Sandown Hillside tips and results

Our price $4.50 · SP $5.50 · R T Tremsal

Fehmarn beat a BM66 field on a Heavy 9 at Bendigo last start and now gets a Soft 7 with barrier 2 and a fast tempo to trail into. His record on heavy going is 2 wins from 3 starts, and his sole soft run produced a placing after being hampered. With two genuine leaders drawn outside him, he can sit fourth or fifth and pounce, exploiting the strong on-pace bias here.

Our price $6.00 · SP $13.00 · Brodie Loy

Risky Whisky has won 4 of 9 starts, all on rain-affected or heavy going, and comes back from BM78 to a grade he won at Albury on Heavy 8 with 61.5kg. Brodie Loy has won 3 of 4 rides on him and returns, a clear intent signal. He led and fought on for 6th here last Wednesday in stronger company.

Our price $4.50 · SP $4.80 · Caitlin Hollowood

However, she is first up after 6 months, her only wet run was a Listed 7th, she has begun awkwardly every start, and she maps as a backmarker on a track heavily biased toward on-pace runners.

Our price $9.00 · SP $11.00 · Jye McNeil

His last two runs at 2400m and beyond on wet ground were narrow placings behind horses of BM62 quality, his pattern is consistent and he is still on the improve at 11 starts. He draws the rail with 56kg and a senior rider, both positives at Sandown.

Our price $21.00 · SP $61.00 · Brittany Button

Raging Bull is not a winning proposition but he is the value runner for a place in a thin field. The blinkers return and the class drop into BM74 suits.

Our price $8.00 · SP $16.00 · Luke Cartwright

Best of the on-pace group. She has run 3rd, 2nd and 1st at 1000m on rain-affected tracks, including a sound third in Open 3yo company at this track and trip on Soft 6, and now drops to BM64 with only 56kg from barrier 1. Sandown sprints reward horses in the first six at the 400m and she will be there.

Our price $3.20 · SP $3.50 · J Mott

Divine Dot is the form-based most likely winner. She has already won an Open 1000m at Sandown on Soft 6 and finished within a length in a stronger Open sprint here on Heavy 8 last start despite racing wide without cover. Today she draws barrier 1, drops to BM70 and should lead into a track profile that heavily favours front-runners on wet going.

Our price $6.00 · SP $3.10 · Jordan Childs

Headbanger has the speed to be in the first three early and her 1000m record is sound, but she is untested on rain-affected ground, first up without a public trial and drawn outside the two other leaders.

Our price $3.20 · SP $2.70 · H Coffey

Persian Spirit was narrowly beaten in the Caulfield Listed race that also featured Warnie and Recon, and he did so settling handy on a Soft 6. His soft-track record and 60%-plus place rate make him the most reliable profile in this field, and 54.5kg with barrier 4 fits the Sandown inside/on-pace bias.

Our price $7.00 · SP $6.00 · Jabez Johnstone

Stay Silent is the form horse on the rise and has already beaten several of these at this track and distance on a wet surface. His wet-track record is the best in the race.

Our price $7.50 · SP $7.00 · M J Dee

Castle On High ran the race of his life last start when just failing to run down Stay Silent on a Heavy 8 here over the same trip. He now meets that horse 2.5kg better with the lightest weight in the race, and a faster tempo with three leaders should give him a better set-up than he had last time. Wet form is solid and blinkers appear to have sharpened him.

Our price $3.00 · SP $2.35 · John Allen

Savitri won an Open handicap at Caulfield and was competitive in a Group 1 before this spell, and a BM70 is well below that level. First-up record is 1 win and 1 second from 2 attempts, she has a soft-track win and trialled on a heavy surface. She maps to sit just off lone leader Belcony from barrier 2, ideal at Sandown on a slow tempo. The 62kg is the only real query and is outweighed by class.

Our price $5.50 · SP $6.00 · Jabez Johnstone

Hi Val has the form line that matters most: a win over this track and distance on a soft surface with a heavier weight. Dropping to 56kg and back to 1400m with a jockey who strikes at 29% here, she is the most likely to trouble Savitri. The wide draw and midfield map in a slow tempo cap her to each-way.

Our price $8.00 · SP $9.00 · B Shinn

He draws barrier 3 and settles just behind the leaders, exactly where winners have come from at recent Sandown meetings. The 60kg is the main knock but his class holds up at BM78.

Our price $12.00 · SP $9.00 · Damian Lane

Lovelycut is a reliable wet-track placer whose form at this track and distance on heavy ground reads well for a Soft 7. She dropped back to BM78 after a lame report last start, which is the obvious risk, but her previous three starts were all placings in similar or stronger grade. She settles in the on-pace zone that has produced recent winners here.