $12.00 · Ben Thompson

She draws barrier 7 in the track's strongest band, is a natural on-pace type on a circuit where forward runners dominate maidens, and Ben Thompson strikes at 33% for the Schweida stable.

Our price $5.50 · SP $7.00 · M R Du Plessis

Barrier 5 and an on-pace style fit the Ipswich sprint template precisely, and Du Plessis has already won on him.

Our price $6.50 · SP $7.00 · Martin Harley

Till Dusk is the likely leader and brings a consistent seven-start record that has never missed the first three. Second-up stats are strong and she already has a promising second over 1350m.

Our price $12.00 · SP $26.00 · Bella Youngberry

Bolshevic Road is the track-and-distance specialist, with two wins from four starts at Ipswich 1350m including a BM65 victory in June.

Our price $2.60 · SP $1.60 · Ben Thompson

He is second up, a stage at which he has won one of two, and his first-up 3rd at Beaudesert came after interference at the start and racing wide. Gate 2 with an on-pace map is ideal for Ipswich sprints. Only the 59.5kg tempers confidence.

Our price $5.00 · SP $8.50 · Cejay Graham

The concern is that Ipswich sprints are unkind to horses settling back, and her one previous 1350m run ended in an 8th.

Our price $5.50 · SP $11.00 · Tiffani Brooker

The overlay of the race. The clear negative is that her five Good-track starts have produced no wins or placings, and she tends to settle back.

Our price $5.50 · SP $5.00 · Cejay Graham

The best-mapped genuine chance in the race. Katie Aine has the early speed to sit outside the lone leader from gate 4, which is the winning profile at Ipswich sprints where forward runners dominate. Her 2nd in Class 1 at Sunshine Coast over this trip is the strongest recent line, and the drop back from 1350m addresses last start's tapering. Consistency is the query, so she is safer at the each-way angle.

Our price $11.00 · SP $19.00 · M R Du Plessis

The value angle is the map. Blue White Blue is the only genuine leader engaged and won over this course on Good 4 at his most recent start, dictating from the front at every point. Ipswich sprints reward exactly that profile, with forward-placed runners far outperforming backmarkers.

Our price $3.00 · SP $3.00 · Tahlia Fenlon

The form and the map agree for once. Sequel draws the rails with the field's best early speed and slots straight into the 1-3 settling band that wins nearly a quarter of Ipswich sprints, while backmarkers have won none of 13 recent attempts here. She led throughout to win at Beaudesert three weeks ago and all three career wins are on good ground.

Our price $7.50 · SP $20.00 · Emily Lang

The course-and-distance specialist of the field: three visits to Ipswich over 1100m have produced a win and two seconds. She comes to the ideal second-up run, where her record is a win and a third from two, draws barrier 4 and maps in the forward half that this circuit rewards.

Our price $11.00 · SP $21.00 · Jai Williams

Barrier 2 and an on-pace pattern place her exactly where Ipswich sprints are won.